Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs FCSB – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade, Serbia

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Red Star Belgrade (FK Crvena Zvezda) and FCSB is scheduled for November 27, 2025, at the Stadium Rajko Mitić in Belgrade. Both teams are competing in the league phase, with Red Star having a slight home advantage and experience in European competitions. FCSB travels for this crucial fixture, aiming to improve their standing. The match is expected to be competitive given both teams' recent European struggles and the importance of points at this stage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Red Star Belgrade currently sits 25th in the UEFA Europa League standings with 4 points from 4 games, showing occasional struggles to impose dominance. FCSB has similarly faced challenges in Europe, making this a tightly contested matchup. Red Star benefits from home form and European pedigree, whereas FCSB will rely on tactical discipline and counter-attack opportunities.
• Recent H2H data is limited, but both clubs have met in competitive European matches previously, often resulting in close contests. Home advantage for Red Star historically favors them, but FCSB has managed to claim points on occasion.
• No explicit recent injury reports have been found for either team ahead of this fixture. Both sides are expected to field near full-strength squads, pending final confirmations.
• The match venue, Stadium Rajko Mitić, offers a strong home atmosphere backing Red Star. Weather conditions and travel fatigue could slightly influence FCSB. UEFA Europa League group dynamics add pressure for gaining crucial points.
• Red Star’s drive to perform strongly at home in Europe is high given their standing. FCSB faces motivation from the need to secure points away, to keep hopes alive for progression. Both teams have comparable incentives to win, intensifying competitive spirit.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	red_star_belgrade: -240, fcsb: +615, draw: +365	Red Star Belgrade Win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	red_star_belgrade: -1.25 at -118, fcsb: +1.25 at -102	Red Star Belgrade -1.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_2.75: -123, under_2.75: +103	Under 2.75 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Red Star Belgrade -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Red Star Belgrade is favored to win due to home advantage and slightly stronger European experience, but the game could be close with a chance for a draw or an upset by FCSB.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs Lille – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-06
• Time: 5:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade

Game Overview

Red Star Belgrade, Serbian SuperLiga champions and domestic double winners, face Lille, a consistent Ligue 1 club with recent Champions League experience, in the UEFA Europa League League Phase. Both teams look to secure their first win in this phase, with Red Star looking to leverage home advantage while Lille aims to bounce back after a recent loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Red Star Belgrade showed strong domestic form, clinching the Serbian SuperLiga early and performing well in the Serbian Cup, though they have struggled in Europa League group matches, currently with no wins and a negative goal difference. Lille, fifth in Ligue 1 last season, progressed to the Champions League Round of 16, led offensively by Jonathan David. Their Europa League form reflects challenges but with higher European pedigree and attack potency overall.
• This match marks the first-ever meeting between Red Star Belgrade and Lille, leaving no direct historical data for head-to-head performance.
• No explicit recent injury details available for either team affecting this match.
• The home atmosphere at Stadion Rajko Mitić is expected to boost Red Star, while Lille may have motivation to recover after a recent home defeat. Weather and travel conditions appear normal with match in Serbia and no noted disruptions.
• Both teams seek their first Europa League win this season; Red Star wants to capitalize on home advantage and improve its position, Lille desires to maintain European competitiveness and respond positively after setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lille: 1.29, Red Star Belgrade: 1.95, Draw: 2.45	Lille win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Lille -0.25: -105, Red Star Belgrade +25: -125	Lille -0.25	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -115, Under 2.75: -115	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Lille 15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lille at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lille are favored to win a close, low-scoring game by a narrow margin, taking advantage of superior European experience and offensive threat despite Red Star's home support.

Predicted Score: Lille 1 – 0 Red Star Belgrade

Match Analysis: SC Braga vs Red Star Belgrade – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-23
• Time: 4:45 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga, Portugal

Game Overview

SC Braga hosts Red Star Belgrade (FK Crvena zvezda) in Matchday 3 of the UEFA Europa League 2025/26 League Phase. Braga has won both of its group stage matches so far, keeping clean sheets in six of their last eight games and scoring 17 goals in this period, demonstrating both a prolific attack and defensive solidity. Red Star, while currently ranked lower in UEFA coefficients, has managed to score in both group games and will look to improve their away record in Portugal.

Key Factors to Consider

• Braga’s recent form is superior, with a strong defensive record and a potent attack, while Red Star has shown resilience by scoring in most matches but has defensive vulnerabilities. Braga has lost only once domestically and is unbeaten at home in Europe this season. Red Star’s stats are less impressive defensively, but they remain dangerous in attack.
• Braga has a perfect record against Serbian opposition, winning all four previous meetings. Red Star has lost three of their four encounters with Portuguese teams, with only one win. This historical context favors Braga, especially at home.
• No specific injury news is provided in the available data. Please check for updates from official club sources closer to kickoff.
• No significant weather or travel disruptions are indicated. Braga has a strong home advantage, and Red Star faces the challenge of playing away from home in a tough European stadium.
• Both teams are highly motivated; Braga to maintain their perfect start in the group and solidify credentials for the knockout stage, while Red Star will fight to improve their standing and avoid falling too far behind in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Red Star Belgrade: 295, SC Braga: -114, Draw: 260	SC Braga to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Red Star Belgrade: 50 -112, SC Braga: -0.5 -118	SC Braga to cover (-0.5)	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -120, Under: 2.5 -110	Over 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	SC Braga 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: SC Braga at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Braga is favored to win at home, given their recent form, historical record against Serbian teams, and superior defensive and attacking stats. However, Red Star’s ability to score even in difficult matches suggests they could find the net, making a high-scoring encounter possible.

Predicted Score: SC Braga 2-1 Red Star Belgrade

Match Analysis: Porto vs Red Star Belgrade – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-02
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio Do Dragão, Porto

Game Overview

FC Porto hosts Red Star Belgrade in a UEFA Europa League group stage match at Estádio Do Dragão. Porto enters as the clear favorite at home against a traditionally strong but underdog visiting team from Serbia.

Key Factors to Consider

• Porto has a strong home record and solid performances in domestic and European competitions this season, while Red Star Belgrade is competitive but less consistent in away UEFA matches.
• Historically, matches between Porto and Red Star Belgrade have been limited in recent years. Available data shows no significant prior Europa League meetings, making direct head-to-head less predictable.
• No significant injury reports or squad restrictions have been reported for either team as of current data.
• The match will be refereed by Harm Osmers from Germany, with VAR available. No unusual external conditions, such as weather or fan restrictions, have been noted.
• Porto aims to assert dominance on home turf to secure early group stage points, while Red Star is motivated to prove themselves against a top-tier opponent to improve their European standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Porto: -300, Red_Star_Belgrade: 675, Draw: 435	Porto Win	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Porto_-1.5: -110, Red_Star_Belgrade_+1.5: -120	Porto -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over_3: -120, Under_3: -110	Over 3 Goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Porto -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Porto is predicted to win the match, leveraging their home advantage and stronger recent form. The game is expected to be moderately high-scoring but controlled, with Porto likely to maintain a lead.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: Red Star Belgrade vs Celtic – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-24
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade

Game Overview

The UEFA Europa League group stage match between Red Star Belgrade and Celtic is set to be a competitive fixture at Stadion Rajko Mitić. Both teams will be keen on starting their group campaigns strongly. Red Star boasts a historically strong home record in European competitions, while Celtic is known for their tactical discipline and counter-attacking style. The match promises tactical battles and key individual matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• Red Star Belgrade has been solid at home in European competitions and maintains good form domestically. Celtic has shown resilience and consistent performance in European away fixtures and holds a strong midfield line. Both sides demonstrate a good balance of attack and defense, making the game tactically tight.
• Historically, meetings between Red Star Belgrade and Celtic have been balanced but competitive, with both sides securing wins at home in past European ties. Recent data indicates no significant dominance by either team, suggesting an evenly matched contest.
• No major injuries reported for either side, allowing for near-strongest lineups. Celtic must monitor fitness levels for players facing fixture congestion, while Red Star will rely on key players highlighted as threats.
• The home crowd at Stadion Rajko Mitić is a strong influencing factor for Red Star Belgrade, often boosting their performance. Weather conditions on match day are expected to be favorable, with no significant disruptions forecasted.
• Both teams are motivated to secure early points in the group stage to build momentum. Red Star, playing at home, aims to capitalize on home advantage, while Celtic looks to prove their continental credentials away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Celtic: 151, Red Star Belgrade: 176, Draw: 245	Red Star Belgrade to win (moneyline)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Celtic: 0 -121, Red Star Belgrade: 0 -109	Red Star Belgrade 0 spread	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -128, Under 2.5: -102	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Red Star Belgrade 21%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested match is expected, with a slight edge to Red Star Belgrade due to home advantage and current form. A low scoring draw or narrow home win are the most likely outcomes.

Predicted Score: 1-0