Match Analysis: SK Sturm Graz vs Rangers FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-02
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: UPC-Arena, Graz, Austria
Game Overview
UEFA Europa League group stage match between home side SK Sturm Graz and visitors Rangers FC. Both teams have recent mixed form with Sturm Graz slightly favored due to home advantage and recent stronger domestic performances. Rangers have struggled somewhat in Europe but maintain quality and motivation.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sturm Grazβs recent form includes a solid 1-0 win at home against Hartberg and a strong 2-0 away victory over Salzburg, showing good offensive and defensive capabilities. Rangers had a recent 2-1 away league win but lost 0-1 at home to Genk in Europa League and a historic 0-6 loss in UCL qualifiers, indicating some European inconsistency.
- No prior competitive matches between Sturm Graz and Rangers, so no direct H2H data to influence prediction.
- No significant injury news publicly available for either side ahead of the match, both squads expected to be near full strength.
- Home advantage for Sturm Graz at the UPC-Arena, with travel and climate familiarities favoring the Austrian side. Rangers face travel fatigue from recent fixtures but have experienced European travel.
- Both teams are motivated, fighting for points in Europa League group stages, but Sturm Graz have recent positive momentum and home support boosting confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | sturm_graz: 135, rangers: 185, draw: 245 | SK Sturm Graz | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | sturm_graz_-0.25: 102, rangers_+25: -132 | SK Sturm Graz -0.25 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | over_2.75: -112, under_2.75: -118 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | SK Sturm Graz 10% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 5% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: SK Sturm Graz at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: SK Sturm Graz to win; Spread: SK Sturm Graz -0.25; Over/Under: Under 2.75 goals
Predicted Score: 1-0