Match Analysis: Piotr Wawrzyniak vs Hojat Khajevand – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: OKTAGON 74 Event Venue
Game Overview
Piotr Wawrzyniak faces Hojat Khajevand in a light heavyweight bout within Oktagon MMA. Wawrzyniak is a striker with an aggressive stand-up style, while Khajevand primarily excels in grappling and submissions. Both fighters have similar weights near 84 kg, but differ in their finishing methods.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wawrzyniak holds a 14-6 record with majority wins by KO/TKO (7) while Khajevand has a 9-4 record with strong submission skills (4 submissions). Wawrzyniak has more fights and experience; recent form is stable.
- No record of previous fights between Wawrzyniak and Khajevand, but stylistic matchup favors Wawrzyniak controlling stand-up and Khajevand threatening on ground.
- No reported injuries or weigh-in issues from either fighter at this time.
- Fight scheduled at Oktagon 74, no venue or travel concerns reported. Both fighters appear motivated with no external distractions known.
- Wawrzyniak looks to leverage striking prowess to dominate and make a statement in light heavyweight division; Khajevand motivated to prove grappling superiority and upset more experienced opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wawrzyniak +120, Khajevand -140 | Piotr Wawrzyniak | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Wawrzyniak -1.5 rounds +130 | Wawrzyniak by decision (spread +1.5 rounds) | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Piotr Wawrzyniak to win; Spread: Wawrzyniak by decision (+1.5 rounds); Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds (likely goes distance)
Predicted Score: Piotr Wawrzyniak wins by decision after 3 rounds