Match Analysis: Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

The upcoming strawweight fight at UFC Paris features Shauna Bannon (7-1) against Sam Hughes (10-6). Both fighters weigh in at 115 lbs and stand 5'5" tall. Bannon, known as 'Mama B,' is a switch fighter with a 65" reach, while Hughes fights orthodox with a slightly shorter reach. Both athletes exhibit similar significant strike stats, with Hughes having a slight edge in strike defense. The bout is expected to be competitive given their styles and records.

Key Factors to Consider

• Shauna Bannon holds a stronger win-loss record (7-1) compared to Sam Hughes (10-6). Bannon connects on 4.77 significant strikes per minute landing 43% overall, while Hughes connects on 4.41 but lands 46%. Bannon allows fewer significant strikes (3.88 per minute) than Hughes (4.57), but Hughes defends a higher percentage of opponents’ strikes at 58% versus Bannon’s 44%.
• There is no documented prior head-to-head matchup between Shauna Bannon and Sam Hughes, making this their first encounter inside the Octagon.
• No current injury reports or concerns have been disclosed for either fighter approaching the bout.
• The fight takes place in Paris, France, potentially favoring neither fighter geographically as both compete internationally. Event scheduling places this bout in prelims at midday local time, which might influence crowd energy and fighter motivation.
• Shauna Bannon, with an impressive recent record, aims to solidify her rising status in the strawweight division. Sam Hughes, being more experienced numerically, looks to leverage her durability and defensive skills to stay relevant and advance in the rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sam Hughes: -340, Shauna Bannon: +270	Sam Hughes to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Sam Hughes -3.5: -115, Shauna Bannon +3.5: -115	Sam Hughes -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -475, Under 2.5: +325	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sam Hughes -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 251%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 251% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 77.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Hughes is favored to win by decision due to slightly better strike defense and higher odds backing, but Shauna Bannon’s accurate striking and durability suggest a competitive fight with a notable chance for an upset.

Predicted Score: Sam Hughes wins by decision after 3 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – September 6, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction	Under 2.5	325	251%
Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho Prediction	Under 4.5	150	75%
Kauê Fernandes vs. Harry Hardwick Prediction	Under 2.5	177	72%

Combined Odds: +2843 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $588.63

Match Analysis: Sam Hughes vs Stephanie Luciano – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Stephanie Luciano and Sam Hughes face off in a women's strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 104. Luciano, with a record of 6-1-1, is favored over Hughes, who holds a 9-6-0 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephanie Luciano lands more significant strikes per minute (5.30) than Sam Hughes (4.33) and has a higher striking accuracy (48% vs 46%). However, Hughes is more active in submissions.
• There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically due to its neutral environment.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, but Luciano's recent win might give her an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-230 for Luciano, +190 for Hughes	Stephanie Luciano	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -600, Under 2.5: +390	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Stephanie Luciano is likely to win due to her superior striking performance.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Stephanie Luciano