The Kansas City Royals host the Pittsburgh Pirates in a continuation of their series, following the Royals' decisive 9-3 win on July 7. The Pirates will look to bounce back, while the Royals aim to maintain their momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
The Royals have shown strong offensive capabilities, with performances like Tyler Gentry's 1 HR and 3 RBIs. The Pirates struggled to contain the Royals' offense, but Oneil Cruz's presence could be a spark for them.
Recent head-to-head matches have favored the Royals, who dominated the Pirates in their last encounter.
There is no specific injury report mentioned for either team that significantly impacts this match.
Weather and rest could play a role, but no specific external factors are noted as significantly impactful.
Both teams are motivated, but the Royals' current form and home advantage might give them an edge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals -196, Pittsburgh Pirates 164
Kansas City Royals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Kansas City Royals -1.5 +105, Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -126
Kansas City Royals
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Over
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Kansas City Royals -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
The Kansas City Royals are predicted to win due to their recent strong performance and home advantage.
Predicted Score: Kansas City Royals 6, Pittsburgh Pirates 4
The Seattle Mariners host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the third game of their MLB series. In their previous matchup on July 5, the Mariners secured a narrow 1-0 victory with strong pitching performances, notably by Luis Castillo, who improved to a 5-5 record. The game promises a competitive contest with both teams looking to gain ground mid-season.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle Mariners have shown solid pitching and defense recently, managing to shut out Pittsburgh with a 1-0 win in the previous game. The Pirates, however, have struggled offensively allowing just 2 hits in that game but have key hitters like Matthew Gorski and Jhonny Severino who have demonstrated potential in the series. Mariners' offense features consistent RBI contributors like Mitch Garver and Samad Taylor.
The recent head-to-head is favoring the Mariners with a 1-0 victory in the immediate last game of this series. Historically, Seattle has the advantage playing at home in T-Mobile Park, which is known for its pitching-friendly environment.
No critical injuries reported for either team in the immediate lead-up to the game, allowing both teams to field near-full strength lineups.
Playing at T-Mobile Park gives Seattle a home advantage with crowd support and familiarity with the field. Weather conditions for the game day are not explicitly detailed but are expected to be typical for Seattle in early July, likely mild and conducive to baseball.
Seattle Mariners will aim to capitalize on their momentum and home advantage to extend their winning streak against Pittsburgh. The Pirates, looking to avoid a series sweep, have motivation to improve offensively and disrupt Mariners' rhythm.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 17%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the recent shutout victory by Seattle, their home field advantage, and strong pitching performances, the prediction favors Seattle Mariners to win the game with continued strong defense and timely hitting. However, the game is expected to be low-scoring and closely contested.
The Pittsburgh Pirates host the St. Louis Cardinals at PNC Park for a pivotal MLB matchup. The Pirates enter as underdogs with a 2-10 starting pitcher M. Keller, while the Cardinals counter with S. Gray, who is 8-2 with a 3.36 ERA. The Pirates won the previous game 1-0, showing strong pitching but limited offense. The Cardinals are favored on the moneyline, reflecting their better seasonal performance and stronger odds in favored games.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cardinals hold a stronger season record and performed well when favored, winning 69.2% of such games. The Pirates have struggled, especially on the road and with their pitching, with M. Keller posting a 2-10 record and 3.90 ERA. St. Louis’s S. Gray is a reliable starter with an 8-2 record.
Recent matchups show the Pirates narrowly winning 1-0 on July 1, 2025, indicating closely contested games but low scoring. Historically, the Cardinals have been favorites and have a better success rate in those situations.
No significant injuries reported for either team that impact starting pitching or lineup depth for this game.
PNC Park is a neutral environment for the Pirates to leverage home advantage. Weather is not reported as an issue. July fixtures show moderate scheduling with no extreme fatigue concerns.
The Cardinals aim to maintain form and assert dominance after entering as favorites in most games. The Pirates look to rebound and defend home turf following their narrow previous win.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates: +118, St. Louis Cardinals: -138
St. Louis Cardinals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5: -144, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +120
Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 8: -105, Under 8: -115
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
St. Louis Cardinals 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
St. Louis Cardinals are predicted to edge out a win due to stronger pitching consistency and better recent form, with the Pirates expected to keep the game close.
The Pittsburgh Pirates will host the New York Mets at PNC Park on June 29, 2025. Both teams are coming off recent matchups with the Mets having notable offensive contributors such as Juan Soto and Jose Siri, and the Pirates featuring strong performances from Matthew Gorski and Keiner Delgado. This game follows a series of recent contests between the two teams, indicating a competitive and closely matched series.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets have demonstrated strong hitting power with players like Juan Soto (4 HR, .385 AVG, 8 RBI) and Jose Siri (3 HR, 8 RBI), reflecting a potent offense. The Pirates counter with impressive bats in Matthew Gorski (.429 AVG, 4 HR, 13 RBI) and Keiner Delgado showing perfect offensive metrics in limited appearances. Pitching and recent form will be critical with the Mets slight favorite due to better overall statistics and recent momentum.
The teams have recently faced off multiple times in June 2025, including games on June 27 and 28, showing a developing rivalry and tactical familiarity. The Mets have had the upper hand in recent encounters but the Pirates have remained competitive at home.
No significant injury reports are noted for either team affecting key players in this matchup. Mookie Betts' illness affects Dodgers but does not impact this match. Both teams appear at near full strength.
The game will be played at PNC Park with typical summer weather expected, which usually supports balanced play between pitching and hitting. There are no unusual external factors such as weather delays or travel fatigue reported.
Both teams are motivated to gain an edge in the series with the Mets pushing to continue their recent winning momentum and the Pirates eager to defend home turf and close the gap in the matchup.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
New York Mets: -154, Pittsburgh Pirates: 130
New York Mets to win
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
New York Mets: -1.5 (105), Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 (-126)
New York Mets -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9.5: 100, Under 9.5: -122
Under 9.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given recent form, offensive firepower, and odds, the New York Mets are favored to win with a moderate confidence level. The Pirates are expected to provide a strong challenge but are underdogs in this scenario.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 5 – Pittsburgh Pirates 3