Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Ishmael Davis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 6:30 PM UTC
• Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, United Kingdom

Game Overview

The super welterweight clash between Sam Gilley and Ishmael Davis features Davis as the favorite with odds of -330 versus Gilley's +245. Gilley holds a strong record of 18-1-1 with a higher knockout percentage (50%) compared to Davis's 13-3-0 and 46% KO ratio. Davis is favored due to recent form and battlefield momentum, but Gilley’s experience and power provide a credible upset potential.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Gilley has an 18-1-1 record with 9 KOs and consistent performances but fewer recent knockouts. Ishmael Davis holds a 13-3 record with 6 KOs, though he has struggled recently with three losses in close or late-notice fights, showing some vulnerability despite being favored.
• No direct previous bouts between Gilley and Davis, but Gilley's longer professional career and more fights (114 rounds vs 97 rounds) lend him slight experience advantage.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The bout occurs at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a major venue possibly favoring the well-prepared favorite Davis. Davis has had a rough streak but fights motivated by British and Commonwealth title implications, increasing competitiveness.
• Davis aims to cement himself on a grander stage after late-notice tough losses, while Gilley, the underdog, is motivated to capitalize on power and experience to upset the favorite and claim titles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	home: +245, away: -330	Ishmael Davis -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Over 7.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ishmael Davis -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ishmael Davis at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ishmael Davis to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Ishmael Davis wins by KO in round 8

Match Analysis: Sam Gilley vs Gideon Jonas – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-07
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Portman Road

Game Overview

Sam Gilley is heavily favored against Gideon Jonas due to a significant difference in their current form and odds. Gilley was initially set to face Louis Greene but will now face Jonas instead.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Gilley is considered the stronger fighter with more recent victories, while Gideon Jonas has a mixed record.
• There is no recent head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No notable injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• The change in opponents for Gilley could affect his preparation, but the odds suggest he remains the favorite.
• Gilley is motivated to win after the contract saga with Louis Greene, while Jonas seeks an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gideon Jonas: 1300, Sam Gilley: -5000	Sam Gilley to win	★★★★★ 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sam Gilley -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sam Gilley at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Gilley is likely to win based on his strong odds and recent form.

Predicted Score: Sam Gilley to win by unanimous decision