Match Analysis: Rob Font vs David Martinez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 12:10 AM UTC
- Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio
Game Overview
The bantamweight UFC matchup features veteran Rob Font (22-8) facing the younger, rising star David Martinez (12-1). Font is experienced, employing a precise striking style with solid defense, while Martinez is aggressive with high accuracy and a clean record. Both fighters stand orthodox, with Font having a slight reach advantage and absorbing more strikes per minute.
Key Factors to Consider
- Font’s consistency and octagon experience give him an edge, but Martinez shows elite striking efficiency and durability, demonstrated by his undefeated record and recent TKO finish.
- No prior direct matchups between Font and Martinez, making analysis reliant on style and recent form comparisons.
- No reported injuries for either fighter; Martinez stepped in on short notice but appears healthy and motivated.
- Fight at Frost Bank Center favors Font slightly due to proximity and crowd support, but Martinez’s momentum as a rising star balances this factor.
- Font seeks to maintain top contender status at 38 years old; Martinez looks to solidify breakout status and prove himself against a seasoned opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Font: -130, Martinez: +110 | Rob Font | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Font -3.5 165, Martinez +3.5 -230 | Rob Font -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -315, Under 2.5 230 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rob Font 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 105% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 105% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rob Font to win by decision
Predicted Score: Rob Font wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds