Match Analysis: Regivaldo Carvalho vs Gustavo Pintos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-15
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Foxwoods Resort Casino, Mashantucket, Connecticut, United States
Game Overview
Featherweight bout between Regivaldo Carvalho and Gustavo Pintos at LFA 222. Carvalho is coming off a break which may affect his fitness and competitive edge. Pintos holds a recent winning streak and slight physical advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
- Carvalho has a mixed recent form with a break leading to potential loss in fitness. Pintos has momentum with a winning streak and a slightly higher form rating.
- No direct recent H2H data available, but predictions favor Carvalho by method distribution while Pintos shows consistent KO and decision capabilities.
- No major reported injuries on either side, but Carvalho's break suggests possible ring rust rather than injury concerns.
- The fight takes place in the US at a neutral venue. No significant external factors like travel or altitude advantage reported.
- Pintos appears highly motivated to continue his winning streak, whereas Carvalho's motivation could be impacted by his time off and potential fitness loss.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: +125, away: -165 | Gustavo Pintos | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | home: +1.5 110, away: -1.5 -130 | Gustavo Pintos -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over: 105, under: -135 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gustavo Pintos -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Gustavo Pintos to win by KO
Predicted Score: Pintos by KO in Round 2