Match Analysis: Piotr Kuberski vs Radoslaw Paczuski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 4:00 AM UTC
• Location: ATM Studio, Warsaw, Poland

Game Overview

KSW 109 features a highly anticipated middleweight title fight between Piotr Kuberski and Radoslaw Paczuski. Kuberski, with a strong record of 16-1-0, challenges Paczuski, the reigning middleweight champion, who holds an 8-2-0 record. The bout is scheduled for five rounds at 185 lbs and is the main event of the evening.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kuberski enters the fight with a high winning ratio and dominance in previous matchups, while Paczuski is known for his resilience and championship experience. Kuberski's superior winning record indicates consistent performance, whereas Paczuski's two losses suggest he can be vulnerable but has championship pressure experience.
• No direct previous encounters have been recorded between Kuberski and Paczuski, making this a first-time matchup that adds uncertainty to predictions.
• No current injury reports or fitness concerns have been noted for either fighter ahead of the match, indicating both are expected to be at peak condition.
• The fight venue in Warsaw may offer a home advantage for Kuberski, who is Polish, potentially impacting crowd support and fighter morale.
• Kuberski is highly motivated to claim the middleweight title, marking a career milestone, whereas Paczuski aims to defend his championship status, which provides strong incentive for both fighters.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Piotr Kuberski: -350, Radoslaw Paczuski: 225	Piotr Kuberski	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Piotr Kuberski: -1.5, Radoslaw Paczuski: +1.5	Piotr Kuberski to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over: 1.80, under: 2.00	Over 4.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Piotr Kuberski 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Piotr Kuberski at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Piotr Kuberski is favored to win the match due to his superior record, physical condition, and home advantage. The prediction leans toward Kuberski securing a victory either by decision or stoppage within five rounds.

Predicted Score: Kuberski wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 4 or 5

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Bartosz Szewczyk vs. Dawid Kasperski Prediction	Bartosz Szewczyk Win	-270	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Piotr Kuberski vs. Radoslaw Paczuski Prediction	Piotr Kuberski Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Michal Gniady vs. Viktor Cervinsky Prediction	Viktor Cervinsky Win	-140	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +202

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $60.41

Match Analysis: Piotr Kuberski vs Tomasz Romanowski – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Gorzow Arena, Gorzow Wielkopolski, Poland

Game Overview

Piotr Kuberski and Tomasz Romanowski face off in a highly anticipated MMA bout at KSW 104. Kuberski, known for his strong record, is favored to win against Romanowski, who has a more extensive fight history.

Key Factors to Consider

• Piotr Kuberski has a strong record of 15-1-0, while Tomasz Romanowski stands at 18-10-0. Kuberski's recent performance suggests a high level of skill, but Romanowski's experience could be a significant factor.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Kuberski and Romanowski, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is in Poland, which might favor Romanowski due to local support, but Kuberski's skillset could mitigate this advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Kuberski seeking to maintain his strong record and Romanowski aiming to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1000 for Kuberski, 550 for Romanowski	Piotr Kuberski	★★★★☆ 80%

Predicted Outcome

Piotr Kuberski is predicted to win due to his strong recent performance and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: N/A