Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs Fresno St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Acrisure Arena, Palm Desert, California

Game Overview

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-2) face off against the Pepperdine Waves (3-3) in a closely contested NCAA basketball matchup at a neutral site. Fresno State enters the game on a three-game winning streak and is a modest favorite by 2.5 points. Both teams have similar scoring averages, with Fresno State scoring around 76.8 points per game and Pepperdine about 73.5 points per game. The over/under is set around 148.5 points, suggesting an expected competitive and moderately high-scoring contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fresno State demonstrates a slight edge in recent form and scoring margin (+4.3 average margin vs. Pepperdine's +2.5). The Bulldogs rank higher in national offense (ranked 155th in points per game vs. 203rd for Pepperdine) and marginally better in turnovers, although both teams have somewhat high turnover rates. Pepperdine excels in free-throw shooting percentage (92.9% in latest data) and rebounds, but Fresno State has a better assist-production rate and slightly higher shooting efficiency.
• Recent data shows competitive results between the two teams with Fresno State winning their latest meeting and holding a slight advantage in scoring and defense. Fresno State also has a better ATS record but no detailed comprehensive H2H historical data was found explicitly for this season.
• No specific injury or player availability information was provided for this matchup in the search results, implying that both teams likely have their typical rosters available.
• The game is held at a neutral site—Acrisure Arena—eliminating typical home-court advantage. Weather or travel constraints are not significant factors as the location is neutral and near Pepperdine's usual base in California.
• Fresno State is riding a three-game winning streak and is aiming to build momentum early in the season, which adds incentive. Pepperdine, with a 3-3 record, looks to improve its standing and take advantage of close margins in games to secure a statement win away from typical home courts.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Fresno State is predicted to edge out Pepperdine closely, leveraging slightly better offensive consistency and recent form. The game is expected to be competitive, with Fresno State covering the 2.5-point spread and the final score surpassing the total points line of 148.5.

Predicted Score: Fresno State 76 – Pepperdine 73

Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

This NCAA Men's Basketball matchup features the Pepperdine Waves (3-2) hosting the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (4-1) at Firestone Fieldhouse. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Pepperdine defeating New Orleans 90-79 and Stephen F. Austin narrowly losing to Fresno State 78-80. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and a tendency to score above 140 points in most games recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pepperdine has been scoring over 140 points in 77% of their games this month and over 130 points in 88% of their games. They have also scored over 75 points in the first half in 77% of their games. Stephen F. Austin has scored over 80 points in the first half in 66% of their games and over 75 points in the first half in 66% of their games. Both teams have shown a strong offensive output, with Pepperdine averaging 90 points per game and Stephen F. Austin averaging 84 points per game.
• This is only the second meeting between the two programs. Pepperdine won the lone previous meeting 77-53 on December 11, 1993, at a neutral site in Waco, Texas. There is no recent head-to-head history to draw from for this matchup.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team leading up to this game.
• The game is being played at Pepperdine's home court, Firestone Fieldhouse, which could provide a slight home advantage. The venue is known for its supportive crowd, which may influence the game's atmosphere and momentum.
• Both teams are motivated to continue their strong starts to the season. Pepperdine is looking to build on their recent win over New Orleans, while Stephen F. Austin is aiming to bounce back from their narrow loss to Fresno State. The game is also part of a series of early-season matchups that could impact their conference standings and national rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong offensive performances of both teams and the lack of significant injuries, this game is expected to be high-scoring. Pepperdine's home advantage and recent form suggest they may have a slight edge, but Stephen F. Austin's strong record and recent performances make them a formidable opponent. The game is likely to be close, with both teams capable of scoring over 150 points.

Predicted Score: Pepperdine Waves 82 – 85 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs New Orleans Privateers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 18, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

New Orleans Privateers (2-1) travel to face Pepperdine Waves (2-2) in a non-conference matchup. Pepperdine is favored by 3.5 points at home, with an over/under total of 154.5 points. This matchup features contrasting trends, with New Orleans struggling in Tuesday non-conference games while Pepperdine has shown strength in night games at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pepperdine averages 86.3 points per game (99th nationally) with a defensive rating allowing 79.5 points (273rd). They shoot 47.3% from the field (129th) and 30.5% from three (262nd). New Orleans has been competitive early in the season at 2-1 but has shown vulnerability, recently losing to LSU 58-93 and failing to cover spreads consistently.
• No direct head-to-head history is provided in the available data. However, betting trends show Pepperdine has won each of its last four night games at Firestone Fieldhouse after coming off overtime, suggesting comfort in their home environment during evening contests.
• No specific injuries are reported for either team in the available search results.
• New Orleans has lost each of its last 10 Tuesday games against non-conference opponents, a significant historical trend. Pepperdine plays at home where they have demonstrated recent success. The late evening start time (9:00 PM) may affect player performance and fatigue levels.
• Pepperdine seeks to improve their 2-2 record with a home victory, while New Orleans attempts to maintain their 2-1 start. New Orleans has motivation to break their Tuesday non-conference losing streak, but this represents an uphill challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Pepperdine Waves are favored to win this matchup based on home court advantage, strong recent performance in night games at Firestone Fieldhouse, and New Orleans' historical struggles on Tuesday evenings against non-conference opponents. The home team should cover the 3.5-point spread. The game total is likely to stay under 154.5 based on Pepperdine's modest offensive output and defensive effectiveness.

Predicted Score: Pepperdine 79, New Orleans 74 (Total: 153)

Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs N Colorado Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Firestone Fieldhouse, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

Northern Colorado Bears (2-0) travel to Malibu to face the Pepperdine Waves (2-1) in a non-conference matchup. Northern Colorado enters as a slight favorite despite playing on the road, holding the top spot in the Big Sky Conference with an undefeated record. Pepperdine, ranked 8th in the WCC, comes off a dominant 113-76 home victory but carries a 0-1 away record. This matchup features contrasting styles and conference strength, with Northern Colorado's road inexperience testing against Pepperdine's strong home court advantage at Firestone Fieldhouse.

Key Factors to Consider

• Northern Colorado has dominated at home with two convincing victories (101-65 over Colorado Christian and previous win). The Bears lead the Big Sky Conference standings and have won 10 of their last 12 night games while winning the first half in 11 of their last 12 night games. However, they have lost 4 of their last 5 night games against non-conference opponents. Pepperdine averages 63.0 points per game with defensive efficiency concerns (opponent three-point percentage of 40.4% is concerning). The Waves are 1-0 ATS but 0-1 in Over/Under situations. Pepperdine's home record is 2-0, but they are 0-1 away.
• No direct head-to-head history is available in the search results. However, historical trends indicate Pepperdine has won each of its last seven games against Big Sky Conference opponents at Firestone Fieldhouse, providing a significant home court advantage. Northern Colorado has struggled historically in the first half of road games against the West Coast Conference, having lost the first half in each of their last four road games against WCC opponents.
• No injury information is available in the provided search results.
• The game is played at Firestone Fieldhouse in Malibu, California, providing Pepperdine with significant home court advantage. The 9:00 PM ET start time (late evening) historically favors Northern Colorado, as they excel in night games. However, the road environment and travel to California could impact Northern Colorado's performance. Pepperdine has struggled in night games against non-conference opponents, having lost each of its last seven such games.
• Northern Colorado seeks to maintain their undefeated record and prove their capability on the road against a Power Conference (WCC) opponent. Pepperdine aims to establish home court dominance and improve their conference standing while avoiding losses at Firestone Fieldhouse. Both teams are motivated to establish early-season credentials in non-conference play.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Northern Colorado Bears are favored to win this matchup at a slight margin despite playing on the road. The Bears' superior night game performance (10 of 12 wins), combined with their strong first-half execution (11 of 12), provides significant advantages. However, Pepperdine's home court dominance and undefeated home record present a real threat. The Bears' historical struggles in night games against non-conference opponents and their 0-0 away record introduce uncertainty. Northern Colorado's depth and conference strength edge out Pepperdine's home advantage, but this is a competitive matchup with genuine upset potential for the Waves.

Predicted Score: Northern Colorado 78 – Pepperdine 76

Match Analysis: UCLA Bruins vs Pepperdine Waves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 3:30 AM UTC
• Location: Pauley Pavilion, Los Angeles

Game Overview

The UCLA Bruins, ranked No. 12, host the Pepperdine Waves in a non-conference matchup at Pauley Pavilion. Both teams enter the game with 1-0 records, but the gap in talent and recent performance is substantial. UCLA is a heavy favorite, with the spread set at -27.5 points. The total is set at 152.5 points, reflecting a moderate scoring expectation. The game is expected to be a showcase of UCLA's depth and athleticism against Pepperdine's limited offensive firepower.

Key Factors to Consider

• UCLA is coming off a strong 80-74 win at home, demonstrating solid defensive and offensive balance. Pepperdine won 88-80 at home against Life Pacific, but their overall offensive and defensive metrics from last season were poor: 199th in points per game (73.1) and 306th in points allowed (76.6). UCLA's home ATS record last year was 12-5, while Pepperdine struggled on the road (4-9 ATS). UCLA is expected to dominate in rebounding, assists, and turnover margin.
• UCLA holds a commanding head-to-head advantage, with their most recent meeting ending in a 100-53 blowout. The Bruins have consistently outperformed Pepperdine in recent matchups, both offensively and defensively.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full rosters.
• The game is being played at Pauley Pavilion, UCLA's home court, which provides a significant advantage in terms of crowd support and familiarity. The early tip-off (3:30 am local time) may slightly affect player alertness, but UCLA's depth should mitigate any fatigue concerns.
• UCLA is highly motivated to start the season strong and maintain their national ranking. Pepperdine will look to compete and avoid a blowout, but their motivation is tempered by the clear talent gap.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UCLA is expected to dominate this game from the opening tip, leveraging their superior talent, depth, and home-court advantage. The Bruins should cover the -27.5 spread with ease, and the game is likely to stay under the 152.5 total due to Pepperdine's offensive limitations and UCLA's defensive discipline.

Predicted Score: UCLA 82, Pepperdine 64

Match Analysis: Pepperdine Waves vs Saint Mary's Gaels – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-17
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Pepperdine University, Malibu, CA

Game Overview

This NCAA baseball matchup features the Pepperdine Waves hosting the Saint Mary's Gaels. Both teams are competing in the West Coast Conference, with Pepperdine holding a less favorable season record so far compared to Saint Mary's. The game is expected to be a challenging contest given Saint Mary's recent form and odds favoring them significantly.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pepperdine Waves have struggled this season with multiple losses early on and a current record around 4-14, showing inconsistency and difficulty in offense and pitching. Saint Mary's Gaels have had mixed results but have shown resilience and better performance in recent games, including some strong offensive outputs.
• Recent direct matchups data is limited, but Pepperdine hosting Saint Mary's creates a home advantage for the Waves. Historical context within the West Coast Conference suggests Saint Mary's often performs well on the road, adding an edge to their prospects.
• No explicit injury reports or affected key players for either team have been noted in the available data.
• The game is being played at Pepperdine's home field in Malibu, which may provide a home crowd advantage. Weather conditions and field status appear normal with no reported issues. Motivational factors may include Pepperdine's desire to improve a poor season record and Saint Mary’s effort to maintain or improve positioning in the conference standings.
• Pepperdine is motivated to recover momentum and prove competitive at home after several losses, while Saint Mary's aims to continue their stronger performances and capitalize on the opportunity to beat a struggling opponent on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Based on current season performance and betting odds strongly favoring Saint Mary's Gaels, the prediction leans towards a Saint Mary's win. However, given Pepperdine's home advantage and motivation to turn their season around, the game could be competitive.

Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 5 – Pepperdine Waves 3

Match Analysis: Saint Mary's Gaels vs Pepperdine Waves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 11, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Saint Mary's Gaels, ranked #21, face Pepperdine Waves in the West Coast Conference semifinals. Saint Mary's has dominated recent matchups, winning nine of the last ten games against Pepperdine.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saint Mary's has shown strong form, with a 27-4 record and a seven-game winning streak. Pepperdine, with a 13-21 record, has struggled against top opponents.
• Saint Mary's has a significant advantage in head-to-head matchups, winning nine of the last ten games against Pepperdine.
• No recent injury updates are available for either team.
• The game is played at a neutral site, which might reduce home-court advantages but could favor Saint Mary's due to their recent performance.
• Both teams are highly motivated, but Saint Mary's has more at stake given their ranking and conference standing.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Saint Mary's Gaels are expected to win due to their strong recent form and dominance over Pepperdine.

Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 80, Pepperdine Waves 60

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Match Analysis: Santa Clara Broncos vs Pepperdine Waves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-09
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Orleans Arena

Game Overview

Santa Clara Broncos face Pepperdine Waves in a matchup where Santa Clara is heavily favored due to their superior record and recent performance. Santa Clara has won six consecutive games against Pepperdine.

Key Factors to Consider

• Santa Clara has a strong offense, averaging 81.5 points per game, while Pepperdine struggles defensively, allowing 72.7 points per game. Santa Clara's recent form is also superior, with a 6-2 record in their last eight games.
• Santa Clara has dominated the head-to-head, winning seven of the last ten meetings, including the last six. However, the spread has been closely contested, with both teams tied 5-5 against the spread in their last ten meetings.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The game is at a neutral venue, Orleans Arena, where Pepperdine has had some success, winning three of their last four games.
• Santa Clara is highly motivated after a strong regular season finish, while Pepperdine seeks to upset despite recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Santa Clara is likely to win due to their strong offense and recent dominance over Pepperdine.

Predicted Score: Santa Clara 85, Pepperdine 65

Match Analysis: Oregon St Beavers vs Pepperdine Waves – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Orleans Arena, Paradise, Nevada

Game Overview

The Oregon State Beavers, seeded fifth, face off against the ninth-seeded Pepperdine Waves in the WCC Tournament. Oregon State is favored, with a strong record against the spread this season.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oregon State has a strong offense, averaging 76.4 points per game, while Pepperdine averages 72.9 points. Oregon State's defense allows fewer points, with 68.5 points per game compared to Pepperdine's 77 points.
• Oregon State recently defeated Pepperdine 84-78 on February 20, 2025. This season, Oregon State has shown dominance over Pepperdine.
• Pepperdine will be without Javon Cooley, while Oregon State does not have any listed injuries.
• Oregon State has a rest advantage, having not played recently, while Pepperdine is on a back-to-back schedule.
• Both teams are motivated to advance in the WCC Tournament, but Oregon State's recent performance and rest advantage give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Oregon State is likely to win due to their strong team performance and recent success against Pepperdine.

Predicted Score: Oregon State 79, Pepperdine 68