Match Analysis: Bologna vs Salzburg – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 27, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna, Italy

Game Overview

Bologna hosts Red Bull Salzburg in the fifth matchday of the UEFA Europa League League Phase. This is the first meeting between these two clubs in the Europa League. Bologna currently sits in 3rd place in the standings, while Salzburg occupies 28th place, indicating a significant quality gap between the two sides. Bologna will be looking to maintain their strong position and secure three points at home, while Salzburg seeks to upset the favorites and climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bologna has demonstrated superior form and league position (3rd vs 28th), suggesting they are significantly outperforming Salzburg in the competition. Bologna's placement in the upper echelon of the Europa League table indicates consistent results and tactical prowess. Salzburg's position near the bottom suggests they have struggled to adapt to this competition level.
• This marks the first encounter between Bologna and Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League, so there is no historical head-to-head data to reference. Both teams will be approaching this match with limited knowledge of direct tactical matchups.
• Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results. Both teams' medical status should be monitored through official team announcements.
• The match takes place at Bologna's home stadium, providing a significant advantage. The home crowd, familiar pitch conditions, and no travel fatigue give Bologna a clear edge. Salzburg must travel to Italy and adapt to unfamiliar conditions.
• Bologna is motivated to maintain their position near the top of the table and build momentum. Salzburg requires a positive result to improve their standing and demonstrate they can compete with stronger opponents in this competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bologna: -255 | Salzburg: 640 | Draw: 380	Bologna Win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Bologna -1.25 (-113) | Salzburg +1.25 (-107)	Bologna -1.25	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.75 (-110) | Under 2.75 (-110)	Under 2.75	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bologna -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bologna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bologna is heavily favored to secure a victory at home against a significantly weaker Salzburg side. The combination of superior league position, home advantage, and recent form suggests Bologna should control the match and secure three points. A Bologna win is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Bologna 2 – 0 Salzburg

Match Analysis: Salzburg vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg, Austria

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match features Red Bull Salzburg hosting Go Ahead Eagles. Salzburg is positioned 34th in rankings with strong recent domestic and European form, while Go Ahead Eagles hold 12th position, showing more inconsistent results but some notable wins in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salzburg has demonstrated dominant home performances recently with multiple wins in the Austrian Bundesliga and the Austrian Cup, scoring freely and conceding few goals. Their Europa League form includes a recent loss versus Ferencvaros but overall solid attacking output. Go Ahead Eagles have mixed domestic results with losses and draws but have performed well in UEFA Europa League against notable teams such as Aston Villa and Panathinaikos.
• There is limited historical head-to-head data between Salzburg and Go Ahead Eagles due to their rare meetings, suggesting a lack of direct previous encounters, making form and venue important indicators.
• No specific injury information is reported currently for either team; both squads are presumed near full strength.
• Salzburg's home advantage at Red Bull Arena, familiar conditions, and local support are significant, whereas Go Ahead Eagles face travel and adaptation challenges in Austria.
• Salzburg, aiming to consolidate qualification status and boost their UEFA coefficient, are highly motivated. Go Ahead Eagles, as underdogs, have strong incentive to cause an upset and progress further in the competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	salzburg: -128, go_ahead_eagles: 300, draw: 295	Salzburg win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	salzburg: -0.75 -105, go_ahead_eagles: +75 -125	Salzburg -0.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 3 -118, under: 3 -112	Over 3 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Salzburg 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Salzburg is favored to win due to stronger recent form, home advantage, and squad quality, but a competitive match with scoring from both sides is expected.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Salzburg vs Ferencváros TC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg

Game Overview

Red Bull Salzburg, a team with a strong home record, is set to face Ferencváros TC in the UEFA Europa League. The match promises to be competitive, with Salzburg favored due to their home advantage and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salzburg has been performing well in recent matches, showcasing strong attacking prowess and a solid defense. Ferencváros has been inconsistent but poses a threat with their counter-attacking strategy.
• Limited recent head-to-head data is available, but historically, Salzburg tends to dominate matches at home.
• No significant injury updates are available for either team, but this information could impact the lineup and strategy.
• Weather and crowd support could influence the match, with Salzburg likely benefiting from home advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points in the Europa League group stage to advance to the next round.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Salzburg: -109, Ferencváros TC: 260, Draw: 275	Salzburg win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Salzburg: -0.5 -112, Ferencváros TC: 50 -118	Salzburg to cover the spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -122	Over 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Salzburg 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Salzburg is expected to win due to their home advantage and recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Salzburg

Match Analysis: Lyon vs Salzburg – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Groupama Stadium, Lyon

Game Overview

Lyon will host Salzburg at Groupama Stadium for the UEFA Europa League regular season match. Both teams are in decent form, with Lyon showing strong recent performances in Ligue 1 and Europa League. Salzburg have struggled somewhat in recent matches but remain competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Lyon has won their last three matches, including a 1-0 away win in the Europa League against Utrecht and a 1-0 win against Lille. Salzburg, however, have mixed results with a 2-1 league win against WSG Tirol but a 0-1 home loss to FC Porto in the Europa League and recent domestic defeats.
• The two clubs have limited recent direct encounters in UEFA competitions. Head-to-head advantage is not decisively in favour of either side, making form and venue significant factors.
• No specific injury data provided for key players from either Lyon or Salzburg ahead of this fixture. Assumed both squads close to full strength.
• The game will be played at Lyon's home ground, Groupama Stadium, which offers Lyon a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported as affecting factors.
• As an important group stage match, both teams will be motivated to secure maximum points early. Lyon’s recent winning momentum could add confidence, while Salzburg will be eager to rebound from their Europa League loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lyon: -192, Salzburg: 475, Draw: 330	Lyon to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Lyon: -1 at -118, Salzburg: +1 at -112	Lyon -1	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -120, Under 2.75: -110	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lyon -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lyon is predicted to edge out Salzburg in a close contest, leveraging home advantage and better recent form.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Salzburg vs Porto – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-25
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Red Bull Arena, Salzburg, Austria

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League match between Salzburg and Porto is set for September 25, 2025, at the Red Bull Arena in Salzburg. Salzburg is ranked 28th, while Porto holds a higher position at 7th. Both teams enter the match with strong recent domestic performances and a competitive history.

Key Factors to Consider

• Salzburg have mixed recent form with a couple of draws and losses in the Austrian Bundesliga but showed strong attacking ability, e.g., 3-1 and 3-0 wins recently. Porto have been in excellent form in the Portuguese Primeira Liga, securing multiple wins including 3-0 and 4-0 scorelines, suggesting robust offensive and defensive performances.
• Previous head-to-head data between Salzburg and Porto is available but not extensive. Both teams are competitively matched with Porto historically being the stronger side, reflected in their higher UEFA ranking and status as two-time Europa League winners, whereas Salzburg was knocked out during Champions League qualification.
• No specific injury reports or absences were highlighted in the available data, implying both lineups could be near full strength for this fixture.
• The game is played at Salzburg's home venue, potentially giving them a home advantage. Porto's historical success in UEFA competitions and recent domestic dominance add to their confidence levels. There is no indication of adverse weather or other external disruptions.
• Salzburg aims to improve on their recent European performances, having been eliminated early from the Champions League. Porto, with a higher UEFA ranking and a history of Europa League success, will be motivated to assert dominance and continue their strong campaign started in the domestic league.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Porto: 103, Salzburg: 240, Draw: 255	Porto Win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Porto: -0.5 -106, Salzburg: +50 -124	Porto -0.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: +107	Over 2.5 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto 18%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Porto at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is predicted to win narrowly due to their superior recent form, UEFA ranking, and historical success in European competitions, but Salzburg's home advantage and attacking potential suggest a competitive match likely decided by one goal.

Predicted Score: 1-2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Aston Villa vs. Bologna Prediction	Aston Villa -0.5	-119	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Flamengo	Flamengo-RJ Win	115	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Salzburg vs. Porto Prediction	Porto -0.5	-106	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +669

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $153.79