Match Analysis: Sabrinna de Sousa vs Saray Orozco – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-15
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Charlotte (PFL World Tournament Finals)
Game Overview
The match between Sabrinna de Sousa and Saray Orozco is a Women’s Flyweight preliminaries fight in the PFL World Tournament Finals scheduled for August 15, 2025, at 10:00 PM UTC in Charlotte. It features two female MMA fighters competing in the Flyweight division under Professional Fighters League (PFL) rules. Sabrinna de Sousa is the home fighter with an undefeated professional record, while Saray Orozco brings more experience with a mixed record and more total fights.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sabrinna de Sousa holds an undefeated record of 3-0 with 2 KOs and 1 submission win, reflecting strong finishing ability. Saray Orozco has a more extensive fight history, 8 wins and 7 losses, with 1 KO, 1 submission, and majority decision wins indicating a tendency to win on points rather than finishes. De Sousa’s recent performance shows promising efficiency, while Orozco's extensive fights suggest experience but mixed outcomes.
- There are no previous direct matches recorded between Sabrinna de Sousa and Saray Orozco, so head-to-head statistics are unavailable.
- No publicly available information or reports indicate any injuries for either fighter heading into this bout.
- The fight is part of a major PFL event, which could elevate stakes and pressure. Orozco, aged 34, faces the younger De Sousa at 24 years old, potentially affecting stamina and recovery. Fight location in Charlotte may not offer specific home advantage, but crowd dynamics could favor the more hyped, undefeated fighter.
- Sabrinna de Sousa's motivation is likely high, aiming to maintain her undefeated streak and prove herself on a big stage at PFL Finals. Saray Orozco may be motivated by experience and the chance to upset a rising prospect, possibly pushing for a tactical or points-based approach.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sabrinna_de_Sousa: -1100, Saray_Orozco: 575 | Sabrinna de Sousa | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Sabrinna_de_Sousa_minus1.5: -120, Saray_Orozco_plus1.5: 100 | Sabrinna de Sousa by at least 2 rounds or finish | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | Over_1.5_rounds: -150, Under_1.5_rounds: +120 | Under 1.5 rounds (fight likely to end in early rounds) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sabrinna de Sousa -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Sabrinna de Sousa at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sabrinna de Sousa is favored to win due to her undefeated status, finishing power, and youth advantage. Saray Orozco’s experience might make the fight competitive, but De Sousa is likely to control and secure a finish or unanimous decision victory.
Predicted Score: Sabrinna de Sousa wins via 2nd round TKO