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Match Analysis: Piotr Kacprzak vs Łukasz Charzewski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: KSW Event Venue, Poland
Game Overview
This MMA bout features Piotr Kacprzak versus Łukasz Charzewski, two established Polish fighters competing on September 20, 2025, at 17:00 UTC at a KSW event. Both fighters have comparable experience but differ slightly in recent performance and fight outcomes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Piotr Kacprzak holds a professional record of 12 wins and 6 losses, showing solid striking and grappling versatility. Łukasz Charzewski has a slightly better record of 13 wins and 3 losses, with a strong finish rate and recent momentum in KSW promotions.
- There is limited direct head-to-head data publicly available indicating previous fights between Kacprzak and Charzewski, suggesting this may be their first professional encounter.
- No recent injury reports or corner concerns have been noted for either fighter leading into this bout, indicating both are likely at full health.
- The fight takes place in Poland, the home country for both fighters, minimizing travel fatigue and potentially increasing motivation. The bout is scheduled as part of a high-profile KSW event, elevating stakes.
- Both fighters are motivated to improve their rankings and status in KSW, with Charzewski holding a slight edge due to his recent winning streak and slightly better record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Piotr Kacprzak: -120, Łukasz Charzewski: -110 | Łukasz Charzewski | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Piotr Kacprzak: -110, Łukasz Charzewski: -110 | Łukasz Charzewski -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Łukasz Charzewski is favored to win based on superior record and recent form. Expect a competitive fight where Charzewski uses striking and aggressive pace to outscore or finish Kacprzak.
Predicted Score: Łukasz Charzewski wins by decision after 3 rounds