Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

UFC 322 features a significant matchup between Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira. Bo Nickal, the away team favorite, is looking to bounce back after suffering his first career loss and being moved down to the UFC 322 prelims. Rodolfo Vieira presents a challenge for Nickal's comeback attempt in this preliminary card bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bo Nickal enters this fight off his first career loss, which represents a notable setback in his previously undefeated record. This is a significant turning point in his career trajectory. Rodolfo Vieira's recent performance metrics and career record are not detailed in the available data.
• No previous matchup history between these fighters is available in the provided data.
• No injury information is available for either fighter.
• Bo Nickal's demotion from the main card to the prelims following his first career loss may impact his mental state and preparation. The preliminary card positioning suggests lower perceived stakes compared to main card fights.
• Bo Nickal has strong motivation to return to winning ways after his first career loss and regain his trajectory toward top-tier competition. Rodolfo Vieira has an opportunity to make a statement against a previously undefeated fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bo Nickal: -205 | Rodolfo Vieira: 170	Bo Nickal wins	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bo Nickal: -3.5 (-105) | Rodolfo Vieira: 3.5 (-125)	Bo Nickal by submission or decision with a margin greater than 3.5 rounds/points	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -166 | Under 2.5: 130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bo Nickal -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bo Nickal is favored to win this matchup, as reflected in the moneyline odds of -205. His previous undefeated record, despite the recent loss, suggests superior experience and skill compared to Vieira. Nickal's motivation to bounce back after adversity may provide additional drive.

Predicted Score: Bo Nickal wins by submission or knockout in Round 2; Fight does not go to full distance (Under 2.5 rounds)

Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira and Tresean Gore face off in a middleweight bout at UFC Vegas 108. Vieira is a highly decorated Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu multiple-time world champion turned MMA fighter known for his grappling dominance and submission finishes. Gore is a switch stance dynamic prospect with solid boxing and Muay Thai skills and some submission capabilities. Vieira's fight strategy focuses on ground control and submissions, with all UFC wins via submission. Gore is a versatile striker and capable grappler but tends to allow more significant strikes defensively.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rodolfo Vieira holds a 10-3 record and averages 3.33 significant strikes per minute with a 55% strike accuracy and allows 4.40 strikes per minute to opponents, defending 49% of incoming strikes. Tresean Gore holds a 6-3 record with 2.77 significant strikes landed per minute at 46% accuracy, but defensively he is less effective, allowing 8.16 strikes per minute and defending only 39% of strikes.
• The fighters have not faced each other previously, so no direct matchup data exists.
• No significant injury reports or recent physical issues have been reported for either fighter before this bout.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue for both fighters. Vieira is slightly older (35) compared to Gore (31), but Vieira has a slight reach disadvantage (73" vs 75"). Training camps and motivational factors appear stable with no reported disruptions.
• Vieira aims to add to his submission-heavy winning record and maintain status as a top grappler in MMA. Gore is motivated to validate his prospect status with a win over a decorated grappler and extend his winning streak, showing his evolving ground and striking capabilities.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rodolfo Vieira: -198, Tresean Gore: 164	Rodolfo Vieira	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Rodolfo Vieira: -3.5 -140, Tresean Gore: +3.5 100	Rodolfo Vieira -3.5	★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: 114	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Vieira -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 39%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira is predicted to win by submission or ground dominance given his elite grappling pedigree and strong defensive striking stats. Tresean Gore will rely on striking and dynamic movement, but his defensive liability and lower grappling credentials decrease his odds. Vieira is favored to control the fight pace and finish on the ground.

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission in Round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction	Rodolfo Vieira Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction	Kevin Vallejos Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Rafael Estevam vs. Felipe Bunes Prediction	Rafael Estevam Win	-550	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +120

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $43.94