Match Analysis: Rasul Magomedov vs Guilherme Viana – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-21
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hollywood, Florida, USA
Game Overview
The MMA bout between Rasul Magomedov and Guilherme Viana is the main event of the 2025 PFL World Tournament Finals, held in Hollywood, Florida. Magomedov is undefeated with a 7-0 record, known for a balanced finishing style including KO/TKO and submissions. Viana is the more experienced fighter at 39 years old, with a 9-3 record and a size advantage in height and reach but has been less consistent recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Magomedov boasts a perfect 7-0 record with 4 KO/TKOs and 2 submissions, showing versatility and dominance. Viana has more total fights (9-3) and higher KO wins but has 3 losses, indicating some vulnerability. Magomedov fights in prime age (30) with peak physical condition compared to Viana (39).
- No prior head-to-head fights between Rasul Magomedov and Guilherme Viana have been recorded.
- No recent injuries or weight issues have been reported for either fighter heading into the match.
- The fight takes place at a neutral site in Hollywood, Florida, at the PFL 10 event which has heightened stakes including tournament finals status that could influence fighter motivation and performance.
- Magomedov is highly motivated to maintain an undefeated record and capture the PFL championship at his peak age. Viana aims to leverage experience and size to overcome the younger fighter and prolong his career with a big upset.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rasul Magomedov: -2000, Guilherme Viana: 950 | Rasul Magomedov to win | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Rasul Magomedov -1.5: -110, Guilherme Viana +1.5: -110 | Rasul Magomedov to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Rasul Magomedov -14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Rasul Magomedov at -14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Rasul Magomedov is favored to win given his undefeated record, younger age, and balanced finishing ability. The odds heavily favor Magomedov (-2000) versus Viana (+950), suggesting strong confidence in Magomedov's victory. Expect a likely finish via KO/TKO or submission before decision.
Predicted Score: Rasul Magomedov wins by KO/TKO or submission in Round 2