Match Analysis: Quang Le vs Santiago Luna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 10:45 PM UTC
• Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas, USA

Game Overview

In this UFC Bantamweight matchup, Santiago Luna makes his UFC debut at 6-0 MMA record with a 100% finish rate, while Quang Le, with a 9-2 record and 1-2 in UFC fights, looks to rebound after an inconsistent UFC start.

Key Factors to Consider

• Luna has won all 6 pro MMA fights by finish, demonstrating strong finishing ability (2 KOs, 4 submissions). Le has solid striking but lower accuracy and defense, offset by high takedown defense (100%) and solid grappling.
• No previous head-to-head encounters between Luna and Le.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
• Fight takes place at Frost Bank Center in Luna's UFC debut; Luna may have added motivation to impress. Le may face pressure to stabilize UFC performance record.
• Luna is highly motivated to make a statement in his UFC debut with flawless finishing record; Le aims to improve UFC standing after early setbacks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Quang Le: +114, Santiago Luna: -135	Santiago Luna	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Quang Le +3.5: -155, Santiago Luna -3.5: +115	Santiago Luna -3.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Santiago Luna -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Santiago Luna to win by finish

Predicted Score: Santiago Luna wins by submission or KO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Gaston Bolanos vs Quang Le – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 3, 2025
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

The upcoming UFC bantamweight bout between Gaston Bolanos and Quang Le is a significant matchup for both fighters seeking to solidify their positions in the UFC. Bolanos, with a record of 8-4, has shown strong striking skills, while Le, 8-2, has faced setbacks in his recent UFC appearances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bolanos has secured six of his eight wins via knockout and has a solid UFC performance record. Le, known for his knockout potential, has struggled in recent fights, losing to Chris Gutierrez and Xiao Long.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of a major UFC event, which could impact performance due to the high stakes.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win and improve their UFC standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bolanos: -130, Le: 110	Gaston Bolanos	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Bolanos: -3.5 125, Le: 3.5 -175	Gaston Bolanos	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -166, Under: 2.5 130	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Gaston Bolanos 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Gaston Bolanos at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gaston Bolanos is favored to win due to his consistent performances and well-rounded skills.

Predicted Score: Gaston Bolanos wins via decision (30-27 or similar).

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Marina Rodriguez vs. Gillian Robertson Prediction	Gillian Robertson Win	-305	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Ryan Loder vs. Azamat Bekoev Prediction	Azamat Bekoev Win	-410	★★★★☆ 73% (73%)
Gaston Bolanos vs. Quang Le Prediction	Gaston Bolanos Win	-130	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +192

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $58.45