Match Analysis: Tommy Cuozzi vs Ramiro Jimenez – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-20
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Dana White's Contender Series venue (unspecified)
Game Overview
The upcoming featherweight MMA fight between Tommy Cuozzi and Ramiro Jimenez is a main card bout at Dana White's Contender Series on August 20, 2025. Tommy Cuozzi enters undefeated at 8-0 with a strong knockout rate, while Ramiro Jimenez is the favored fighter by bookmakers with moneyline odds at -390 compared to Cuozzi's +280.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tommy Cuozzi has an 8-0 record with 75% of wins by KO and only 12.5% by submission. Ramiro Jimenez's detailed record is not provided, but he is heavily favored in betting which implies strong performance or reputation.
- This appears to be their first official meeting; no prior head-to-head records are available.
- No current injury information is available for either fighter.
- Fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series, increasing pressure and motivation for both fighters to perform well and secure UFC contracts. The fight venue specifics are not detailed.
- Both fighters have strong incentives: Cuozzi to maintain his undefeated streak and improve his standing, and Jimenez, as the betting favorite, is likely confident and motivated to justify his odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ramiro Jimenez: -390, Tommy Cuozzi: +280 | Ramiro Jimenez to win | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Spread | Ramiro Jimenez -1.5 rounds: -150, Tommy Cuozzi +1.5 rounds: +130 | Ramiro Jimenez to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ramiro Jimenez -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ramiro Jimenez at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Due to Ramiro Jimenez's heavy favoritism in moneyline odds and absence of injuries or disadvantages, Jimenez is the predicted winner by a decision or late-round finish, although Cuozzi's undefeated record and knockout power keep the likelihood of an upset moderate.
Predicted Score: Ramiro Jimenez wins by decision after 3 rounds