Match Analysis: Auxerre vs RC Lens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 7:05 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, Auxerre, France
Game Overview
Auxerre, currently 14th with 6 points, faces 7th placed RC Lens with 10 points in this Ligue 1 Matchday 7 contest. Lens has stronger recent form and slightly better offensive/defensive stats, while Auxerre struggles with fewer goals scored and more conceded.
Key Factors to Consider
- Auxerre has won 2 and lost 4 of their first 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 8 goals. Lens has 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring 8 and conceding 5 goals in 6 matches.
- The previous encounter ended decisively in Auxerre's favor with a 4-0 win, but Lens has rebounded in form since then.
- No critical injuries reported for either side that would significantly alter starting lineups or weaken key players.
- Home advantage for Auxerre is moderate; match at their Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps, but Lens has shown good away resilience recently.
- Lens is motivated to secure a top-half position and maintain momentum; Auxerre aims to climb out of relegation-threatened positions, adding to their urgency.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +250, away: -104, draw: +270 | RC Lens | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Spread | home_+50: -118, away_-0.5: -102 | RC Lens -0.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Over/under | over_2.5: -120, under_2.5: +100 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | RC Lens 8% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 2.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
RC Lens to win on the moneyline; Lens to cover the -0.5 spread; Total goals over 2.5
Predicted Score: 1-2