Match Analysis: Atalanta BC vs Pisa – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-24
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Gewiss Stadium
Game Overview
Atalanta BC hosts Pisa in the Serie A opener at Gewiss Stadium on August 24, 2025, featuring a newly managed Atalanta under Ivan Juric emphasizing a more defensive style against promoted Pisa struggling to score away.
Key Factors to Consider
- Atalanta, transitioning to Juric's more conservative tactics, have shown defensive solidity but less attacking explosiveness early season; Pisa recently promoted and have scored in only one of their last five away competitive matches, showing offensive struggles.
- Limited recent encounters with Atalanta historically dominating; no notable surprises, Atalanta favored strongly in past meetings.
- Atalanta missing key defenders Sead KolaΕ‘inac and Mitchel Bakker; also Ademola Lookman likely absent due to transfer rumors. Pisa's squad health unclear but no major reported absences.
- Home advantage favors Atalanta; new coaching philosophy might impact goal volume and game pace; ambient motivation for Atalanta to start season well to assert Serie A status.
- Atalanta aims to solidify their Serie A standing under new management, motivated to start strongly; Pisa motivated to prove themselves after promotion but likely cautious.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta BC -240, Pisa 640, Draw 379 | Atalanta BC | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Atalanta BC -1.25 -115, Pisa +1.25 -105 | Atalanta BC -1.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 -121, Under 2.75 101 | Under 2.75 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atalanta BC 2% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 21% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Atalanta Moneyline
Predicted Score: 1-0