Match Analysis: Piotr Kuberski vs Radoslaw Paczuski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 4:00 AM UTC
- Location: KSW 109 event venue (unspecified)
Game Overview
Middleweight title bout between Piotr Kuberski, a highly experienced fighter with a 16-1 record, and RadosΕaw Paczuski, the current champion holding an 8-2 record.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kuberski shows dominant recent form with 16 wins and only 1 loss, demonstrating strong finishing ability; Paczuski, while champion, has a lesser experience base with 8-2 and less frequent fights recently.
- No prior direct matchups found between Kuberski and Paczuski, making this a first-time encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter in available data.
- Fight held at KSW 109 in Poland, both fighters Polish which neutralizes home advantage; main event status adds motivation to both.
- Title and legacy at stake; Kuberski motivated to capture the belt and avenge his single loss, Paczuski defending title with less fight volume but champion mentality.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Piotr Kuberski -350, Radoslaw Paczuski +225 | Piotr Kuberski | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Not explicitly provided; inferred typical MMA rounds spread -1.5 or +1.5 rounds | Piotr Kuberski -1.5 rounds (to win convincingly) | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Not explicitly provided; standard MMA over/under at 2.5 rounds | Under 2.5 rounds (fight ends before the third round) | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Piotr Kuberski -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Piotr Kuberski at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Piotr Kuberski to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Piotr Kuberski wins by TKO/Submission in round 2