Match Analysis: Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Women's Strawweight bout between Shauna Bannon (7-1) and Sam Hughes (10-6) at UFC Paris. Hughes is favored with stronger recent performances and superior cardio, while Bannon has solid striking but less effective at UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Hughes has improved to 3-1 in her last four fights, showing better cardio, pressure, and defensive striking (58% strike defense) compared to Bannon who connects more but allows more significant strikes. Hughes has a grinding style that tends to overwhelm similar opponents.
• No previous head-to-head matchup between Shauna Bannon and Sam Hughes.
• No reported recent injuries for either fighter impacting performance.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Paris. Hughes' relentless pace and ground control style are expected to be effective regardless of venue.
• Hughes appears highly motivated to maintain winning momentum and exploit Bannon’s vulnerabilities; Bannon looking to establish herself as UFC contender but has yet to demonstrate dominance at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sam Hughes -340, Shauna Bannon +270	Sam Hughes	★★★★☆ 77%
Spread	Sam Hughes -3.5 (-115), Shauna Bannon +3.5 (-115)	Sam Hughes -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -475, Under 2.5 rounds +325	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sam Hughes -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 155%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Hughes to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sam Hughes wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 6, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
William Gomis vs. Robert Ruchala Prediction	Under 2.5	200	95%
Andreas Gustafsson Berg vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov Prediction	Under 2.5	150	75%
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction	Over 2.5	-475	70%

Combined Odds: +808 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $181.58

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction	Oumar Sy Win	-455	★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction	Sam Hughes Win	-340	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig Prediction	Modestas Bukauskas Win	-355	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +102

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $40.46

Match Analysis: Sam Hughes vs Stephanie Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Stephanie Luciano and Sam Hughes face off in a women's strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 104. Luciano, with a record of 6-1-1, is favored over Hughes, who holds a 9-6-0 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephanie Luciano lands more significant strikes per minute (5.30) than Sam Hughes (4.33) and has a higher striking accuracy (48% vs 46%). However, Hughes is more active in submissions.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano's recent win might give her an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-230 for Luciano, +190 for Hughes	Stephanie Luciano	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -600, Under 2.5: +390	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Stephanie Luciano is likely to win due to her superior striking performance.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Stephanie Luciano