Sabrinna de Sousa vs. Saray Orozco Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sabrinna de Sousa vs Saray Orozco – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: PFL World Tournament Finals, Charlotte

Game Overview

The Women’s Flyweight final at the PFL World Tournament Finals features Sabrinna de Sousa (24 years old) against Saray Orozco (34 years old). De Sousa is undefeated (3-0) with a strong finishing rate, mostly by KO/TKO, while Orozco brings more experience but with a record of 8-7. This bout is expected to showcase De Sousa's power and youth against Orozco's experience and durability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Sousa is on a winning streak with 3 straight wins, 2 by KO/TKO and 1 submission, showing decisive finishes. Orozco has more fights (15 total) but a mixed recent performance with 7 losses and only 1 KO win recently, relying more on decisions.
  • This appears to be their first recorded matchup with no prior direct fights, so no head-to-head data influences this bout.
  • No current injury reports or issues affecting either fighter leading up to the match.
  • The fight is taking place on a major stage, the PFL World Tournament Finals in Charlotte, which should motivate both fighters equally. No travel or performance-affecting external factors reported.
  • De Sousa fights with the confidence of an undefeated rising star hungry to claim the title, while Orozco motivated by experience and redemption, aiming to leverage her veteran savvy.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline De Sousa -1100, Orozco +575 De Sousa ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread De Sousa -1.5 De Sousa -1.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under Under 2.5 rounds -150, Over 2.5 rounds +130 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sabrinna de Sousa -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sabrinna de Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Sabrinna de Sousa to win. Spread: De Sousa to win by a finish (inside distance). Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Sabrinna de Sousa wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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