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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-09
  • Time: 10:09 PM UTC
  • Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles

Game Overview

Key NLDS matchup where the Los Angeles Dodgers host the Philadelphia Phillies, featuring strong starting pitching from Tyler Glasnow (Phillies) and Cristopher Sanchez (Dodgers). The Dodgers enter on hot form with recent winning and ATS streaks, while the Phillies face pressure after recent playoff struggles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games and 4-1 ATS recently, showing strong home performance and resilience after losses. The Phillies have lost 5 consecutive playoff games after wins and have struggled to cover the run line in these situations. Dodgers have consistently led at mid-game points against winning teams.
  • Recent season and playoff matchups favor the Dodgers, who have won initial innings and led at the 5-inning mark in most home games vs winning teams. Phillies starter Sanchez is 2-0 vs Dodgers recently, but Dodgers offense and bullpen have been effective at home.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting starting pitchers Glasnow or Sanchez; both expected to start and perform well, maintaining their season ERAs of 3.13 and 2.51 respectively.
  • Weather conditions are ideal (79Β°F, 0% rain, moderate wind), minimizing any external disruption on gameplay. The game is at Dodger Stadium, a hitter-friendly park that has seen 40 of 81 games going over total recently for Dodgers home games.
  • Dodgers show higher playoff momentum and motivation based on streaks and performance after losses, likely to maintain aggressive play. Phillies may be under pressure given recent struggles in playoffs and chasing road deficits early in games.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dodgers -124, Phillies +106 Los Angeles Dodgers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Dodgers -1.5 +152, Phillies +1.5 -184 Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 7.5 -115, Under 7.5 -105 Over 7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 7.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Dodgers to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game finishing over 7.5 total runs

Predicted Score: Dodgers 5, Phillies 3


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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, holding a strong 95-66 record and dominant at home (54-26), host the Minnesota Twins who struggle significantly on the road (32-48) with a 70-91 overall record. Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez is an elite pitcher with a 2.57 ERA, while Twins’ Simeon Woods Richardson has a 4.27 ERA and below-average projections.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies rank 3rd in MLB offensively with excellent batting averages, while the Twins rank near the middle 17th and 22nd respectively, showing a clear edge for Philadelphia's lineup.
  • In their recent encounter, Twins won 5-0 at Philadelphia, but this is an outlier given overall team strengths and pitching matchups with Sanchez starting now.
  • No significant injury concerns reported for either team, both starting pitchers available as expected.
  • Mild weather with broken clouds expected; no adverse playing conditions forecasted; game at Phillies' home stadium favors the host team.
  • Phillies aim to maintain their competitive edge in the NL East and bounce back strongly after the recent shutout loss to the Twins, who have less to play for given their losing season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -200, Minnesota Twins +168 Philadelphia Phillies β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 @ +100, Minnesota Twins +1.5 @ -120 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over 8 runs -122, Under 8 runs +100 Under 8 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to finish under 8 runs.

Predicted Score: Phillies 5, Twins 2


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Under 8 -110 24%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 7.5 -102 19%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +649 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $149.75

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction Under 10 100 40%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8 -112 23%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +650 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $149.94

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Prediction Cleveland Guardians Win -156 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Milwaukee Brewers Win -172 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -166 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +316

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $83.17

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 10:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) host the Miami Marlins (77-81) in a late-season MLB matchup. Phillies are playoff locked and playing to maintain momentum, while Marlins are out of contention and playing with less pressure. Both teams start right-handed pitchers: Walker Buehler (9-7, 5.13 ERA) for Phillies and Janson Junk (6-3, 4.27 ERA) for Marlins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies have a strong home record (52-25), and recent form is solid. Marlins have struggled away (41-39) with inconsistency. Phillies have scored more runs and have better pitching depth.
  • Phillies have dominated Marlins in recent matchups and hold the psychological edge, including a recent 2-game split where Phillies won decisively.
  • No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
  • Game is at Citizens Bank Park, a hitter-friendly park that could boost scoring. Weather is expected to be neutral. The Phillies have home crowd advantage.
  • Phillies are motivated to finish the regular season strong and improve playoff seeding. Marlins have limited motivation with no postseason hopes, possibly impacting effort.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline PHI -166, MIA +140 Philadelphia Phillies β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread PHI -1.5 +128, MIA +1.5 -154 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 9 -122, Under 9 +100 Over 9 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 13%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win outright (Moneyline), cover the -1.5 run spread, and the total runs to go over 9.

Predicted Score: Phillies 6 – Marlins 3


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -220 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction New York Yankees -1.5 -138 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -166 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +302

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $80.39

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 23, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction New York Yankees Win -250 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -190 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76% (76%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -225 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 76% (76%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +209

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $61.73

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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks in a crucial late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications for both teams. The Phillies are slight favorites but face a tough Diamondbacks team playing at home on artificial turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies hold a stronger overall season record (92-63) compared to the Diamondbacks (78-77). The Diamondbacks have shown recent solid form (6-4 in last 10), averaging nearly 5 runs/game at home. The Phillies have been consistent favorites with a 65.2% win rate when favored by similar odds.
  • Head-to-head history is close: Arizona leads narrowly with 38 wins versus Philadelphia's 36. Arizona averages 4.95 runs at home versus Phillies' 4.73 runs on road. Their last meeting was a close 4-3 win for Arizona.
  • No prominent injury updates signal major changes for starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team.
  • The game is played on artificial turf at Chase Field, favoring Diamondbacks accustomed to surface. Weather is controlled indoor conditions, minimizing external weather impact.
  • Phillies have secured a playoff slot and are maintaining push for positioning; Diamondbacks fighting to stay afloat and improve record, boosting motivation for home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks: +114, Philadelphia Phillies: -134 Philadelphia Phillies β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -137, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5: +114 Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 9: -110, Under 9: -110 Under 9 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – 3 Arizona Diamondbacks


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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 5:35 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies, strong home favorites with an 89-60 record and a six-game winning streak, face the Kansas City Royals, who are 74-75 and struggling with a three-game losing streak. Both teams have starting pitchers with contrasting ERAs: Phillies' Aaron Nola with a high 6.24 ERA and Royals' Noah Cameron with a solid 3.00 ERA, suggesting a competitive pitching matchup but offensive opportunities for Royals.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Phillies lead NL East and boast a dominant home record of 51-23; Royals are 3rd in AL Central, recently losing three straight and needing a win to stay competitive for a wild card.
  • In their recent encounter, Royals lost 8-6 but showed offensive potential with Salvador Perez hitting two home runs and Jonathan India getting two doubles, indicating the Royals' ability to challenge the Phillies’ pitching.
  • No major injuries reported affecting the Phillies or Royals starters; both lineups appear healthy for the matchup.
  • Citizens Bank Park favors hitters with its park factors, boosting run totals. Weather conditions are neutral with no adverse effects expected during the game time.
  • Royals are desperate to halt their losing streak and chase a wild card playoff spot, while Phillies aim to continue their dominance and secure playoff seeding with consistent home wins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Phillies -150, Royals +136 Phillies β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Phillies -1.5 +133, Royals +1.5 -153 Phillies -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 9 -110, Under 9 -110 Over 9 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Phillies moneyline win, Phillies -1.5 spread, Over 9 runs

Predicted Score: Phillies 6 – Royals 4


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