Match Analysis: Piotr Kacprzak vs Łukasz Charzewski – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-20
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Hala Podpromie, Rzeszów, Poland
Game Overview
Piotr Kacprzak faces Łukasz Charzewski in an intense MMA bout at KSW 110. Kacprzak is known for strong grappling and ground control, while Charzewski excels in striking and stand-up exchanges. The fight is expected to showcase a classic striker vs grappler dynamic.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kacprzak holds a 12-6 record with recent wins leveraging grappling dominance. Charzewski has a stronger striking record but less experience on high-level ground. Both fighters have shown good recent form with no recent losses.
- No prior head-to-head matchups recorded, making direct comparison impossible.
- No reported injuries for either fighter heading into the bout, allowing both to perform at full capacity.
- The bout takes place in Poland, which offers potential slight home advantage for Kacprzak. Crowd support and familiarity with the venue are expected to favor him.
- Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win to improve rankings and career trajectory at KSW 110, making this a high-intensity clash.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | Piotr Kacprzak | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | -110 | Piotr Kacprzak to win by decision or better | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | -105 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 14% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Piotr Kacprzak to win via grappling control and likely ground finish.
Predicted Score: Piotr Kacprzak wins by submission or decision within 3 rounds