Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Chepe Mariscal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-15
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC 322 – Early Prelims, Featherweight Division

Game Overview

Pat Sabatini and Chepe Mariscal face off in a featherweight bout where Sabatini enters as a slight favorite due to his superior submission skills and defensive striking. Mariscal's aggressive striking volume contrasts with Sabatini's precision and grappling expertise.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sabatini holds a 20-5 record with a balanced style leveraging submissions and solid striking defense; Mariscal stands at 18-6-0 (1 NC), known for high volume striking but lower finishing rate.
• No known previous meetings; both fighters bring contrasting styles making match-up analysis hypothetical but favoring Sabatini's grappling control.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• Fight scheduled for UFC 322 early prelims with no significant environmental factors reported; fighters have comparable reach and size.
• Sabatini likely motivated to capitalize on experience and maintain UFC standing; Mariscal seeking to prove striking dominance and improve consistency.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Sabatini: -130, Chepe Mariscal: +110	Pat Sabatini	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Pat Sabatini -3.5: +145, Chepe Mariscal +3.5: -200	Pat Sabatini -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -200, Under 2.5 rounds: +154	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pat Sabatini 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Sabatini at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Sabatini to win via submission or decision

Predicted Score: Pat Sabatini wins by Submission Round 3

Match Analysis: Pat Sabatini vs Joanderson Brito – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

The featherweight bout between Pat Sabatini and Joanderson Brito at UFC on ESPN 65 is a strategically intriguing matchup, pitting Sabatini's grappling prowess against Brito's aggressive striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Sabatini excels in grappling with a higher takedown average and submission rate, while Joanderson Brito is known for his formidable striking capabilities with a higher strike rate. Sabatini's last win was via submission, and Brito recently lost by decision.
• This is the first matchup between the two fighters, making past encounters irrelevant.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• Both fighters have similar travel and recovery conditions, ensuring neither has an external advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated given the visibility and stakes of a UFC bout.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Sabatini: 190, Joanderson Brito: -230	Joanderson Brito	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Pat Sabatini: +7.5 100, Joanderson Brito: -7.5 -135	Joanderson Brito	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -154, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Joanderson Brito has a slight edge due to his striking power, but Sabatini's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision or late finish for Joanderson Brito