Match Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs Tresean Gore – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas
Game Overview
Rodolfo Vieira, a highly skilled Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu specialist and 35-year-old orthodox fighter, faces Tresean Gore, a younger 31-year-old switch fighter known for his striking, in a middleweight UFC bout at UFC Vegas 108.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vieira holds a superior career record (10-3) compared to Gore (6-3) and demonstrates higher striking accuracy (55% vs 46%) and better defensive metrics, allowing fewer significant strikes per minute (4.40 vs 8.16). Gore shows durability but less effective defense.
- No previous head-to-head matchup between Vieira and Gore, making this their first encounter.
- No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both athletes should be at full health.
- The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for Vieira with possibly minimal travel disruption; Gore may have less experience fighting at this location but no clear disadvantage.
- Vieira, at 35, aims to reinforce his UFC standing and capitalize on his grappling dominance before potential age regression, whereas Gore, younger and termed 'Mr. Vicious,' seeks to build momentum ascending the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rodolfo_Vieira: -198, Tresean_Gore: 164 | Rodolfo Vieira | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Rodolfo_Vieira_-3.5: -140, Tresean_Gore_+3.5: 100 | Rodolfo Vieira -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over_1.5: -145, under_1.5: 114 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rodolfo Vieira -2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 -2% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rodolfo Vieira to win via submission or decision
Predicted Score: Vieira wins by submission or decision after 2-3 rounds