Match Analysis: Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Newcastle, Cage Warriors 193

Game Overview

Bantamweight MMA bout between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright at Cage Warriors 193. Both fighters are experienced with similar physical stats; fight scheduled for 13 September 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Richard Kallos has a record of 4-2 with 4 submission wins and 1 KO/TKO loss, showing strong grappling. Tom Wright is 2-2 with a balanced KO/TKO and submission wins, but less overall experience and recent form is split.
• No direct H2H records available, but Kallos has more wins overall and a higher finishing rate via submission.
• No reported current injuries for either fighter.
• Fight is at a neutral venue, Newcastle; no home advantage. Both fighters weigh similarly with slight weight advantage to Wright.
• Kallos, with a better career record, looks motivated to maintain winning momentum; Wright needs a win to stabilize his record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Kallos: +145, Tom Wright: -190	Tom Wright	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Tom Wright -1.5 rounds: -135, Richard Kallos +1.5 rounds: +115	Tom Wright -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tom Wright -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Wright at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tom Wright to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Tom Wright wins by decision after full 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Sam Kelly vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

Sam Kelly faces Richard Kallos in a bantamweight bout at Cage Warriors 185. Kelly is favored, with odds reflecting his recent performances and experience in the Cage Warriors promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Kelly has a mixed record, with recent losses to Alessandro Giordano and Gianluca Scottoli. However, he has shown strong finishing skills with quick wins against Pav Singh Sahota and Jack Eglin. Richard Kallos has less documented experience but is lighter, weighing in at 133.4 lbs compared to Kelly's 135.7 lbs.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Sam Kelly and Richard Kallos, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, which might favor Kelly due to home crowd support. However, Kallos's lighter weight could provide an advantage in terms of agility.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Kelly might have more pressure as the favorite and competing in front of a home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Kallos: 160, Sam Kelly: -210	Sam Kelly	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Sam Kelly is likely to win due to his experience and recent knockout victories.

Predicted Score: Decision or early stoppage in favor of Sam Kelly.