Match Analysis: Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Game Overview

This matchup features Ryan Spann, a favorite at -238, against Lukasz Brzeski, who is priced at +195. The bout is part of UFC 318.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ryan Spann has a record of 22-11-0, while Lukasz Brzeski is 9-6-1 (1 NC). Recently, Brzeski has lost five of his last six fights.
• No recent head-to-head data is available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Both fighters are fully focused on the bout with no external factors affecting their performance.
• Ryan Spann is highly motivated to maintain his winning record, while Lukasz Brzeski seeks to break his losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ryan Spann: -238, Lukasz Brzeski: +195	Ryan Spann	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Ryan Spann: -3.5 -230, Lukasz Brzeski: +3.5 165	Ryan Spann	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5: 140, Under 1.5: -180	Under 1.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryan Spann 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ryan Spann at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Spann to win by knockout.

Predicted Score: Ryan Spann wins by knockout.

Match Analysis: Ryan Spann vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ryan Spann makes his heavyweight debut against Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC Vegas 104. Spann moves up from light heavyweight, while Cortes-Acosta looks to continue his success in the heavyweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Waldo Cortes-Acosta has a strong record of 12-1, with significant striking power and decent grappling skills. Ryan Spann, with a record of 22-10, is known for his athleticism but faces a challenge in his heavyweight debut.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Spann's move to heavyweight could impact his performance due to the weight change and facing larger opponents.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Spann looking to prove himself in a new division and Cortes-Acosta aiming to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ryan Spann: +150, Waldo Cortes-Acosta: -180	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -180, Under 1.5: +140	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Waldo Cortes-Acosta is favored to win.

Predicted Score: Waldo Cortes-Acosta wins via TKO in the second round.