Match Analysis: Joshua Padley vs Reece Bellotti – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Utilita Arena, Sheffield, GB

Game Overview

This is a Super-Featherweight 10-round bout between British fighters Joshua Padley and Reece Bellotti. Padley is the heavy favorite due to recent form and home advantage, while Bellotti looks for redemption after a tough recent stoppage loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Joshua Padley is in excellent recent form with dominant performances and a significant winning streak, showcasing solid technical skills and stamina. Reece Bellotti has struggled lately with a notable loss by late stoppage but remains a tenacious competitor.
• There is no prior recorded head-to-head meeting between Padley and Bellotti, making this their first competitive encounter.
• No publicized injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, implying both are in full fitness to compete at peak level.
• The fight is on Padley’s home turf in Sheffield, providing a strong crowd support and familiar environment, which could influence momentum and morale during the fight.
• Padley is motivated to maintain his undefeated momentum and capitalize on home advantage, while Bellotti is driven to rebound strongly from a recent stoppage loss, seeking to revive his career trajectory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Joshua Padley: -550, Reece Bellotti: +366	Joshua Padley	★★★★☆ 88%
Spread	Padley -3.5: -190, Bellotti +3.5: +150	Padley -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -285, Under 8.5 rounds: +212	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Joshua Padley -2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 87%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 87% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joshua Padley to win decisively by decision with the fight going the distance.

Predicted Score: Padley wins by decision after 10 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Giorgio Visoli vs. James Wilkinson Prediction	Home -3.5 rounds (Visoli)	-150	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Joe Howarth vs. Kane Baker Prediction	Joe Howarth -3.5 rounds	-110	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Joshua Padley vs. Reece Bellotti Prediction	Padley -3.5	-190	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +386

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $97.13

Match Analysis: Ryan Garner vs Reece Bellotti – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bournemouth International Centre, Bournemouth, United Kingdom

Game Overview

Ryan Garner vs Reece Bellotti is a highly anticipated super featherweight boxing match scheduled for 12 rounds. Garner enters undefeated (17-0) as a strong favorite, while Bellotti (20-5) is an experienced former British and Commonwealth titleholder on a six-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Garner is unbeaten with 8 KOs and recently defended his European title successfully; Bellotti has shown resilience, recovering from a loss to win six consecutive bouts, including notable power with 15 KOs in total.
• No direct previous encounters between the fighters; Garner is favored in betting markets due to his unbeaten record and recent form.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• Bout takes place at Bournemouth International Centre, giving a slight home advantage to Garner being local; fight streamed globally on DAZN, building high viewer interest.
• Garner aims to maintain his perfect record and European title, motivated by rising profile; Bellotti motivated to reclaim higher status and leverage recent winning momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ryan Garner -350, Reece Bellotti +250	Ryan Garner	★★★★☆ 74%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds -210, Under 10.5 rounds +170	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ryan Garner -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 62%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Garner will win by decision

Predicted Score: Ryan Garner wins by decision, 10-8 rounds