Match Analysis: Anthony Hernandez vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Enterprise, Nevada, United States
Game Overview
The UFC middleweight bout between Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze headlines UFC Fight Night on August 9, 2025, at the UFC Apex. Hernandez is riding a 7-fight winning streak, steadily climbing the rankings, while Dolidze is on a 3-fight winning streak aiming to breakthrough toward a top contender run. Both fighters are in strong form, making this a highly competitive matchup in the middleweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Anthony Hernandez has shown consistent improvement and resilience with 7 consecutive wins, while Roman Dolidze has also built momentum with 3 straight wins, indicating both are in excellent competitive shape.
- This will be the first official UFC meeting between Anthony Hernandez and Roman Dolidze, with no previous head-to-head recorded.
- Hernandez previously missed a scheduled bout at UFC 302 due to a torn ligament in his hand but has since recovered and is expected to be fully fit. No recent injuries have been reported for Dolidze.
- The bout takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas under standard conditions, with no notable external factors impacting the fight such as venue change or travel issues.
- Both fighters have strong motivation; Hernandez aims to continue his winning streak to secure bigger fights, while Dolidze looks to solidify his position as a top contender following his recent success.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anthony Hernandez: -345, Roman Dolidze: 275 | Anthony Hernandez | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Anthony Hernandez -5.5: -195, Roman Dolidze +5.5: 140 | Anthony Hernandez -5.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.5: -130, Under 3.5: 100 | Under 3.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Anthony Hernandez -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.5 14% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Hernandez's longer winning streak and slightly better significant strike accuracy, alongside his recovery from previous injury, the prediction favors Anthony Hernandez to win by decision or late-round stoppage.
Predicted Score: Anthony Hernandez wins by unanimous decision or TKO in Round 4