Match Analysis: Nick Maximov vs Renato Valente – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-31
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hard Rock Live, Wheatland, California, United States

Game Overview

The matchup features Nick Maximov, a grappling specialist with strong recent form, against Renato Valente, a veteran striker known for his durability and striking skills. Maximov enters as a heavy favorite based on current market odds and stylistic advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Maximov is on a positive trajectory with four wins in his last six fights, showcasing dominant grappling and ground control. Valente is a seasoned fighter but less consistent recently, with fewer recent wins and less grappling proficiency.
• There are no recorded previous encounters between Maximov and Valente, making this fight a fresh challenge for both.
• No reported injuries or medical issues for either fighter as of the latest updates, indicating both are likely at full fitness.
• The fight takes place at A1 Combat 29 in Maximov's home country, potentially favoring him through crowd support and familiarity with the venue.
• Maximov seeks to extend his victory streak and ascend in the middleweight rankings, providing strong motivation. Valente aims to upset a favorite and revive his career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Nick Maximov -800, Renato Valente +425	Nick Maximov	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Maximov -1.5 rounds at around -150	Maximov -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Under 2.5 rounds at -110, Over 2.5 rounds at -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Nick Maximov -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nick Maximov at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nick Maximov to win via submission or decision due to grappling dominance and favorable recent form.

Predicted Score: Nick Maximov wins by submission or dominant decision before the third round