Match Analysis: Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-13
• Time: 6:10 PM UTC
• Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Game Overview

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates in an MLB matchup where the Brewers are heavily favored due to recent dominant form and strong pitching matchups.

Key Factors to Consider

• Milwaukee Brewers have won 11 straight games and are 41-20 at home this season, showing strong overall form. Pirates have struggled on the road with a 17-41 record and have scored poorly in recent games, including three or fewer runs in six of their last eight.
• The Brewers dominated the Pirates in the previous game of this series, and Milwaukee has consistently led after early innings against National League teams with losing records. Pirates have lost nine consecutive Wednesday games at the Brewers' home stadium.
• Brewers' Brandon Woodruff has been impressive despite previous injuries, posting a 2.29 ERA with five straight outings allowing two or fewer runs. Pirates' Mitch Keller has a 3.86 ERA but has struggled against the Brewers historically, with a 1-5 record and 4.99 ERA in his career versus them.
• The game is a day game following the prior meeting the day before, favoring the Brewers who have a history of high-scoring day games in this context. Stadium and weather conditions at American Family Field are not expected to negatively impact the Brewers' performance.
• Milwaukee aims to extend their winning streak to 12 games and complete a series sweep, while Pittsburgh struggles for consistency and offense, dampening their motivation and likelihood to cover the spread.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Milwaukee Brewers to win outright and cover the -1.5 run line, with the total going over 7.5 runs.

Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 6 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +290

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $77.92

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-10
• Time: 5:36 PM UTC
• Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds (61-57) are visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-66) in an important late-season MLB game. Reds have a better record and pitching stats, while Pirates are playing at home with some recent moderate form improvements.

Key Factors to Consider

• Reds hold a 61-57 record with a 3.86 team ERA and strong on-base and slugging percentages (.317 OBP, .389 SLG). Pirates are 51-66 with less consistent recent form but showed solid pitching in their last shutout win.
• Recent meetings have been competitive; Reds won 2-1 in the prior game. Pitchers facing each other have no prior career matchups, adding uncertainty.
• No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers. Both starting pitchers—Zack Littell (Reds) and Mike Burrows (Pirates)—are expected to start, with Littell showing stronger season metrics (3.46 ERA vs. 4.45 ERA).
• Game played at PNC Park, home of the Pirates, with favorable weather (85°F, no rain). Reds have demonstrated some susceptibility to home runs this season, which may be exploitable by Pirates.
• Reds are fighting for playoff positioning and have strong motivation to secure wins. Pirates are lower in standings but playing with house advantage, motivated to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds to win; Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 to cover; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 4 – 3 Pittsburgh Pirates

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 9, 2025

Combined Odds: +606 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $141.1

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 8, 2025

Combined Odds: +536 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $127.26

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +382

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $96.45

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Francisco Giants – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-06
• Time: 4:36 PM UTC
• Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The San Francisco Giants (57-57) visit the Pittsburgh Pirates (49-65) for a midseason MLB matchup. Giants starter Robbie Ray (9-5, 2.85 ERA) faces Pirates starter Andrew Heaney, who has struggled recently. Giants are favored by odds and have pitching and recent form advantages.

Key Factors to Consider

• Giants have a .234 team batting average and solid pitching with a 3.67 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Pirates are under .500 and have allowed 5+ runs in 4 of their last 5 games, with Heaney's recent starts marked by inconsistency and runs allowed.
• Giants won 2 of the 3 games already played in the season series, including a convincing 8-1 win most recently. Historically, Giants pitcher Ray has a decent but mixed record against Pirates.
• No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starters or key hitters in this matchup.
• Game is at PNC Park, where Pirates have a decent home record (32-26), but Giants are solid on the road (29-31). Weather and other external conditions are typical for early August with no reported impact.
• Giants are pushing to improve their .500 record aiming for playoff contention; Pirates are out of contention with a losing record, potentially less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

San Francisco Giants to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 run line. The total runs are likely to stay under 7.5 given strong pitching by Ray and inconsistent Pirates offense.

Predicted Score: San Francisco Giants 5, Pittsburgh Pirates 2

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 4, 2025

Combined Odds: +664 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $152.73

Match Analysis: Colorado Rockies vs Pittsburgh Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-03
• Time: 7:11 PM UTC
• Location: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado

Game Overview

The Pittsburgh Pirates visit the Colorado Rockies at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Pirates starting Mitch Keller (4-10, 3.69 ERA) faces Rockies starter Bradley Blalock (1-2, 7.09 ERA), making his first career start versus Pittsburgh. The Pirates are favored on the moneyline and run line, but recent form and scoring trends suggest a tightly contested matchup with scoring slightly below the high posted total.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pirates hold a 47-64 record with solid pitching from Keller despite a recent loss to the Rockies. Rockies sit at 30-80 with poor overall pitching, but Blalock has improved recently. Colorado’s offense benefits from Coors Field’s altitude, boosting run potential.
• Pirates won 8-5 in their last meeting. Keller is 2-1 lifetime against Rockies with a 0.00 ERA. Blalock has no prior against Pirates. Historically, games here have been high scoring but recent trends and starting pitchers imply a closer, lower scoring game.
• No major injuries reported impacting starting lineups or pitchers for either team as of game time.
• Coors Field notoriously inflates run totals due to altitude, but recent weather and pitching matchups may suppress scoring slightly today.
• Pirates look to rebound rapidly after a loss while aiming to maintain momentum ahead of a home stand. Rockies are underdogs with low playoff prospects and limited motivation outside home crowd support.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Pittsburgh Pirates win; Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5; Over/Under: Under 11.5 runs

Predicted Score: Pirates 6, Rockies 4

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +242

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $68.35