Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze face off in a UFC middleweight main event, with Hernandez favored after a dominant winning streak, while Dolidze carries solid experience but recent wins of questionable quality.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hernandez is on a 7-fight winning streak with superior recent performances, demonstrating strong endurance, speed, and pressure fighting both standing and on the ground. Dolidze has a 3-fight win streak, but some wins were against injured or less prepared opponents. Hernandez outstrikes Dolidze significantly and absorbs fewer strikes per minute.
• No prior head-to-head fights between Hernandez and Dolidze; stylistically Hernandez’s pressure and high-volume striking could control the bout against Dolidze’s measured striking.
• No recent reported injuries for either fighter; both appear physically prepared going into the bout.
• Fight will be held at UFC Apex, Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no location advantage. Hernandez’s youth and momentum favor him versus the older Dolidze.
• Hernandez is motivated to maintain an undefeated streak since early career setbacks, seeking to solidify his place as a top middleweight contender. Dolidze aims to prove his ranking merits but may lack the same recent confidence level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hernandez: -345, Dolidze: +275	Anthony Hernandez	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Hernandez -5.5 (-195), Dolidze +5.5 (140)	Anthony Hernandez -5.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.5 rounds (-130), Under 3.5 rounds (+100)	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Anthony Hernandez -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Anthony Hernandez to win by decision

Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze face off in a highly anticipated rematch at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are looking to assert their dominance in the middleweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marvin Vettori has a strong record with 19 wins, while Roman Dolidze has 14 wins. Vettori's experience and skillset could give him an edge.
• This is a rematch, but there is no prior head-to-head data provided. The outcome will depend on current form and strategy.
• Marvin Vettori has recently returned from an injury, which might affect his performance. Roman Dolidze does not have reported injuries.
• The fight is at the UFC APEX, which could favor Vettori due to his familiarity with the venue. However, Dolidze's orthodox stance might challenge Vettori's southpaw style.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Vettori seeking redemption after his injury and Dolidze looking to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-148 for Marvin Vettori, +124 for Roman Dolidze	Marvin Vettori	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-5.5 for Marvin Vettori at 165, +5.5 for Roman Dolidze at -225	Roman Dolidze +5.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 4.5 at -238, Under 4.5 at 180	Under 4.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Marvin Vettori is likely to win due to his experience and skillset.

Predicted Score: Marvin Vettori wins via decision.