The Philadelphia Phillies host the Toronto Blue Jays in a highly anticipated matchup. The Phillies are looking strong with a 2nd place standing in the NL East, while the Blue Jays are second in the AL East. The probable starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman for the Blue Jays and Ranger Suárez for the Phillies.
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies have been performing well, with a strong lineup led by Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, rely on the batting prowess of Alejandro Kirk and George Springer.
Recent head-to-head data suggests competitive matches between the two teams, but the Phillies might have an edge at home.
No significant injury reports have been mentioned that could impact the game's outcome.
Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but specifics are not available.
Both teams are motivated, given their standings in their respective divisions.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies: -118, Toronto Blue Jays: 100
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -205, Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 168
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over: 8 -108, Under: 8 -112
Under
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 4%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Phillies are favored to win, partly due to their home advantage and strong recent performance.
The Chicago Cubs and Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off in a competitive MLB matchup. The Cubs are currently leading the NL Central with a 40-26 record, while the Phillies are second in the NL East with a 38-28 record.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs have been strong on the road, with a 20-15 away record, while the Phillies have performed well at home, going 18-16. The Cubs' starting pitcher, Ben Brown, has a 5.37 ERA, while the Phillies' Jesús Luzardo has a 4.46 ERA.
The Cubs recently won a game against the Phillies, indicating a slight edge in their head-to-head matchup.
No significant injury updates are available for this game.
Weather conditions could impact the game, but no specific details are available at this time.
Both teams are motivated to win, with the Cubs aiming to maintain their lead in the NL Central and the Phillies seeking to close the gap in the NL East.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs: -102, Philadelphia Phillies: -116
Chicago Cubs
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Chicago Cubs: -1.5 +152, Philadelphia Phillies: 1.5 -184
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -122, Under 8.5: 100
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 15%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 -7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Phillies at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Cubs have a slight edge due to their recent form and away performance.
This MLB matchup features the Philadelphia Phillies (37-25, 2nd in NL East) versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (23-40, 5th in NL Central) at PNC Park. The Phillies are in playoff contention and have a much stronger recent record, while the Pirates are struggling and far out of the postseason race[1][3].
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies have performed well above expectations with a strong lineup and solid pitching. The Pirates have one of the worst records in the league, facing significant struggles with both hitting and consistency on the mound[1][3].
The Phillies have generally dominated recent meetings with the Pirates, supported by their current superior team strength and depth.
No major injury news for this game beyond what's available for both teams, but any last-minute changes could impact the outcome.
Weather and venue conditions are favorable at PNC Park as of game time. No expected external disruptions[4].
Phillies are highly motivated to keep pace in the playoff race. Pirates are less motivated, as they are out of contention and are likely focusing on developing younger players.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies: -104, Pittsburgh Pirates: -112
Philadelphia Phillies win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
PHI -1.5 (168), PIT +1.5 (-205)
Pirates cover the spread (+1.5)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 6.5 (-122), Under 6.5 (100)
Under 6.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 6.5 10%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 6.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win based on their superior record, recent form, and overall team strength. However, the moneyline odds are surprisingly close, reflecting a bookmaker adjustment or possibly a strong Pirates starter.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 3, Pittsburgh Pirates 2
The Philadelphia Phillies (37-24) face the Toronto Blue Jays (32-29) in an interleague matchup. The Phillies are batting .256 with a solid pitching staff (3.96 ERA), while the Blue Jays enter hot, going 4-1 in their last five games. Probable pitchers: Jesus Luzardo (PHI, 5-1, 3.58 ERA) vs. Chris Bassitt (TOR, unlisted ERA for this start).
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies are strong on the road (16-9 as favorites away); Blue Jays are 15-12 in road games and 3-2 ATS last five. Blue Jays have recent momentum, 4-1 in last five overall[1][2][4].
No clear dominant head-to-head trend; both teams have been competitive. Blue Jays are 3-2 against the spread vs. similar opponents[1][4].
No major injuries reported for key starters; both teams likely at full strength.
Weather expected to be mild (67°F, 12% rain, 4 mph wind) with no significant impact on play[1].
Both teams are in the playoff hunt; Phillies look to maintain momentum, Blue Jays to capitalize on recent hot streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies: -118, Toronto Blue Jays: 100
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 (+150), Toronto Blue Jays: +1.5 (-182)
Toronto Blue Jays (+1.5)
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over: 8 (-115), Under: 8 (-105)
Under 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Slight edge to the Philadelphia Phillies based on road performance and slightly better pitching, though the Blue Jays' recent form and home advantage balance the outlook. Predicted close game with Phillies favored by a narrow margin, but Blue Jays could keep it tight.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3
The Philadelphia Phillies host the Milwaukee Brewers in a matchup where the Phillies are strong home favorites against a competitive Brewers squad. The Phillies have a historical edge, especially at home, but the Brewers have shown recent form and capability.
Key Factors to Consider
The Phillies have a slight recent edge in head-to-head (3-2 in last 5), but the Brewers are on a strong run (4-1 in their last 5). Overall, Philadelphia averages 4.5 runs per game against Milwaukee, while the Brewers average 3.8 runs per game[2]. The Phillies have a superior overall record (56% win rate) and dominate at home, while the Brewers are solid but not as consistent[4][5].
All-time: Phillies 99-81 (55% win rate) against the Brewers. Last meeting: Brewers won 2-1 on Sep 18, 2024[4][5]. Recent trends slightly favor the Phillies, but the Brewers have had their own streaks and big wins.
No major injury updates known at time of writing. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups.
Citizens Bank Park is a hitter-friendly venue, potentially favoring over outcomes. Weather is typical for late spring, with no significant impact expected.
Both teams are in the playoff hunt. The Phillies are motivated by their home advantage and historical superiority, while the Brewers have momentum from recent wins and will aim to upset.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers: 164, Philadelphia Phillies: -196
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers: 1.5 -134, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 112
Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 8 -118, Under: 8 -104
Over 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies to win narrowly, likely in a game with 7–9 total runs. The spread is tight, but the Phillies’ home field and historical edge suggest a cover is possible.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Milwaukee Brewers 4