Match Analysis: Nick Maximov vs Renato Valente – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-01
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: A1 Combat event venue, Sacramento, California
Game Overview
This middleweight title bout at A1 Combat 29 features Nick Maximov, the reigning champion with a 12-2 professional record and UFC experience, against Renato Valente, an experienced challenger with an 11-7 record and training out of Kings MMA.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nick Maximov has demonstrated consistent dominance with a strong fighting style incorporating submissions (4) and knockouts (3), coupled with UFC-level competition experience. Renato Valente shows resilience and skill as a veteran fighter with 7 losses but remains dangerous due to his Kings MMA training pedigree.
- No direct past matchups or head-to-head data are published, indicating this is their first competitive meeting.
- No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match, suggesting both are in full health.
- The fight takes place in Sacramento, potentially giving Nick Maximov a home advantage as an American fighter. Renato Valente is stepping into opponent territory, which may affect performance.
- Maximov defends his middleweight title, providing strong incentive to maintain dominance. Valente looks to upset the champion, motivated by the opportunity to claim the belt and overcome a challenging record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nick Maximov: -800, Renato Valente: 425 | Nick Maximov | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Nick Maximov: -1.5 (-250), Renato Valente: +1.5 (+200) | Nick Maximov to win by at least 2 rounds | ★★★★☆ 80% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds (finish expected within 2 rounds) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nick Maximov -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Maximov at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Nick Maximov is the clear favorite due to superior record, UFC experience, and home advantage, with a high likelihood to retain his middleweight title against Renato Valente.
Predicted Score: Nick Maximov wins by submission or TKO in round 2