Match Analysis: Raymond Ford vs Abraham Nova – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

A super featherweight 12-round boxing match between Raymond Ford, a former WBA featherweight champion known for his slick boxing, movement, and strong defense, against Abraham Nova, a seasoned fighter with significant power and physical reach advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Raymond Ford (17-1-1, 8 KOs) is on a positive run with two consecutive wins after losing his title in a recent fight. Abraham Nova (24-3-1, 17 KOs) has had uneven recent form with recent losses and a draw but carries notable punching power.
• No known previous head-to-head bouts between Ford and Nova, making direct matchup data unavailable.
• No reported injuries or fitness issues for either fighter ahead of the contest.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. No significant external factors such as travel issues or weather expected to impact performance.
• Ford seeks to reclaim top-level status after a recent title loss, highly motivated to leverage his boxing skills. Nova aims to capitalize on his power and upset as a late replacement, also motivated but less consistent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Raymond Ford: -910, Abraham Nova: 560	Raymond Ford	★★★★☆ 83%
Spread	Raymond Ford -5.5 rounds: -250, Abraham Nova +5.5 rounds: 180	Raymond Ford -5.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 10.5 rounds: -200, Under 10.5 rounds: 165	Under 10.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Raymond Ford -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 10.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 10.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raymond Ford to win by decision

Predicted Score: Raymond Ford wins by decision, likely finishing between the 9th and 12th rounds

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – August 16, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Raymond Ford vs. Abraham Nova Prediction	Under 10.5	165	59%
Filip Hrgović vs. David Adeleye Prediction	Under 8.5	120	54%
Moses Itauma vs. Dillian Whyte Prediction	Under 4.5	105	33%

Combined Odds: +1095 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $239.03

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Nick Ball vs. Sam Goodman Prediction	Nick Ball Win	-450	★★★★☆ 79% (79%)
Moses Itauma vs. Dillian Whyte Prediction	Moses Itauma Win	-1000	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Raymond Ford vs. Abraham Nova Prediction	Raymond Ford -5.5 rounds	-250	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -113

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $37.64

Match Analysis: Raymond Ford vs Thomas Mattice – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 12, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall, Atlantic City

Game Overview

The boxing match between Raymond Ford and Thomas Mattice is scheduled as part of the undercard for Jaron Ennis vs. Eimantas Stanionis. Ford, with a record of 16-1-1, faces Mattice (22-4-1) for the WBA Continental North America Super-Featherweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ford has recently moved up to super featherweight and is looking to secure another title shot. Mattice, with a significant power advantage, aims to upset Ford’s plans.
• There is no recorded head-to-head history between Ford and Mattice.
• No reported injuries.
• The fight being close to Ford’s home may favor him, but Mattice’s power and experience could counter this.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ford seeking a crucial win for future title opportunities and Mattice looking to pull off an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1430 (Ford), 730 (Mattice)	Raymond Ford	★★★★☆ 85%
Over_under	-330 (Over 8.5), 240 (Under 8.5)	Over 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Raymond Ford -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 -22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Raymond Ford at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raymond Ford is likely to win due to his recent form and the potential home advantage.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Ford