Match Analysis: John Ramirez vs Saleto Henderson – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Game Overview
The boxing match features John 'Scrappy' Ramirez against Saleto Henderson in a super flyweight 10-round fight on the preliminary card of the Jake Paul vs Julio Cesar Chavez Jr event. Ramirez, with a record of 14-1 (9 KOs), is coming off a rebound win after his first career defeat, displaying an aggressive style with a strong knockout rate. Henderson, holding a 10-2 (7 KOs) record, is known for his endurance and ability to sustain through later rounds, seeking to snap a recent losing streak after his last loss in February. The fight promises a contrast between Ramirez's early aggression and Henderson's stamina and experience.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ramirez recently rebounded from his only loss with a unanimous decision win, showing strong offensive capabilities and early round aggression. Henderson has a solid endurance profile and a respectable knockout ratio but is coming off a loss that halted a three-fight winning streak.
- There are no records of previous direct encounters between John Ramirez and Saleto Henderson, making this match-up a fresh challenge for both fighters.
- No reported injuries to either fighter leading up to the bout have been found in available sources.
- The fight takes place at the Honda Center in Anaheim, CA, which could slightly favor Ramirez as a Los Angeles native. The event’s high-profile nature, being on the undercard of a major pay-per-view, could increase motivation and pressure for both.
- Ramirez is motivated to solidify his comeback after his first career defeat, while Henderson aims to regain momentum and end his recent slump.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | John Ramirez: -600, Saleto Henderson: 400 | John Ramirez | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Ramirez -1.5 rounds: -120, Henderson +1.5 rounds: +100 | Ramirez -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 | Under 8.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | John Ramirez -13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: John Ramirez at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
John Ramirez is favored to win due to his aggressive style, recent form, and home advantage, but Henderson's endurance could make the later rounds more competitive. A decision win or late-round stoppage for Ramirez is the most likely outcome.
Predicted Score: Ramirez wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds, or via late-round TKO around round 8