Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: New Orleans

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA fight between Dan Ige and Patricio Freire at UFC 318 promises to be a highly competitive bout. Dan Ige is favored in the moneyline odds, indicating a slight edge over Patricio Freire. Both fighters have a strong background in MMA, with Ige often considered a gatekeeper in the featherweight division and Freire boasting extensive experience from his time in Bellator.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dan Ige enters with an MMA record of 19-9 and has shown resilience in his recent fights. Patricio Freire, known for his aggressive style, has a wealth of experience and could pose a significant challenge with his ability to finish fights.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters, making past matchups irrelevant. However, both fighters have a history of participating in high-level MMA events.
• There is no reported injury affecting either fighter's performance.
• The fight is part of UFC 318, and both fighters are likely to be well-prepared. External factors such as crowd support may be minimal due to the early start time.
• Patricio Freire is highly motivated to secure a victory and potentially call out other fighters, such as Aaron Pico, after the bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dan Ige: -230, Patricio Freire: +175	Dan Ige	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dan Ige -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dan Ige at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dan Ige is likely to win due to his strong performance record and current form. However, Patricio Freire's aggressive approach could lead to a competitive fight.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Dan Ige

Match Analysis: Yair Rodriguez vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida

Game Overview

This match between Yair Rodriguez and Patricio Freire is highly anticipated, with both fighters known for their dynamic styles and explosive performances. Yair Rodriguez, as a striker, is noted for his impressive victories over top contenders like Brian Ortega and Jung Chan-Sung. Patricio Freire, known as 'Pitbull,' brings a wealth of experience from his time in Bellator, having secured titles in both the featherweight and lightweight divisions. This bout marks Pitbull's UFC debut, and he's been confidently preparing to challenge the division's best.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have impressive resumes. Rodriguez has shown his capabilities against top opponents, while Pitbull boasts a decorated career with notable victories over Michael Chandler and AJ McKee. Pitbull's multi-disciplinary fighting style, including striking and grappling, presents a strong challenge.
• This is their first meeting, though both fighters have been observed by each other due to their prominence in the MMA world.
• No recent major injuries have been reported for either fighter.
• The high level of competition in the UFC could impact Pitbull's transition, but his extensive experience may mitigate this. Rodriguez's familiarity with the UFC environment could give him an edge.
• Pitbull is highly motivated for his UFC debut and the chance to eventually secure a UFC title, while Rodriguez seeks to maintain his standing in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Patricio Freire +164, Yair Rodriguez -198	Yair Rodriguez	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Patricio Freire +3.5 -150, Yair Rodriguez -3.5 110	Yair Rodriguez (Cover the spread)	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5 rounds -160, Under 2.5 rounds 124	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Yair Rodriguez is favored to win due to his youth and familiarity with the UFC environment. However, Patricio Pitbull's experience and skills cannot be underestimated.

Predicted Score: Yair Rodriguez wins via decision or late finish.