Match Analysis: Saemapetch Fairtex vs Abdulla Dayakaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-02
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lumpinee Stadium, Bangkok, Thailand

Game Overview

High-stakes bantamweight Muay Thai clash between Saemapetch Fairtex (125+ wins, former title challenger) and Russian newcomer Abdulla Dayakaev (6-1 record in ONE Championship). Saemapetch aims to end a two-fight skid, while Dayakaev seeks to establish himself in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saemapetch has elite experience (125+ career wins, 9 ONE wins) but recent losses to Felipe Lobo and Nico Carrillo. Dayakaev is 6-1 with aggressive, physical style.
• First meeting between fighters
• No reported injuries
• Saemapetch has intense training focus on simulating Dayakaev's aggression and fixing defensive lapses. Event occurs in Thailand (Saemapetch's home country).
• Saemapetch stated 'my back is against the wall' and 'burned bridges' to win. Dayakaev aims for breakout performance in U.S. primetime debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dayakaev -270 / Saemapetch +180	Dayakaev moneyline	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Abdulla Dayakaev 82%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Abdulla Dayakaev at 82% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dayakaev earns decision victory (+180 value on Saemapetch carries risk). Saemapetch's technical edge vs. Dayakaev's physicality makes this closer than odds suggest, but Russian's pressure likely prevails.

Predicted Score: Unavailable (Muay Thai scoring system)