Match Analysis: Roman Kopylov vs Gregory Rodrigues – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 9:00 PM UTC
- Location: New York City
Game Overview
Roman Kopylov faces Gregory Rodrigues in a middleweight bout at UFC 322. Rodrigues enters as the betting favorite, with strong recent form and a higher strike output, while Kopylov is a dangerous finisher but coming off a loss to Paulo Costa.
Key Factors to Consider
- Rodrigues lands 5.54 significant strikes per minute at a 51% accuracy rate, compared to Kopylov's 4.74 per minute at 50%. Rodrigues averages 8:29 fight time, indicating a tendency for early finishes, while Kopylov averages 11:43. Rodrigues recently scored a first-round KO over Jack Hermansson, while Kopylov lost a decision to Paulo Costa.
- No previous meetings between the fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- The fight is scheduled for the prelims, with no major venue or altitude factors affecting performance.
- Rodrigues is on a two-fight win streak and looking to climb the rankings. Kopylov is seeking redemption after a loss to a top contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gregory Rodrigues: -185, Roman Kopylov: 154 | Gregory Rodrigues | Not available |
| Spread | Gregory Rodrigues: -3.5, Roman Kopylov: 3.5 | Gregory Rodrigues -3.5 | Not available |
| Over/under | Over: 1.5, Under: 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Not available |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gregory Rodrigues -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 66% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 66% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gregory Rodrigues by knockout in the first round.
Predicted Score: Gregory Rodrigues wins by KO in Round 1