Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Lewis Oakford – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-05
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: AO Arena, Manchester, Lancashire

Game Overview

This cruiserweight bout between Pat Brown and Lewis Oakford marks an intriguing clash between an undefeated rising talent and a more experienced contender. Pat Brown holds a perfect professional record with two wins but no knockouts, leveraging his notable height and reach advantages. Lewis Oakford brings greater experience with eight fights, aiming to use his tougher past bouts to challenge Brown's unbeaten streak. The fight is scheduled for 8 rounds and will take place at the AO Arena in Manchester as part of the July 5, 2025 event card.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Brown is undefeated with two professional victories but has yet to register a knockout, highlighting technical proficiency but perhaps less power. Lewis Oakford, with eight fights on record, has faced tougher opponents and gained valuable experience, potentially contributing to better ring IQ and adaptability.
• This is their first professional encounter with no previous head-to-head history documented, making this an important fight to establish supremacy in the cruiserweight division.
• There are no reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, providing a potential slight home advantage for Pat Brown, assuming UK ties. Weight class is cruiserweight, which is physically demanding and may favor the fighter with better stamina and conditioning. The undercard nature of the fight and main event placement might impact fighter motivation.
• Pat Brown aims to maintain his undefeated status and prove his rising star potential, while Lewis Oakford seeks to leverage his experience to upset an unbeaten opponent and climb the cruiserweight rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Brown: -1800, Lewis Oakford: 850	Pat Brown to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Pat Brown -1.5 rounds: -120, Lewis Oakford +1.5 rounds: 100	Pat Brown by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 6.5 rounds: -110, Under 6.5 rounds: -110	Under 6.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pat Brown -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Brown at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Brown is favored due to his undefeated record, height, and reach advantage, supported by moneyline odds heavily favoring him. However, Lewis Oakford's experience and resilience provide a credible challenge and the possibility of an upset via tactical fight and endurance.

Predicted Score: Pat Brown wins by 8-round unanimous decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Skye Nicolson vs. Carla Camila Campos Prediction	Over 6.5 rounds	1.85	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Aqib Fiaz vs. Alex Murphy Prediction	Aqib Fiaz Win	-125	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)
Pat Brown vs. Lewis Oakford Prediction	Under 6.5 rounds	-110	★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +250

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $70

Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Ivan Duka – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-21
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: bp pulse Live, Solihull, Birmingham, National Exhibition Centre

Game Overview

Pat Brown faces Ivan Duka in a cruiserweight boxing match scheduled for 6 rounds on June 21, 2025. The fight is part of the undercard for Galal Yafai vs Francisco Rodriguez Jr at a high-profile event held at the bp pulse Live arena in Birmingham, known for hosting major boxing events. Pat Brown, a promising British prospect, is stepping into the ring professionally for only his second time, while Ivan Duka is a more experienced cruiserweight contender with a 5-5 record and 3 knockouts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Brown has shown strong promise as a rising talent with an amateur pedigree including two ABA Elite championships and a confident professional debut. Ivan Duka, with a mixed record of 5 wins and 5 losses, has less momentum and fewer notable wins. Brown is perceived as the dominant fighter based on current form and status within the sport.
• There are no prior meetings between Pat Brown and Ivan Duka, making this their first encounter.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter prior to the match.
• The fight takes place at a major boxing venue with a capacity near 16,000 spectators, contributing to a high-energy environment. The bout is part of a well-publicized Matchroom event broadcast live on DAZN, adding to the pressure and motivation for both fighters.
• Pat Brown is highly motivated, keen to advance his professional career with back-to-back fights scheduled close together, reflecting his amateur experience with multiple bouts in short succession. Ivan Duka is motivated to capitalize on his experience and make an impact against a rising star.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Pat Brown: -10000, Ivan Duka: +2200	Pat Brown to win	★★★★★ 95%
Spread	Pat Brown: -5000 to -10000, Ivan Duka: +1600 to +2200	Pat Brown to win by a wide margin	★★★★★ 90%
Over/under	Over 4.5 rounds: -110, Under 4.5 rounds: -110	Under 4.5 rounds (fight likely to end early)	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Pat Brown -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Pat Brown at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pat Brown is heavily favored to win the match given his superior recent form, confidence, and the odds heavily favoring him. Ivan Duka is seen as a significant underdog with a low probability to upset Brown.

Predicted Score: Pat Brown wins by TKO or unanimous decision within 4 rounds

Match Analysis: Pat Brown vs Federico Javier Grandone – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-28
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Planet Ice, Altrincham

Game Overview

Pat Brown, a young and undefeated boxer, faces Federico Javier Grandone in a 10-round cruiserweight bout. Brown's height and reach advantage contrast with Grandone's extensive professional experience.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pat Brown lacks professional fight experience, but he holds physical advantages like height and reach. Federico Javier Grandone has a record of 7 wins, 3 losses, and 2 draws with significant knockout percentage but no belts on the line.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Pat Brown and Federico Javier Grandone.
• No reported injuries affecting this bout.
• The fight venue at Planet Ice, Altrincham, may favor Brown with local support. However, Grandone is accustomed to being the underdog in fights.
• Brown's professional debut offers high stakes for both fighters; Brown aims to start his career strongly, while Grandone seeks an upset victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-10000 / 2000	Pat Brown	★★★★★ 95%

Predicted Outcome

Pat Brown is heavily favored to win.

Predicted Score: Cannot accurately predict rounds due to lack of spread information.