Match Analysis: Sam Goodman vs Cesar Vaca – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-14
• Time: 12:00 PM UTC
• Location: Australia

Game Overview

Sam Goodman, undefeated and ranked No. 4 in the super-bantamweight division by the Ring, faces Cesar Vaca Espinoza in Australia. Goodman is the IBF mandatory for Naoya Inoue's titles and is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Goodman is undefeated with a record of 19-0, while Cesar Vaca Espinoza's exact record is not widely reported. Goodman's recent performance against high-profile opponents has not been documented, but he is considered a strong contender.
• No reported head-to-head matches between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Goodman is highly motivated, having recently called out Naoya Inoue, indicating ambition to move up the ranks.
• Goodman's motivation is high due to his aspirations to fight top-level opponents like Inoue.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-450 for Sam Goodman, 313 for Cesar Vaca	Sam Goodman	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 8.5 -575, Under 8.5 379	Under 8.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sam Goodman -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 -97%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sam Goodman is expected to win due to his higher ranking and undefeated record.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for boxing matches