Match Analysis: Fabio Condidorio vs Salvatore Bellotta – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-31
- Time: 2:30 PM UTC
- Location: PalaPellicone, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
Fabio Condidorio and Salvatore Bellotta face off in a welterweight bout at Cage Warriors 189, taking place at PalaPellicone in Rome. This prelim fight is part of a stacked card showcasing top-tier Italian MMA talent. Bellotta enters as the moneyline favorite, indicative of recent performance or stylistic advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have demonstrated solid performances in recent bouts, with Bellotta showing a consistent edge as reflected in current odds. Condidorio is considered an underdog but has potential to leverage aggressive tactics.
- No documented prior bouts between Condidorio and Bellotta, making this matchup a fresh contest without direct historical data.
- No publicly reported injuries or fitness concerns for either fighter ahead of the match.
- The fight is held in Rome, Italy, which may provide psychological advantage or motivation for Italian fighters and local fans; the venue PalaPellicone is well-known for hosting MMA events, suggesting a high-profile environment.
- Both fighters are motivated to secure a win on a significant Cage Warriors card, with Bellotta possibly favored due to momentum, while Condidorio may be energized as the underdog looking to upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fabio Condidorio: +200, Salvatore Bellotta: -260 | Salvatore Bellotta | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | spread_line: -1.5 rounds for Bellotta, odds_on_spread: -110 | Bellotta to win by at least 2 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_2_5_rounds: -120, under_2_5_rounds: +100 | Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes early) | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Salvatore Bellotta -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Salvatore Bellotta at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Salvatore Bellotta is predicted to win the bout based on current odds and performance trends, with a strong likelihood to control the fight either by decision or finish.
Predicted Score: Salvatore Bellotta wins by TKO in round 2