Match Analysis: Chasen Blair vs Samuel Sanches – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-10
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series
Game Overview
Welterweight bout between undefeated grappler Chasen Blair and powerful striker Samuel Sanches on Dana White's Contender Series Week 5.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chasen Blair is undefeated with strong grappling and recent submission wins, while Samuel Sanches boasts 6 KOs in 10 wins with lightning-fast striking and improved takedown defense.
- No previous head-to-head matchups between Blair and Sanches.
- No reported injuries for either fighter at the time of fight.
- Fight is part of a high-stakes DWCS event, encouraging aggressive performances to impress UFC matchmakers.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure UFC contracts; Blair seeks to showcase grappling dominance, Sanches aims to maintain his knockout streak and aggressive reputation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chasen Blair: +110, Samuel Sanches: -130 | Samuel Sanches | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Sanches -1.5 rounds: -120, Blair +1.5 rounds: +100 | Samuel Sanches -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds: -110, Under 1.5 rounds: -110 | Under 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samuel Sanches -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 15% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Samuel Sanches to win via early knockout
Predicted Score: Samuel Sanches wins by KO/TKO Round 1 or 2