Match Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs Rodolfo Bellato – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 1:40 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Fight Night 260, Perth, Australia

Game Overview

Navajo Stirling, an undefeated 7-0 light heavyweight known for balanced striking, wrestling, and Brazilian jiu-jitsu, faces Rodolfo Bellato, a more experienced but less consistent fighter with a record of 12-2-1 (1 NC). Stirling is the strong favorite based on odds and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stirling maintains a 7-0 undefeated record with notable accuracies in striking (56%) and a high strike volume, reflecting consistent dominance; Bellato, despite a solid overall record, has faced recent disruptions including a no-contest due to fouls and lacks Stirling's undefeated momentum.
• No recorded previous head-to-head bouts, making this a stylistic and form-based analysis rather than direct matchup history.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter heading into this bout, implying both will enter at full physical capacity.
• Fight is held in Perth, Australia, potentially closer to Stirling's home gym (City Kickboxing). Bellato's recent travel and fight disruptions might affect preparation.
• Stirling seeks to maintain his perfect record and rise up UFC light heavyweight rankings, providing strong motivation; Bellato aims to rebound from recent setbacks, motivated but underdog status may impact psychological dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Navajo Stirling: -245, Rodolfo Bellato: +200	Navajo Stirling	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Navajo Stirling -7.5: -115, Rodolfo Bellato +7.5: -115	Navajo Stirling -7.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over 1.5 rounds: -180, under 1.5 rounds: +140	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Navajo Stirling -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 44%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Navajo Stirling to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Navajo Stirling wins by KO in Round 1 or 2

Match Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 1:40 AM UTC
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

The fight between Rodolfo Bellato and Paul Craig is a clash of styles, with Bellato looking to assert himself as a rising contender in the light heavyweight division against the experienced veteran Craig.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bellato enters this fight with a strong record of finishes, while Craig is known for his submission skills but has been on a losing streak.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Craig's recent losses and Bellato's youth and aggression could influence the fight dynamics.
• Bellato is highly motivated to prove himself against a veteran like Craig, while Craig seeks to extend his UFC contract.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-410 (Bellato), +320 (Craig)	Bellato to win	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	-3.5 (Bellato) -250, +3.5 (Craig) 180	Bellato to win by more than 3.5 points	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds -125, Under 1.5 rounds -105	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Rodolfo Bellato 198%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodolfo Bellato at 198% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Rodolfo Bellato is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent form.

Predicted Score: Bellato via decision or early finish

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 17, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig Prediction	Rodolfo Bellato	-535	275%
Elise Reed vs. Denise Gomes Prediction	Under 2.5	145	47%
Jared Gordon vs. Thiago Moises Prediction	Over 2.5	-330	36%

Combined Odds: +279 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $75.78