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Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union, leading the Supporters Shield race, hosts New York City FC in a crucial late-season MLS matchup. The Union have shown solid consistency and are favored to clinch the title soon, while NYCFC has improved their away form but remain underdogs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union hold a 19-7-6 overall record and have won 4 of their last 5 games. NYCFC are 17-10-5 but have displayed patchy form recently with a 3-2 run in their last 5. Philadelphia is stronger at home; NYCFC’s away record improved to 6-5-5 after midseason adjustments.
  • Historically, NYCFC have a modest advantage in wins (12-11-2) against Philadelphia despite being underdogs. However, most past games have been close, indicating a competitive rivalry. Philadelphia won the recent home meeting earlier this season.
  • No critical injury data suggests major key players missing for either team, implying both squads should be near full strength.
  • The game at Subaru Park offers Philadelphia home advantage and strong fan support. Weather or other external disruptions are not indicated.
  • Philadelphia Union are highly motivated to secure the Supporters Shield with only two games left to play. NYCFC, chasing a seventh away win, have good motivation to upset the home side but are under pressure as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -116, New York City FC: +280, Draw: +285 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread Philadelphia Union -0.5: -120, New York City FC +50: -110 Philadelphia Union -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -159, Under 2.5: +119 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 61%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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D.C. United vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: D.C. United vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Audi Field

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union visits D.C. United for a regular-season MLS clash. Philadelphia are in strong form with an 18-6-7 overall record and significantly better away form than D.C. United, who struggle at home with a 2-7-6 record. Philadelphia leads the standings with 60 points, while D.C. United are near the bottom with 25 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union holds clear superiority overall and away with 18-6-7 vs DC's 5-10-16 record. Philadelphia has been more consistent, especially recently, while D.C. United have multiple losses and draws at home.
  • Historically, Philadelphia has performed better head to head with more wins and fewer losses against D.C. United. Recent encounters favor Philadelphia given their better form and home dominance.
  • No significant injury updates are currently reported for either team, allowing both squads to field strong lineups.
  • Match at Audi Field presents a home advantage for D.C. United but their poor home record and motivation gap diminish this edge. Weather and travel conditions are expected to have minimal impact.
  • Philadelphia Union motivated by playoff positioning and high point total; D.C. United less motivated due to low standings and poor results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline D.C. United: 255, Philadelphia Union: -104, Draw: 270 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread D.C. United +50: -122, Philadelphia Union -0.5: -109 Philadelphia Union -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -152, Under 2.5: 114 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 28%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline with the game likely staying below 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 1 – 0 D.C. United


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Philadelphia Union vs. New England Revolution Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA, USA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union, currently top of the MLS standings with strong recent form, face New England Revolution, positioned in the lower half of the table. Philadelphia are favorites playing at home with strong defensive and offensive stats, while New England struggle away and have key absences affecting their lineup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union have won 17 of 30 matches with a +16 goal difference, showing consistent strength; New England Revolution have 8 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses with a -5 goal difference, indicating struggles especially on the road.
  • Recent H2H favors Philadelphia with them winning the majority of encounters, including this season's matchups. Historical data supports Philadelphia dominance.
  • No major absences reported for Philadelphia; New England have some key players sidelined reducing attacking options and midfield stability.
  • Philadelphia benefit from playing at home in familiar conditions at Subaru Park, which historically boosts their performance; no significant external disruptions noted.
  • Philadelphia Union are pushing for top playoff positioning motivating strong performance; New England Revolution have minimal playoff chances, potentially less motivated.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -190, New England Revolution: 450, Draw: 350 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union -1.5: 130, New England Revolution +1.5: -172 Philadelphia Union -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5: 132, Under 3.5: -175 Under 3.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win outright on moneyline, cover -1.5 spread, and under 3.5 goals total

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 1:35 AM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver

Game Overview

A competitive MLS matchup featuring Vancouver Whitecaps FC at home against Philadelphia Union. Vancouver has strong recent home form and offensive capability, while Philadelphia is slightly under strength due to injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vancouver Whitecaps have collected 49 points on the season and show strong home performances, including a notable recent 3-2 win over St. Louis City SC. Philadelphia Union has good form but is impacted by key injuries, particularly to their goalkeeper Andre Blake.
  • Historically balanced but Vancouver holds a slight edge at home; recent encounters suggest a tight but favoring Vancouver outcome.
  • Philadelphia Union’s key goalkeeper Andre Blake is sidelined with hamstring issues, impacting defense stability. Vancouver has no major injury concerns reported.
  • Match played at BC Place provides home advantage for Vancouver, with potential travel fatigue affecting Philadelphia as an away side.
  • Vancouver is motivated to secure playoff positioning and capitalize on home advantage. Philadelphia wants to stay competitive for playoff spots but lacks full strength squad.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC +115, Philadelphia Union +216, Draw +260 Vancouver Whitecaps FC β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0.5 +110, Philadelphia Union +50 -145 Vancouver Whitecaps FC -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 -169, Under 2.5 +127 Under 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vancouver Whitecaps FC 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 48%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 48% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vancouver Whitecaps FC moneyline win, covering the -0.5 spread, and match under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 13, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Bournemouth vs. Brighton and Hove Albion Prediction Draw 246 56%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction Under 2.5 127 48%
San Diego FC vs. Minnesota United FC Prediction Under 2.5 120 43%

Combined Odds: +1628 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $345.58

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FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA

Game Overview

FC Cincinnati hosts Philadelphia Union in a highly competitive MLS match featuring two of the league's top teams. Cincinnati is strong at home with solid defensive stats but faces a Philadelphia squad leading the league and known for clinical scoring and consistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • FC Cincinnati has a 16-4-7 record, is 12th in league assists, with 42 goals scored and 34 conceded. Philadelphia Union leads the league with 51 points, a 3rd best defense with a save rate of 65.8%, and a higher goal difference and efficiency overall, despite conceding somewhat more.
  • Philadelphia Union has had the upper hand recently with a 4-1 home win earlier this season and a favorable overall record. FC Cincinnati won 2-1 away against Philadelphia last October but lost 1-4 at Philadelphia in March, showing competitive but somewhat Philadelphia-favored trends.
  • No significant injury reports for either side have been noted close to matchday, with expected lineups featuring starting goalkeepers Celentano for Cincinnati and Blake for Philadelphia.
  • Match played at Cincinnati's TQL Stadium gives a slight home advantage to FC Cincinnati. Weather or other external issues have not been mentioned as impactful.
  • Philadelphia Union currently leads the league motivating them to maintain top position and clinch important points; Cincinnati looks to close gap and strengthen playoff positioning, adding competitive motivation on both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +140, away: +165, draw: +275 Away Win (Philadelphia Union) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -0.5 +133, away: +50 -179 Away +0.5 (Philadelphia Union) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over_2.5: -161, under_2.5: +120 Under 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 32%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Philadelphia Union vs. Chicago Fire Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Chicago Fire – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union host Chicago Fire in an MLS matchup with Philadelphia favored due to superior form, goal differential, and home advantage. Chicago has been solid defensively but less prolific offensively compared to Philadelphia.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union hold a 15-6-6 record with 51 points, averaging 1.89 points/match, scoring 44 goals and conceding 26, showing strong attacking and defensive stats. Chicago Fire are 11-6-9 with 39 points, ranking mid-table and having a save rate of 62.1%, but their goal-scoring and overall form are less consistent.
  • Recent H2H encounters favor Philadelphia with them ranking 2nd in MLS versus Chicago’s 9th position. Philadelphia also won both latest meetings this season.
  • No major injury updates reported impacting starting goalkeepers or key players for either side, allowing both teams to field strong lineups.
  • Match at home for Philadelphia at Subaru Park, providing home-field advantage. Weather or other disruptions not reported, normal playing conditions expected.
  • Philadelphia fighting for higher playoff seeding motivation, while Chicago seeks to secure or improve a mid-table finish, slightly less intense compared to Philadelphia’s stakes.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union -118, Chicago Fire +275, Draw +300 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union -0.5 -123, Chicago Fire +50 -108 Philadelphia Union -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 3.5 +134, Under 3.5 -179 Under 3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on Moneyline, Philadelphia Union -0.5 spread, and Under 3.5 total goals

Predicted Score: 2-1 Philadelphia Union


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New York Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Union Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Unknown (likely Subaru Park or Red Bulls Arena, MLS venue not specified)

Game Overview

This MLS matchup features New York Red Bulls hosting Philadelphia Union, who currently hold a dominant 15-match unbeaten streak over NYRB and top the Eastern Conference.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union lead the MLS Supporters Shield standings with strong recent form, while New York Red Bulls are mid-table with inconsistent results. Union average 1.82 goals/game to NYRB's 1.59, conceding slightly more goals on average than NYRB.
  • Philadelphia Union have an impressive 15-match unbeaten streak (11 wins, 4 draws) against New York Red Bulls dating back to 2019, including a recent 3-2 U.S. Open Cup victory over NYRB.
  • Philadelphia appears close to full strength after Gold Cup players return. New York has no major reported injuries affecting starting lineup.
  • Weather and postponements have recently impacted schedules, but the August 16th match is expected to proceed without disruption. Motivation is high given rivalry intensity and playoff implications.
  • Philadelphia Union, as Supporters Shield frontrunners and cup quarterfinal winners over NYRB, have strong motivation to continue dominance. NYRB seek to break their winless streak against Philly, adding intensity to the encounter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline New York Red Bulls: 158, Philadelphia Union: 155, Draw: 260 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread New York Red Bulls +50: -196, Philadelphia Union -0.5: 146 Philadelphia Union -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -137, Under 2.5: 104 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 28%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union win on the moneyline, Philadelphia Union -0.5 on the spread, and over 2.5 goals total.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Union 3 – 1 New York Red Bulls


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Philadelphia Union vs. Toronto FC Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union faces Toronto FC in an MLS Eastern Conference clash with Philadelphia highly favored at home. The Union are in strong form, ranking 4th in expected goals and maintaining a solid defensive record. Toronto FC struggles this season, positioned 25th overall and with poor away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union boasts a strong season with 50 points from 25 matches, averaging 2.00 points per game, scoring 43 goals and conceding 24. Toronto FC has struggled with only 5 wins, scoring 25 goals and conceding 32, ranking near the bottom of the league.
  • Recent matchups have favored Philadelphia, who have been dominant at home against Toronto. Toronto FC has had difficulty scoring and winning on the road versus the Union.
  • No significant injury information suggests key players are missing on either side; both goalkeepers, Andre Blake and Sean Johnson, are expected to start.
  • Philadelphia plays at home in favorable conditions at Subaru Park. No notable external disruptions have been reported that could affect match dynamics.
  • Philadelphia Union is motivated to maintain their playoff positioning and form against a struggling Toronto side with less at stake, increasing the home side's motivation

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -212, Toronto FC: 530, Draw: 350 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Philadelphia Union (-1.5): 120, Toronto FC (+1.5): -161 Philadelphia Union -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -164, Under 2.5: 122 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, with the match likely finishing with total goals going over 2.5.

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Philadelphia Union vs. Colorado Rapids Prediction MLS in Soccer

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Union vs Colorado Rapids – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Subaru Park, Chester, PA

Game Overview

Philadelphia Union hosts Colorado Rapids in an MLS Eastern vs Western Conference clash. Philadelphia, in strong form and vying for the top Eastern Conference spot, is favored against a playoff-pushing Colorado side that recently drew a high-scoring match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Union holds a superior season record (14-5-5) with a strong defense, conceding less than 1 goal per game, and solid attack with 40 goals scored. Colorado Rapids (8-6-10) are less consistent but showed resilience in a 3-3 draw versus Seattle.
  • Philadelphia dominates recent meetings, with no losses in last five encounters and an overall historic edge (16 wins to Colorado's 5). The last meeting ended 2-2 in August 2024.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side; both expected to field standard starting goalkeepers Andrew Rick (Philadelphia) and Zack Steffen (Colorado).
  • Match played at Philadelphia’s home venue Subaru Park, giving the Union home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions likely neutral.
  • Philadelphia can move to top of Eastern Conference with a win, boosting motivation; Colorado also motivated for playoff points but less favored.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Union: -170, Draw: 360, Colorado Rapids: 400 Philadelphia Union β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Philadelphia Union -1: -108, Colorado Rapids +1: -112 Philadelphia Union -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 3.25: 100, Under 3.25: -120 Over 3.25 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Union 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Union to win on the moneyline, covering the -1 spread, and the total goals will go over 3.25

Predicted Score: 3-1 Philadelphia Union


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