Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Pedro Henrique – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, England, Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged

Game Overview

The fight is a Welterweight (170 lbs) bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, with Manuel Del Valle facing Pedro Henrique Dias. Del Valle enters the fight with a record of 5 wins and 1 loss, while Henrique Dias has 3 wins and 2 losses. The bout pits two aggressive fighters with a propensity for KO/TKO finishes, especially Del Valle, who has a higher KO rate and fewer losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has a stronger overall record (5-1) compared to Pedro Henrique Dias (3-2). Del Valle's wins include 3 KOs and 1 submission, showing versatility in finishing fights. Henrique Dias has fewer wins and more losses, with a notable number of KO losses. Del Valle's recent form and finishing ability give him an edge.
• No documented prior encounters between Manuel Del Valle and Pedro Henrique Dias; this is a first-time matchup, adding an element of uncertainty.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are in expected optimal condition for the fight.
• The fight is held in Manchester, England, relatively neutral territory for both fighters, minimizing home advantage impact. Both fighters are competing on the preliminary card streamed on UFC Fight Pass, indicating medium-profile event pressure.
• Both fighters aim to enhance their standing within Cage Warriors with victories. Del Valle, as the favorite with a superior record and finishing power, likely has strong motivation to maintain momentum. Henrique Dias is motivated to upset the odds and improve a less dominant record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -450, Pedro Henrique: 275	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -120, Pedro Henrique +1.5: 100	Manuel Del Valle covers the spread (-1.5 rounds)	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is strongly favored to win via KO/TKO or decision due to his superior record, higher finishing rate, and status as betting favorite. Pedro Henrique Dias, while dangerous, is less likely to overcome Del Valle’s striking and fight control. Expect Del Valle to control the pace and secure a finish or safe decision win.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins by KO/TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Diego Dias vs Pedro Henrique – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 28, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: ASBAC Brasília, Brasília, Brazil

Game Overview

LFA 205 features a middleweight bout between Diego Dias and Pedro Henrique. Diego Dias enters with a significant record advantage, holding an 18-5 record against Pedro Henrique's 16-9.

Key Factors to Consider

• Diego Dias has a higher winning percentage, which might give him an edge in team performance. Pedro Henrique, however, could leverage his experience to pull off an upset.
• There is no available data on a previous head-to-head match between Diego Dias and Pedro Henrique.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The event is held in Pedro Henrique's home country but does not necessarily favor him given Diego Dias' strong record.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Diego Dias might have additional pressure to perform given his favorite status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Diego Dias: -650, Pedro Henrique: +400	Diego Dias	★★★★☆ 80%

Predicted Outcome

Diego Dias is favored to win the fight due to his better record.

Predicted Score: N/A (due to the nature of MMA, predicting a score is not applicable)