Match Analysis: Nick Ball vs Sam Goodman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-16
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
Game Overview
Featherweight boxing contest scheduled for 12 rounds between Nick Ball and Sam Goodman at ANB Arena. Nick Ball is the strong favorite based on betting markets and historical data.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nick Ball has shown consistent dominance in recent fights with superior technical skills and stamina. Sam Goodman has underperformed against higher-tier opponents, with fewer decisive victories.
- No recorded previous fights between Nick Ball and Sam Goodman, making this a fresh matchup analyzed primarily on recent form and style.
- No reported injuries or physical concerns for either fighter leading up to the bout.
- Fight is held outside their home countries, but both fighters have experience competing internationally. The bout being in Saudi Arabia likely neutralizes home crowd advantage.
- Nick Ball is highly motivated to maintain his position as a top featherweight contender. Sam Goodman seeks a career-defining upset but shows less consistency and confidence in recent performances.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nick Ball: -450, Sam Goodman: +325 | Nick Ball | ★★★★☆ 79% |
| Spread | Not explicitly provided, estimated -4.5 rounds for Nick Ball | Nick Ball by more than 4.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | Over 10.5 rounds -130, Under 10.5 rounds +100 | Under 10.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nick Ball -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 10.5 30% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nick Ball to win via moneyline
Predicted Score: Nick Ball wins by KO/TKO in round 9