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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Los Angeles Dodgers vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-09
  • Time: 10:09 PM UTC
  • Location: Los Angeles Dodgers Home Stadium

Game Overview

This is Game 4 of the National League Divisional Series (NLDS) between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies. The Dodgers lead the series 2-1. The Dodgers have a strong home record (52-29), while the Phillies have a less consistent road record (41-40). Both teams have competitive regular season records and are motivated to advance to the next playoff round.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dodgers finished the regular season 93-69, showing excellent home performance. The Phillies finished slightly better at 96-66 but have been less dominant away. Dodgers' pitching and offense have been solid in the playoffs, with home advantage contributing positively.
  • In the current series, Dodgers hold a 2-1 lead. The teams have traded wins, indicating a competitive matchup with slight edge to Dodgers due to momentum and home field.
  • No major injuries are reported for either team that could significantly affect today's game. Both teams are expected to field their best rosters.
  • Playing at Dodgers' home gives them advantage due to familiarity with stadium and fan support. Weather and other external conditions are typical with no adverse impact forecasted.
  • Dodgers are motivated to close out the series at home and avoid a Game 5. Phillies are under pressure to extend the series by winning this pivotal away game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers: -124, Philadelphia Phillies: 106 Los Angeles Dodgers ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Los Angeles Dodgers: -1.5 at 152, Philadelphia Phillies: +1.5 at -184 Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 7.5: -115, Under 7.5: -105 Under 7.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers 12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Dodgers are favored to win this game given their home advantage, momentum in the series, and stronger recent performance.

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 4, Philadelphia Phillies 2


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – October 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers Win -180 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Prediction New York Yankees Win -186 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Seattle Mariners -1.5 150 ★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +498

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $119.59

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-28
  • Time: 7:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies are hosting the Minnesota Twins in an MLB regular season interleague matchup. The Phillies currently have a strong season record of 95-66, while the Twins have struggled with a 70-91 record. Phillies' starting pitcher Cristopher Sanchez is among the league's top pitchers with a 13-5 record and a 2.57 ERA, coming off a complete game shutout. Minnesota's starting pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson has a 7-4 record and a 4.27 ERA, facing difficulty against the powerful Phillies lineup. The Phillies' offense ranks third in MLB, with high team batting average and run production, in contrast to the Twins' lower offensive rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Phillies have a strong winning percentage of about 59% this season and perform well at home with a dominant offense. Phillies have won 16 of 19 games as moneyline favorites at -215 or better. The Twins have been inconsistent with a losing record and weaker offensive output, ranking 17th in offense and 22nd in batting average.
  • While specific recent head-to-head data is not detailed, Phillies tend to have the advantage when favored and facing Twins, as indicated by the win probabilities and team strengths. Philadelphia has a favorable record against Minnesota historically when playing at home.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key players for either team as of now; some minor injuries are listed for the Phillies (A. Roden, L. Keaschall, M. Wallner) and Twins (D. Robert, T. Turner, Z. Wheeler, M. Kepler, R. Suárez) but none expected to significantly affect starting players in this match.
  • Game played at Citizens Bank Park, giving the Phillies a home-field advantage. Weather and other environmental factors are not reported to have significant impact.
  • Phillies motivated to solidify postseason positioning with a strong record already. Twins likely motivated to play spoiler and close out the season with some wins despite overall struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Minnesota Twins: +168, Philadelphia Phillies: -200 Philadelphia Phillies win ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Minnesota Twins: +1.5 -120, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 +100 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 run line ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 8 -122, Under: 8 +100 Under 8 runs ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the pitching matchup, team performance disparities, and home advantage, the Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win with an estimated probability of about 67%. Their superior starting pitching and strong offense weigh heavily in their favor against the struggling Twins.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Minnesota Twins 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction Under 8.5 100 20%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8.5 -102 19%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 7.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +684 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $156.88

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -195 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction San Francisco Giants Win -240 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction San Diego Padres -1.5 155 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +447

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $109.3

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 26, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction Under 8.5 100 30%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 8.5 -102 19%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8 -112 17%

Combined Odds: +650 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $149.94

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-25
  • Time: 10:06 PM UTC
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies (93-65) host the Miami Marlins (77-81) in a late-season MLB matchup. The Phillies have shown dominance recently, including an 11-1 win over the Marlins in their previous game. The starting pitchers are Walker Buehler (Phillies) with a 9-7 record and 5.13 ERA, facing Janson Junk (Marlins), 6-3 with a 4.27 ERA in his first career start against the Phillies. The game is critical for the Marlins to regain momentum before their upcoming series against the New York Mets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies have a strong overall record (93-65) and have recently demonstrated offensive power with hot hitters like Kyle Schwarber and Otto Lopez. The Marlins hold a losing record (77-81) and are coming off a heavy defeat by the Phillies, impacting their confidence.
  • The Phillies have outperformed the Marlins recently, including a substantial 11-1 victory in their last meeting. Buehler has a 1-1 record with a 5.40 ERA in five starts against the Marlins, while Junk has no prior starts versus Philadelphia.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team that would notably affect this game.
  • Playing at Citizens Bank Park gives the Phillies a home-field advantage. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no reported impact on gameplay.
  • The Phillies aim to consolidate their strong season and home advantage ahead of postseason considerations, while the Marlins seek to rebound from recent losses and improve morale before facing a strong Mets team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Miami Marlins: 140, Philadelphia Phillies: -166 Philadelphia Phillies to win ★★★★☆ 76%
Spread Miami Marlins: 1.5 -154, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 128 Philadelphia Phillies to cover -1.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 9 -122, Under: 9 100 Over 9 runs ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies are favored to win, leveraging stronger recent form, home advantage, and experienced starting pitching despite Buehler's relatively high ERA. The Marlins may keep the game somewhat competitive but are less likely to cover large spreads.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – Miami Marlins 3


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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 8:11 PM UTC
  • Location: Chase Field, Phoenix

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for a pivotal MLB matchup. The Phillies, currently favorites at -134 moneyline odds despite being the away team, have a strong record as favorites this season and have already secured a higher standings position. Arizona, playing at home as underdogs with +114 moneyline odds, has shown recent improvement with a 6-4 record in their last ten games, but struggles against top-tier pitching. Both teams have comparable scoring averages, with Arizona slightly ahead at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Philadelphia Phillies hold a solid season record and have a 60-28 mark when favored by -134 or more on the moneyline. The Diamondbacks have hovered near .500 this season and have won 6 of their last 10 games, averaging just under 5 runs per game during this stretch, but face challenges against elite pitchers.
  • The last encounter was a narrow 4-3 victory for Arizona. Historically, Arizona leads the head-to-head series with 38 wins including 20 at home, while the Phillies have 36 total wins with 16 on the road. Both teams score similarly in head-to-head contests, with Arizona averaging 4.95 runs per game at home and Philadelphia averaging 4.73 on the road.
  • No major injury reports affecting starting lineups were identified in the latest data, suggesting relatively full-strength squads for this matchup.
  • The game is played on artificial turf at Chase Field, which can influence gameplay speed and ball behavior. Weather conditions are stable with no reports of interference.
  • Arizona aims to capitalize on home advantage in a crucial late-season game to improve their standing, while Philadelphia is motivated to maintain momentum and secure a valuable road victory to reinforce their playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona Diamondbacks: +114, Philadelphia Phillies: -134 Philadelphia Phillies win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5: -137, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5: +114 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 ★★☆☆☆ 48%
Over/under over 9: -110, under 9: -110 Under 9 runs scored total ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies win a closely contested game leveraging stronger overall season performance and better form as favorites, despite Arizona’s home field advantage and last matchup win.

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Arizona Diamondbacks 3


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 17, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 8 100 24%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Over 8 105 19%
Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction Under 8.5 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +700 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $160.1

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 15, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – September 15, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Atlanta Braves -158 45%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Under 8 100 30%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Los Angeles Dodgers -132 23%

Combined Odds: +474 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $114.8

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