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NAC Breda vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NAC Breda vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-22
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda, Netherlands

Game Overview

NAC Breda hosts PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie Round 13, featuring a significant mismatch in quality and form. PSV Eindhoven currently sit in second place with 19 points from 8 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while NAC Breda occupy a mid-table position with 7 points from 8 matches (2 wins, 1 draw, 5 losses). This fixture represents a classic David versus Goliath encounter, with PSV heavily favored as table-toppers competing for the championship.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven has demonstrated dominant form this season, winning 6 of their 8 matches and maintaining a +14 goal difference. The team features key attacking threat Ivan Perisic (7 matches, 5 assists) and midfielder Jerdy Schouten (8 matches, 2 assists). NAC Breda's inconsistent performanceβ€”with only 2 wins in 8 matches and recent results including losses to Heracles (1-4) and Volendam (2-1)β€”suggests significant defensive vulnerabilities. However, they have shown capability with recent draws against PEC Zwolle (2-2) and SC Heerenveen (3-3), indicating offensive potential.
  • PSV Eindhoven dominates the historical matchup, having won 10 of the last 11 encounters against NAC Breda across all competitions. Recent direct meetings show PSV's superiority: PSV defeated NAC Breda 3-2 on January 25, 2025, and 3-0 on November 9, 2024. NAC Breda's only recent competitive win occurred in January 2020 (2-0 in KNVB Beker), and they have not defeated PSV in league play recently. This overwhelming historical advantage strongly favors PSV.
  • NAC Breda has reported Leo Greiml as injured with expected absence through late November 2025, potentially weakening their defensive line. This injury is significant given their defensive fragility. PSV's injury status from available data appears limited, suggesting a healthier squad composition.
  • The match takes place at Rat Verlegh Stadion in Breda, providing NAC with home-field advantage. However, PSV's superior away record and consistent performance across venues typically mitigates home advantage. The November timing presents no unusual weather or scheduling complications. PSV's consistency in away matches limits the typical home advantage boost.
  • PSV is motivated to maintain their title challenge and second-place position, while Feyenoord leads with 22 points. NAC Breda requires points to move away from mid-table obscurity and avoid relegation concerns. While NAC has motivation to upset the favorites, PSV's professional ambitions in the championship race provide stronger incentive. PSV typically maintains focus against lower-ranked opponents in domestic competitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NAC Breda: +650 | PSV Eindhoven: -335 | Draw: +500 PSV Eindhoven Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 87%
Spread NAC Breda +1.5 (102) | PSV Eindhoven -1.5 (-122) PSV Eindhoven -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Over/under Over 3.5 (-112) | Under 3.5 (-108) Over 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 10%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven is heavily favored to secure a convincing victory. Based on historical dominance (10 wins in last 11 matches), current form superiority, and NAC Breda's defensive limitations, PSV should win by 2+ goals. The absence of Leo Greiml further compromises NAC's defensive structure. PSV's attacking firepower, combined with PSV's professional approach to domestic fixtures, suggests a scoreline favoring PSV by at least two goals.

Predicted Score: NAC Breda 0-3 PSV Eindhoven (most likely) | Alternative scenarios: 0-2, 1-3, 1-2


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AZ Alkmaar vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 3:45 PM UTC
  • Location: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar, Netherlands

Game Overview

AZ Alkmaar (3rd in Eredivisie) hosts PSV Eindhoven (2nd) in a high-stakes Eredivisie fixture. Both teams are top-table contenders, with PSV recently unbeaten in their last three matches against AZ. PSV is strong offensively, averaging over 3 goals per away match, while AZ has a very good home scoring record, but has struggled recently against PSV.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV is in excellent form with 9 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw (28 points), boasting high scoring efficiency and consistency in away games. AZ Alkmaar has a good home record but has failed to beat PSV in their last three encounters, with a 67% win rate overall this season. PSV has scored multiple goals in recent H2H matches and dominates offensively.
  • PSV Eindhoven has been unbeaten in their last 3 matches against AZ Alkmaar. In these encounters, PSV scored at least 1 goal and often 2+, while AZ has been unable to secure a win in the last 3 matches versus PSV. Both teams tend to score, evidenced by 100% BTTS in recent meetings.
  • No explicit injury data available from the current sources, but both lineups are expected to feature their key scorers, such as T. Parrott for PSV with 6 goals in 6 matches, and strong midfield contributors for AZ like I. Saibari with 8 goals.
  • Match will be played at AZ Alkmaar’s home ground, AFAS Stadion, likely giving slight home advantage. Travel logistics for PSV supporters are managed with strict controls (car and bus combi), possibly reducing large fan presence. Weather or other external disruptions have not been indicated.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as top contenders in the Eredivisie fighting for higher table positions. PSV is defending their higher ranking and unbeaten H2H streak, while AZ seeks to break their losing trend against PSV and capitalize on home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline AZ Alkmaar: 1.95, PSV Eindhoven: 1.11, Draw: 3 PSV Eindhoven to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread AZ Alkmaar: -0.25 @ -105, PSV Eindhoven: +25 @ -115 PSV -0.25 (handicap) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 2, Under 3.5: 1.83 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 20%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven is favored to win given the form, head-to-head dominance, and scoring prowess. A close match with both sides scoring is expected, but PSV’s offensive edge and recent unbeaten record versus AZ make them the likely victors.

Predicted Score: AZ Alkmaar 1 – 3 PSV Eindhoven


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PSV Eindhoven vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Fortuna Sittard – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-31
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Game Overview

PSV Eindhoven hosts Fortuna Sittard in an Eredivisie Round 11 clash. PSV shows dominant historical superiority and strong home form, while Fortuna Sittard struggles away. PSV’s recent matches indicate consistent attacking performance and possession dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven are in good form, unbeaten in their last 19 Eredivisie meetings with Fortuna Sittard including 16 wins and 3 draws. They have a strong home record with 23 wins and 3 draws at Philips Stadion. Fortuna Sittard has poor recent away form with just 1 win in the last five away games and overall lower scoring efficiency.
  • In 15 past encounters since 2008, PSV won 13 times, Fortuna Sittard never won, and they drew twice. Recent meetings reflect similar trends with PSV winning the majority and maintaining clean defensive records. Last season, PSV won all home games versus Fortuna. Head-to-head stats show PSV’s clear dominance both on points and goals.
  • No specific injury updates found in the current data, suggesting both teams likely near full strength.
  • Match played at PSV’s Philips Stadion, giving home advantage to the hosts; attendance and atmosphere typically boost PSV. No reported major external disruptions or weather considerations at kickoff.
  • PSV aims to maintain top league standing and capitalize on home advantage against a struggling opponent. Fortuna Sittard needs points to improve league position but faces a psychological disadvantage given historical record against PSV.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1200, away: 1700, draw: 1000 PSV Eindhoven to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 92%
Spread home: -2.5 -115, away: +2.5 -105 PSV Eindhoven to cover -2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 88%
Over/under over: 3.75 -122, under: 3.75 102 Over 3.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 18%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given PSV Eindhoven’s historic dominance, strong recent form, home advantage, and poor Fortuna Sittard away record, PSV is heavily favored to win with a high chance of a clear victory margin and a relatively high goal total.

Predicted Score: PSV Eindhoven 4 – 1 Fortuna Sittard


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Augsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund Prediction Borussia Dortmund -149 25%
Sporting Lisbon vs. Alverca Prediction Over 3.5 -109 25%
PSV Eindhoven vs. Fortuna Sittard Prediction Over 3.75 -122 18%

Combined Odds: +483 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $116.62

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Feyenoord vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Feyenoord vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 1:30 PM UTC
  • Location: De Kuip, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

This top-tier Eredivisie clash features Feyenoord, currently first in the league, hosting PSV Eindhoven, ranked second. Both teams are in strong form, with PSV boasting a potent recent winning streak. Key players include Feyenoord’s forward A. Ueda with 11 goals and PSV’s midfielder G. Til with 4 goals. The match is expected to be competitive given the teams’ standings and attacking capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Feyenoord leads the Eredivisie with 25 points and a strong home record. PSV Eindhoven is close behind with 22 points and has won 14 of their last 16 league matches, indicating excellent form and consistency[1][3][2].
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been intensely close with each team having competitive showings; last season they met twice with notable performances on both sides. PSV’s recent dominance in matches (14 wins in 16) suggests a psychological edge[1][3][5].
  • No explicit injury reports available for this match. Both squads appear to field their best players, maintaining strong lineups based on available stats[2].
  • The match is played at De Kuip with home advantage favoring Feyenoord. No adverse weather or stadium issues reported. Motivational factors include league positioning fight as both teams vie for top spot[1].
  • Both teams are highly motivated: Feyenoord to maintain their lead, PSV to overtake them. Recent form and individual player ambitions (e.g., PSV’s Ricardo Pepi seeking World Cup spot) intensify the competitive stakes[2][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Feyenoord: 141, PSV Eindhoven: 155, Draw: 290 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Feyenoord: 0 -115, PSV Eindhoven: 0 -105 PSV Eindhoven +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 3.25: -120, Under 3.25: 100 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 32%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering the form, key players, and tight rivalry, a narrow win for PSV Eindhoven is predicted with a potentially high-scoring encounter, reflecting both teams’ attacking strengths and the over 3.25 goals line favored by odds.

Predicted Score: 2-3


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PSV Eindhoven vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-18
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Game Overview

This Dutch Eredivisie match features PSV Eindhoven, currently 2nd with a strong 6-1-1 record and 19 points, hosting Go Ahead Eagles, 10th with a 2-4-2 record and 10 points. PSV has been in good form offensively, highlighted by key players such as midfielder J Veerman (7 matches, 4 goals, 4 assists) and prolific forward Ricardo Pepi (recently scoring twice). Go Ahead Eagles are mid-table with less consistent results, making PSV heavy favorites at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven is performing strongly with 19 points in 8 matches and a dominant home record; their offensive power is notable with multiple players contributing goals and assists. Go Ahead Eagles have struggled for consistency, with fewer wins and less goal-scoring threat.
  • Recent encounters show PSV Eindhoven's typical dominance; last season they played two matches with PSV securing favorable outcomes. Historical H2H favors PSV both home and away.
  • Current reports do not list significant injuries affecting either side that would radically impact lineups, though last-minute squad checks are advised.
  • The match is at Philips Stadion, favoring PSV. No adverse weather or external disruptions are indicated. Motivation is high for PSV to maintain top league positioning and for Go Ahead Eagles to improve their standing.
  • PSV aims to consolidate their second place and keep pace with league leaders, leveraging home advantage and offensive midfielders in good scoring form. Go Ahead Eagles seek crucial points to climb from mid-table and will aim for a strong defensive setup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven: -435, Go Ahead Eagles: 700, Draw: 675 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread PSV Eindhoven: -2 -110, Go Ahead Eagles: +2 -110 PSV Eindhoven -2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Over/under Over 4: -118, Under 4: -102 Over 4 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 4 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven is predicted to win comfortably based on superior form, squad strength, and home advantage. Go Ahead Eagles may struggle to contain PSV's attack, leading to a likely high-scoring game favoring PSV.

Predicted Score: PSV Eindhoven 4 – 1 Go Ahead Eagles


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Excelsior vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: Excelsior vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion Woudestein, Rotterdam, Netherlands

Game Overview

The 7th round Eredivisie match features Excelsior hosting PSV Eindhoven at Stadion Woudestein. Excelsior, currently 14th in the league, faces the strong PSV Eindhoven side, ranked 2nd. PSV has shown significant offensive firepower, evidenced by recent high-scoring wins and key players contributing goals and assists. Excelsior tends to perform better later in matches but generally holds a lower standing and form compared to PSV.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven has demonstrated dominant performances this season with a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, accumulating 13 points and scoring multiple goals, led by stars such as Ricardo Pepi and Ivan Perisic. Excelsior holds a more modest record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses with 6 points. Excelsior tends to come on stronger in the second half but overall struggles against top teams.
  • Historical matchups strongly favor PSV Eindhoven over Excelsior, with the away team often dominating recent encounters. PSV has consistently won key head-to-head matches, and their superior squad depth and quality place them as clear favorites.
  • No specific injury data for either team is currently available in the provided sources; however, PSV's squad depth likely mitigates minor absences better than Excelsior.
  • The match is at Excelsior's home ground, Stadion Woudestein, which may aid the home side, but PSV's superior quality, motivation, and league position diminish this advantage. Weather or pitch conditions were not mentioned as influential.
  • PSV Eindhoven is motivated to maintain their high league standing and push for the title challenge, while Excelsior aims to improve their lower-table position. PSV's confidence is boosted by recent victories and key player form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Excelsior: 8.25, PSV Eindhoven: -4.25, Draw: 5.75 PSV Eindhoven to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Excelsior +2: -120, PSV Eindhoven -2: +100 PSV Eindhoven to cover -2 goal spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 3.75: -105, Under 3.75: -115 Over 3.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 27%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.75 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven is strongly favored to win, likely by a comfortable margin due to their superior form, squad quality, and historical dominance. Expect PSV to control the match, especially in the first half, with Excelsior showing more resistance in the second half.

Predicted Score: Excelsior 1 – 4 PSV Eindhoven


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PSV Eindhoven vs. Ajax Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 12:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Game Overview

The match between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax is a top Eredivisie clash, known as 'De Topper'. Both teams are closely ranked, with PSV 2nd and Ajax 3rd in the league, competing fiercely for the top spot. PSV has shown strong attacking form at home but some defensive inconsistency, while Ajax is resilient on the road with effective counter-attacking strategies. Recent matches reflect high scoring trends and a competitive balance between them.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV has scored 17 goals in their last five Eredivisie matches but conceded inconsistently, including a 3-1 defeat in the Champions League recently. Ajax scored 10 goals in their last five league games and have demonstrated good possession and shot efficiency but suffered a 2-0 home loss to Inter Milan in the Champions League. Both are in good attacking form.
  • Historically, the two teams have played 46 matches: PSV have 16 home wins, Ajax 20 away wins, and 10 draws, with a very close goal tally (75 for PSV vs 76 for Ajax). Their last Ekedivisie meeting ended 2-0 to PSV at home. Average goals per match between them is high at 3.28, with recent encounters featuring multiple goals.
  • No specific injuries reported in the latest sources; lineups suggest key players like Ricardo Pepi for PSV and Mika Godts and Davy Klaassen for Ajax are expected to play.
  • Both teams recently faced tough Champions League matches, possibly impacting fitness and tactics. Weather conditions are unreported but the venue is familiar and supportive for PSV.
  • PSV aims to capitalize on home advantage and maintain their position to pressure Ajax, hoping to continue good offensive output. Ajax seek to demonstrate resilience away and recover from recent setbacks to close the gap on league leaders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven: -149, Ajax: 365, Draw: 300 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread PSV Eindhoven -0.75: -118, Ajax +75: -102 PSV Eindhoven -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3.25: -120, Under 3.25: 100 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven to win with a high-scoring match expected, leveraging home advantage and strong attack despite defensive lapses. The game likely to be open with multiple goals given both teams' recent form and historical scoring frequency.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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NEC Nijmegen vs. PSV Eindhoven Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Eindhoven – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen, Netherlands

Game Overview

This Eredivisie Round 5 match features NEC Nijmegen hosting PSV Eindhoven at Stadion de Goffert. NEC, currently 2nd in the league, are in strong home form and unbeaten at their stadium, while PSV, ranked 4th, also display good form but are considered favorites due to historical dominance and stronger offensive stats.

Key Factors to Consider

  • NEC Nijmegen have scored 14 goals in their last 5 matches with an average of 3 goals per game, showing strong attacking form. PSV Eindhoven, with higher average goals scored historically (2.44 vs NEC's 0.86 overall in H2H), maintain unbeaten runs and have better defensive records. Both teams are in good form this season.
  • Historically, PSV dominate with 31 wins in 43 meetings versus NEC's 4. NEC has won only 2 of these on home ground. The overall goals record heavily favors PSV (105 goals scored vs 37 by NEC). Recent H2H counts show NEC with 1 win, PSV 17 wins, and 3 draws in their last meetings.
  • NEC Nijmegen will miss Bram Nuytinck due to injury. PSV Eindhoven are without Alassane Plea and Mauro Junior, affecting their squad depth.
  • The match is early season, limiting fatigue or fixture congestion concerns. Venue is neutral, but NEC's strong home performance is a factor. Weather or pitch conditions are not specified.
  • NEC are highly motivated, sitting 2nd and aiming for UEFA Champions League contention. PSV aim to maintain or improve league position and continue their historically strong record against NEC.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline NEC Nijmegen: 390, PSV Eindhoven: -165, Draw: 325 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread NEC Nijmegen: 1 -115, PSV Eindhoven: -1 -105 PSV -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: -120, Under 3.5: 100 Over 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: PSV Eindhoven at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven are favored to win given their historical dominance, better offensive efficiency, and current form, but NEC's strong home unbeaten run and motivation could keep it close. A cautious prediction favors a PSV win with a margin of 1 goal.

Predicted Score: 2-3


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PSV Eindhoven vs. SC Telstar Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

Match Analysis: PSV Eindhoven vs SC Telstar – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Game Overview

The Eredivisie match features PSV Eindhoven, a strong title contender currently ranked 2nd with a perfect start (3-0-0, 9 points), hosting 16th-ranked SC Telstar, who have struggled with 0-1-2 and only 1 point so far. PSV are heavy favorites playing at home in front of their supporters at Philips Stadion.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSV Eindhoven have demonstrated dominant attacking and defensive form with recent wins such as 4-2 vs Groningen, 2-0 vs Twente, and 6-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam. SC Telstar have shown weakness conceding multiple goals, failing to win any of their first three matches, including two losses to stronger sides Ajax and PEC Zwolle.
  • Historically, PSV Eindhoven have dominated SC Telstar in previous encounters, reflecting a significant class gap between the teams. Past H2H matches strongly favor PSV, especially at home.
  • There is no explicit injury information available from the current data. Therefore, no major absences are indicated for either team at this time.
  • The match takes place at PSV's home stadium, Philips Stadion, which offers a strong home advantage. No other significant external factors like weather or travel issues have been reported.
  • PSV Eindhoven will be motivated to maintain their perfect start and secure maximum points to challenge for the Eredivisie title. Telstar, struggling near the relegation zone, will be motivated to gain points but face a daunting task against a top-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven: -1000, SC Telstar: 1850, Draw: 1000 PSV Eindhoven win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Spread PSV Eindhoven: -2.75 -115, SC Telstar: +2.75 -105 PSV Eindhoven to cover -2.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Over/under Over 4.25: -106, Under 4.25: -114 Over 4.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline PSV Eindhoven -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.25 26%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 4.25 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

PSV Eindhoven are highly likely to win convincingly due to superior form, quality, and home advantage. A wide margin victory is probable given Telstar's defensive frailties and PSV's scoring ability.

Predicted Score: 4-0


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