Match Analysis: Rodolfo Bellato vs Paul Craig – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: June 14, 2025
- Time: 1:40 AM UTC
- Location: Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
The fight between Rodolfo Bellato and Paul Craig is a clash of styles, with Bellato looking to assert himself as a rising contender in the light heavyweight division against the experienced veteran Craig.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bellato enters this fight with a strong record of finishes, while Craig is known for his submission skills but has been on a losing streak.
- This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
- No reported injuries for either fighter.
- Craig's recent losses and Bellato's youth and aggression could influence the fight dynamics.
- Bellato is highly motivated to prove himself against a veteran like Craig, while Craig seeks to extend his UFC contract.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -410 (Bellato), +320 (Craig) | Bellato to win | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Spread | -3.5 (Bellato) -250, +3.5 (Craig) 180 | Bellato to win by more than 3.5 points | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 rounds -125, Under 1.5 rounds -105 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rodolfo Bellato 198% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Rodolfo Bellato at 198% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 61.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rodolfo Bellato is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent form.
Predicted Score: Bellato via decision or early finish