Match Analysis: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs Portland State Vikings – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-14
- Time: 3:59 AM UTC
- Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
Game Overview
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-1) host the Portland State Vikings (0-3), with Hawaii heavily favored. Portland State has struggled offensively, scoring only 6.7 points per game, while Hawaii has shown solid form, currently 2-1 and favored by a massive 38.5 points. The over/under is set at 52.5 points.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hawaii has been strong this season, winning both games as the moneyline favorite and covering spreads 2/3 times. Portland State has been outperformed heavily and is winless (0-3), with losses scoring 0 and 20 points, and allowing 42-69 points against top opponents.
- There is limited direct recent H2H data but the current season form and class gap favor Hawaii strongly over this FCS opponent.
- No major injuries reported impacting either side. Hawaii expected to have their main starters for at least the first half, with backups likely in the second half.
- Game is in Hawaii, offering home advantage to the Rainbow Warriors including climate familiarity and fan support.
- Hawaii aims to solidify a strong start against a weak opponent to maintain momentum; Portland State looks to avoid a difficult 0-4 start, but blowout seems likely.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Hawaii -1000 / Portland State +600 | Hawaii | ★★★★★ 92% |
Spread | Hawaii -38.5 -110 / Portland State +38.5 -110 | Hawaii -38.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
Over/under | Over 52.5 -110 / Under 52.5 -110 | Under 52.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 52.5 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 52.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Hawaii to win outright with a dominant performance covering the -38.5 spread and game total going under 52.5 points due to Portland State's offensive struggles.
Predicted Score: Hawaii 45 – Portland State 10