Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: To Be Announced

Game Overview

Dan Ige, ranked #12 in the UFC featherweight division with an 11-8 UFC record and notable striking volume and accuracy, faces Patricio Freire, a highly experienced 36-8 veteran with a longer average fight time and high finishing ability. Ige exhibits superior significant strikes landed per minute and striking accuracy, while Freire has the edge in submission attempts and takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dan Ige has a mixed recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in his last 5 fights, showing vulnerability on decision losses; Patricio Freire brings greater career experience with a 36-8 record but has a slight downturn recently, including a recent loss indicating possible decline.
• No available direct H2H data suggests this will be their first encounter, adding uncertainty but supporting analysis based on styles and metrics.
• No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this matchup.
• Fight taking place under standard UFC conditions; no reported external distractions, travel concerns, or weight miss history impacting fighters.
• Freire aims to establish UFC credentials after notable Bellator success and recent organizational change, likely highly motivated; Ige aims to leverage home division experience to maintain or improve ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dan Ige: -240, Patricio Freire: 180	Dan Ige	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Dan Ige -1.5: -110, Patricio Freire +1.5: -110	Dan Ige -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dan Ige -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dan Ige at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dan Ige to win by decision

Predicted Score: Dan Ige wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

This match between Yair Rodriguez and Patricio Freire is highly anticipated, with both fighters known for their dynamic styles and explosive performances. Yair Rodriguez, as a striker, is noted for his impressive victories over top contenders like Brian Ortega and Jung Chan-Sung. Patricio Freire, known as 'Pitbull,' brings a wealth of experience from his time in Bellator, having secured titles in both the featherweight and lightweight divisions. This bout marks Pitbull's UFC debut, and he's been confidently preparing to challenge the division's best.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have impressive resumes. Rodriguez has shown his capabilities against top opponents, while Pitbull boasts a decorated career with notable victories over Michael Chandler and AJ McKee. Pitbull's multi-disciplinary fighting style, including striking and grappling, presents a strong challenge.
• This is their first meeting, though both fighters have been observed by each other due to their prominence in the MMA world.
• No recent major injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• The high level of competition in the UFC could impact Pitbull's transition, but his extensive experience may mitigate this. Rodriguez's familiarity with the UFC environment could give him an edge.
• Pitbull is highly motivated for his UFC debut and the chance to eventually secure a UFC title, while Rodriguez seeks to maintain his standing in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Patricio Freire +164, Yair Rodriguez -198	Yair Rodriguez	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Patricio Freire +3.5 -150, Yair Rodriguez -3.5 110	Yair Rodriguez (Cover the spread)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5 rounds -160, Under 2.5 rounds 124	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Yair Rodriguez is favored to win due to his youth and familiarity with the UFC environment. However, Patricio Pitbull's experience and skills cannot be underestimated.

Predicted Score: Yair Rodriguez wins via decision or late finish.