3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis Prediction	Josh Hokit Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jackson McVey vs. Zachary Reese Prediction	Zachary Reese Win	-300	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown Prediction	Gabriel Bonfim Win	-170	★★★★☆ 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +162

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $52.32

Match Analysis: Nicolas Dalby vs Randy Brown – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-27
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Kansas City (assumed based on context)

Game Overview

Welterweight main card matchup between Randy Brown (19-6-0) and Nicolas Dalby (23-5-1). Brown holds physical advantages in height (6'3" vs 5'11"), reach (78" vs 74"), and striking accuracy (47% vs 43%). Dalby has superior average fight duration (13:39 vs 10:41) and recent momentum with 3 consecutive wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brown's 4.35 SLpM and 54% striking defense vs Dalby's durability (13:39 avg fight time). Brown's 0.6 submission attempts/15min vs Dalby's 0.1.
• First professional meeting between fighters
• No reported injuries from available data
• 4" reach advantage for Brown critical in striking exchanges
• Dalby (40) potentially facing later-career matchup importance vs Brown's (34) prime physical condition

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dalby +215/Brown -265	Randy Brown moneyline	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Dalby +3.5 (-135)/Brown -3.5 (+100)	Brown -3.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-298)/Under 2.5 (+220)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Randy Brown -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Randy Brown by decision (60% confidence) due to technical striking advantage and reach management

Predicted Score: Randy Brown via Unanimous Decision (29-28)