Match Analysis: Shealor Ladd vs Pedro Lay Jr. – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tachi Palace Casino Resort
Game Overview
Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr. are both undefeated up-and-comers set to face off at LFA 213, each looking to maintain their perfect records. Ladd is billed as a dangerous opponent, while Lay Jr. also boasts two finishes, hinting at a likely finish rather than a decision[1][3]. The bout is scheduled for three rounds in what could be a high-paced, exciting matchup between emerging talents.
Key Factors to Consider
- Shealor Ladd has a 1-0-0 record, while Pedro Lay Jr. is 2-0-0. Both fighters are unblemished, but neither has faced top-tier competition at this stage in their careers[1]. Ladd appears to be the bookmakers' favorite, reflecting slightly higher confidence in his abilities, though both fighters have shown strong early promise.
- No previous encounters between Shealor Ladd and Pedro Lay Jr. exist. Both are making a significant step up in exposure at this LFA event.
- No injury information is available for either fighter at this time.
- The fight is scheduled at Tachi Palace Casino Resort, a venue familiar to LFA events, so neither fighter should have a notable location advantage. Neither appears to have significant travel or time-zone disruptions.
- Both are undefeated, so there’s high motivation to keep their records intact. However, Ladd is fighting at home in the U.S., while Lay Jr. is not, which may add pressure or motivation on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pedro Lay Jr.: +185, Shealor Ladd: -220 | Shealor Ladd to win, but at relatively steep odds. Pedro Lay Jr. offers value for those confident in an upset due to his finishing ability. | Moderate (65%) |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -115, Under 1.5: -115 | Over 1.5 rounds given both fighters’ records, but with both having early finishes in their pedigrees, the Under is a live bet. | Moderate (55%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Shealor Ladd 85% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Shealor Ladd at 85% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 46.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Shealor Ladd is favored by bookmakers, likely due to a perceived technical edge, regional familiarity, or training camp reputation, given both fighters have similar records. However, Pedro Lay Jr. has finished both of his previous opponents, suggesting he’s dangerous early. Given the available data, Ladd is a sensible favorite, but Lay Jr. is a live underdog with finishing ability.
Predicted Score: Shealor Ladd by TKO/KO in Round 2