Match Analysis: Arslanbek Makhmudov vs Ricardo Brown – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-27
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Videotron Centre, Quebec City, Canada
Game Overview
Arslanbek Makhmudov and Ricardo Brown face off in a heavyweight boxing match over 10 rounds. Makhmudov, with a record of 19-2, fights out of Montreal, Canada, while the undefeated Ricardo Brown (12-0, 11 KOs) fights out of Brampton, Ontario. This bout is critical for both fighters' careers, held in Quebec City on June 27, 2025.
Key Factors to Consider
- Makhmudov has had recent setbacks with two losses in his last three fights, including stoppages by Guido Vianello and Agit Kabayel, but also showcased power by stopping Miljan Rovcanin last year. Brown remains undefeated with a strong KO ratio and has shown resilience with a unanimous decision win after knocking down Adam Kolarik in October.
- This is the first meeting between Makhmudov and Brown, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
- No significant injuries reported for either boxer leading up to the fight.
- The fight takes place in Canada where both fighters have some local support, with Makhmudov based in Montreal and Brown in Brampton. The bout is televised live on ESPN+ in the US. Both fighters are considered heavy hitters with solid fan interest.
- Makhmudov seeks to rebound after recent losses and re-establish himself as a top heavyweight contender. Brown aims to defend his undefeated record and gain significant career momentum with a victory against a more experienced foe.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arslanbek Makhmudov: -255, Ricardo Brown: 195 | Arslanbek Makhmudov | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Makhmudov -1.5: -150, Brown +1.5: +130 | Makhmudov -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5 rounds: -110, Under 7.5 rounds: -110 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arslanbek Makhmudov 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Arslanbek Makhmudov at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Makhmudov is favored due to his experience and past high-level competition despite recent losses. Brown's youth and power make him a dangerous opponent. Expect a competitive fight with Makhmudov likely to leverage his ring savvy to secure a decision or late stoppage.
Predicted Score: Makhmudov wins by late-round stoppage or unanimous decision after 8-10 rounds