Match Analysis: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 2:30 AM UTC
- Location: Providence Park, Portland
Game Overview
Portland Timbers host FC Dallas in an MLS regular season match with both teams showing mixed recent form. Portland is slightly favored at home but FC Dallas secured a 2-0 win against Portland earlier this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Portland has shown inconsistent results with an overall negative goal differential (-2) and average defensive statistics, recording 7 clean sheets. FC Dallas has been stronger recently with back-to-back wins and better defensive solidity, holding Portland scoreless in August.
- FC Dallas won the last encounter 2-0 on their home turf and holds a psychological edge. However, Portland enjoys home advantage and will seek to reverse this result.
- No major injury updates available impacting starting lineups for either side, suggesting both teams close to full strength.
- Match played at Portland's home stadium, Providence Park, favoring Timbers. Weather and other external factors seem neutral with no significant impact anticipated.
- Portland needs points to solidify playoff positioning, while FC Dallas is also motivated to maintain momentum and possibly secure playoff qualification.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Portland Timbers -118, Draw +280, FC Dallas +295 | Portland Timbers | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | Portland Timbers -0.5 -122, FC Dallas +50 -108 | Portland Timbers -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 -179, Under 2.5 +134 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Portland Timbers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 45% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 45% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Portland Timbers to win on moneyline, cover -0.5 spread, and under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-0