Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Ivan Duka – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: bp pulse Live, Solihull, Birmingham, National Exhibition Centre

Game Overview

Pat Brown faces Ivan Duka in a cruiserweight boxing match scheduled for 6 rounds on June 21, 2025. The fight is part of the undercard for Galal Yafai vs Francisco Rodriguez Jr at a high-profile event held at the bp pulse Live arena in Birmingham, known for hosting major boxing events. Pat Brown, a promising British prospect, is stepping into the ring professionally for only his second time, while Ivan Duka is a more experienced cruiserweight contender with a 5-5 record and 3 knockouts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Brown has shown strong promise as a rising talent with an amateur pedigree including two ABA Elite championships and a confident professional debut. Ivan Duka, with a mixed record of 5 wins and 5 losses, has less momentum and fewer notable wins. Brown is perceived as the dominant fighter based on current form and status within the sport.
• There are no prior meetings between Pat Brown and Ivan Duka, making this their first encounter.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter prior to the match.
• The fight takes place at a major boxing venue with a capacity near 16,000 spectators, contributing to a high-energy environment. The bout is part of a well-publicized Matchroom event broadcast live on DAZN, adding to the pressure and motivation for both fighters.
• Pat Brown is highly motivated, keen to advance his professional career with back-to-back fights scheduled close together, reflecting his amateur experience with multiple bouts in short succession. Ivan Duka is motivated to capitalize on his experience and make an impact against a rising star.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Brown: -10000, Ivan Duka: +2200	Pat Brown to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Pat Brown: -5000 to -10000, Ivan Duka: +1600 to +2200	Pat Brown to win by a wide margin	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over 4.5 rounds: -110, Under 4.5 rounds: -110	Under 4.5 rounds (fight likely to end early)	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pat Brown -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Brown at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Brown is heavily favored to win the match given his superior recent form, confidence, and the odds heavily favoring him. Ivan Duka is seen as a significant underdog with a low probability to upset Brown.

Predicted Score: Pat Brown wins by TKO or unanimous decision within 4 rounds

Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Federico Javier Grandone – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-28
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Planet Ice, Altrincham

Game Overview

Pat Brown, a young and undefeated boxer, faces Federico Javier Grandone in a 10-round cruiserweight bout. Brown's height and reach advantage contrast with Grandone's extensive professional experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Brown lacks professional fight experience, but he holds physical advantages like height and reach. Federico Javier Grandone has a record of 7 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws with significant knockout percentage but no belts on the line.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Pat Brown and Federico Javier Grandone.
• No reported injuries affecting this bout.
• The fight venue at Planet Ice, Altrincham, may favor Brown with local support. However, Grandone is accustomed to being the underdog in fights.
• Brown's professional debut offers high stakes for both fighters; Brown aims to start his career strongly, while Grandone seeks an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-10000 / 2000	Pat Brown	★★★★★ 95%

Predicted Outcome

Pat Brown is heavily favored to win.

Predicted Score: Cannot accurately predict rounds due to lack of spread information.