Match Analysis: Damiano Scogna vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 8:35 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The Bantamweight main card fight between Damiano Scogna and Richard Kallos is scheduled for three rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Scogna enters with a record of 5-1-1, including a mix of KO and submission wins, while Kallos holds a record of 4-2, with a strong submission profile. This matchup is set at the BEC Arena in Manchester and is part of Cage Warriors' exclusive invite-only event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damiano Scogna has a slightly better overall record (5-1-1) than Richard Kallos (4-2), with 33% of his wins by KO/TKO and 50% by submission. Kallos has a high submission rate (67% of wins). Scogna's recent form and ability to finish fights either by strikes or submissions indicate versatile skills. Both fighters have strong grappling threats, with Scogna more balanced between striking and submission.
• No record of previous direct encounters between Scogna and Kallos is found, making this their first official fight against each other.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this match.
• The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester during an invite-only Cage Warriors event, which might add pressure but also motivation for both fighters to perform well in a prestigious setting.
• Both fighters are motivated to advance their careers in the competitive Bantamweight division; Scogna is slightly favored in betting markets, suggesting he may have greater confidence or momentum. Kallos may be motivated to overcome the betting underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Damiano Scogna: -700, Richard Kallos: 400	Damiano Scogna	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Damiano Scogna: -1.5 rounds favored, Richard Kallos: +1.5 rounds	Damiano Scogna to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds (likely finish before full 3 rounds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damiano Scogna -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damiano Scogna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damiano Scogna is favored to win due to his slightly superior record, more diverse fight-ending skills, and stronger betting support (-700 moneyline). The prediction confidence is moderately high given no prior head-to-head data but supported by current form and odds.

Predicted Score: Damiano Scogna wins via submission or TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Richard Kallos vs Tom Wright – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors 193, Newcastle

Game Overview

The bantamweight match between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright at Cage Warriors 193 is set for September 13, 2025. Both fighters have similar physiques with Kallos slightly shorter and with a slightly shorter reach. Kallos holds a 4-2 professional record with a strong submission game (4 submission wins), while Wright has a 2-2 record with more varied finish methods (1 KO/TKO, 1 submission). This fight marks an important contest to establish dominance in the division considering their records and styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Richard Kallos is more experienced with a 4-2 record, excelling in submissions whereas Tom Wright has an even 2-2 record including a KO/TKO win, indicating more diverse striking ability. Kallos' last loss was in mid-2021 with intermittent wins since then, suggesting solid form. Wright shows a balanced but less proven performance at 2-2.
• There are no recorded previous fights between Richard Kallos and Tom Wright, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries or physical disadvantages for either fighter in available data.
• The fight takes place at Cage Warriors 193, a notable event that could heighten both fighters' motivation due to exposure and ranking implications.
• Kallos, with more wins on record and a submission focus, likely aims to secure a finish to solidify his standing. Wright may be motivated to prove himself by leveraging his KO/TKO ability and to recover from an even win-loss record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Kallos: +145, Tom Wright: -190	Tom Wright favored by bookmakers	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Richard Kallos: +1.5, Tom Wright: -1.5	Tom Wright to cover -1.5 rounds (win decisively)	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	over: -110, under: -110	Under (match expected to end in fewer rounds/submission early)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Tom Wright -15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Tom Wright at -15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Richard Kallos is predicted to win by submission or decision due to his stronger grappling and experience advantage, with Tom Wright's striking posing a threat but less consistent threat overall.

Predicted Score: Tom Wright wins by decision (3 rounds) or Kallos wins by submission early rounds

Match Analysis: Sam Kelly vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

Sam Kelly faces Richard Kallos in a bantamweight bout at Cage Warriors 185. Kelly is favored, with odds reflecting his recent performances and experience in the Cage Warriors promotion.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sam Kelly has a mixed record, with recent losses to Alessandro Giordano and Gianluca Scottoli. However, he has shown strong finishing skills with quick wins against Pav Singh Sahota and Jack Eglin. Richard Kallos has less documented experience but is lighter, weighing in at 133.4 lbs compared to Kelly's 135.7 lbs.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Sam Kelly and Richard Kallos, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, which might favor Kelly due to home crowd support. However, Kallos's lighter weight could provide an advantage in terms of agility.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Kelly might have more pressure as the favorite and competing in front of a home crowd.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Richard Kallos: 160, Sam Kelly: -210	Sam Kelly	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Sam Kelly is likely to win due to his experience and recent knockout victories.

Predicted Score: Decision or early stoppage in favor of Sam Kelly.