Match Analysis: Vito Mielnicki Jr vs Samuel Nmomah – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
Vito Mielnicki Jr faces Samuel Nmomah in a 10-round middleweight bout on the undercard of the Benavidez vs. Yarde event at ANB Arena, Riyadh. The fight is scheduled for Saturday, November 22, 2025, at 21:00 UTC. Both fighters are experienced professionals, with Mielnicki Jr being the clear favorite based on recent form, knockout power, and betting odds.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vito Mielnicki Jr (21-1, 12 KOs) has won 4 of his last 5 fights, most recently defeating Kamil Gadzelek by unanimous decision in June 2025. His knockout rate is 57%, indicating strong offensive power. Samuel Nmomah (21-0, 5 KOs) is undefeated but has a lower knockout percentage (24%) and last fought in March 2025, defeating Abdul Khattab by unanimous decision. Nmomah's record is solid but less impressive in terms of finishing ability.
- No previous meetings between the two fighters. This is their first encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest updates.
- The fight takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which may affect travel and acclimatization for both fighters. The event is part of a high-profile card, which could add pressure or motivation.
- Mielnicki Jr is likely motivated to maintain his status as a top prospect and potentially secure a title shot. Nmomah, being undefeated, will be eager to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent and possibly break into the world rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Samuel Nmomah: 310, Vito Mielnicki Jr: -425 | Vito Mielnicki Jr | Not available |
| Spread | Samuel Nmomah: +3.5, Vito Mielnicki Jr: -3.5 | Vito Mielnicki Jr -3.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | over: 10.5, under: 10.5 | under | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Vito Mielnicki Jr -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Vito Mielnicki Jr at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Vito Mielnicki Jr is expected to win by decision or knockout. His superior knockout power and recent form give him a significant edge over Samuel Nmomah, who has not faced a fighter of Mielnicki Jr's caliber before.
Predicted Score: Vito Mielnicki Jr wins by unanimous decision or TKO in rounds 8-10