Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York City

Game Overview

The middleweight bout between Bo Nickal and Rodolfo Vieira at UFC 322 features two high-level grapplers and finishers with contrasting styles and recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bo Nickal holds a 7-1 record, showing a strong striking accuracy (59%) and solid defense (absorbing 2.11 significant strikes per minute). Rodolfo Vieira is 11-3 with an aggressive style focusing on submissions, landing more significant strikes per minute (3.77) but absorbing more (4.12). Nickal's average fight time is shorter (5:08) versus Vieira's longer bouts (9:43).
• No prior head-to-head fights between Nickal and Vieira have occurred, making this a stylistic matchup between Nickal's striking and wrestling versus Vieira's jiu-jitsu and submission prowess.
• No reported injuries to either fighter entering this bout, indicating both are at full strength.
• The fight takes place in Nickal's home country (USA) in a major venue adding potential crowd support. Vieira is slightly older (36 vs. 29) which may affect endurance and recovery.
• Nickal is coming off a recent TKO loss but motivated to rebound against a submission specialist, while Vieira seeks validation as a top middleweight grappler stepping into the UFC spotlight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bo Nickal -205, Rodolfo Vieira +170	Bo Nickal	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Bo Nickal -3.5 -105, Rodolfo Vieira +3.5 -125	Bo Nickal -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -166, Under 2.5 +130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Vieira -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 38% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bo Nickal to win by decision

Predicted Score: Bo Nickal wins by unanimous decision without significant damage

Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rodolfo Vieira, a highly skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and 35-year-old orthodox fighter, faces Tresean Gore, a younger 31-year-old switch fighter known for his striking, in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vieira holds a superior career record (10-3) compared to Gore (6-3) and demonstrates higher striking accuracy (55% vs 46%) and better defensive metrics, allowing fewer significant strikes per minute (4.40 vs 8.16). Gore shows durability but less effective defense.
• No previous head-to-head matchup between Vieira and Gore, making this their first encounter.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full health.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for Vieira with possibly minimal travel disruption; Gore may have less experience fighting at this location but no clear disadvantage.
• Vieira, at 35, aims to reinforce his UFC standing and capitalize on his grappling dominance before potential age regression, whereas Gore, younger and termed 'Mr. Vicious,' seeks to build momentum ascending the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rodolfo_Vieira: -198, Tresean_Gore: 164	Rodolfo Vieira	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Rodolfo_Vieira_-3.5: -140, Tresean_Gore_+3.5: 100	Rodolfo Vieira -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_1.5: -145, under_1.5: 114	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Vieira -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Vieira to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission or decision after 2-3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction	Rodolfo Vieira Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction	Kevin Vallejos Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher Prediction	Rinya Nakamura Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +130

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $45.93