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Parramatta Eels vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-07
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels, in strong form with recent wins over top teams and a confident lineup, face the struggling Newcastle Knights who are on an eight-game losing streak and have poor recent head-to-head results in Sydney.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels are in strong momentum with recent victories including against the Roosters and Warriors. Newcastle Knights have lost their last 8 games, showing defensive vulnerabilities and a late-season collapse.
  • The Eels have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 encounters, including all Sydney-based matches since 2018.
  • No major injuries reported for Parramatta; Dylan Brown returns bolstering the Eels' backline. Newcastle's injury details are minimal but their form decline suggests weakened squad depth.
  • CommBank Stadium favors Parramatta with home ground advantage and supportive crowd. No weather or other external conditions reported to impact play negatively.
  • Parramatta look motivated to finish the season strongly with a farewell game for Dylan Brown, while Newcastle are demoralized due to their long losing streak and poor playoff chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -435, Newcastle Knights +340, Draw +2500 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Parramatta Eels -13.5 -115, Newcastle Knights +13.5 -115 Parramatta Eels -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 51.5 -125, Under 51.5 -105 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win, covering the -13.5 spread and game total over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 30 – Newcastle Knights 14


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New Zealand Warriors vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: New Zealand Warriors vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-29
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Go Media Stadium

Game Overview

The New Zealand Warriors face the Parramatta Eels in NRL Round 26 at Go Media Stadium, with the Warriors favored to continue their superior season form against a struggling Eels side.

Key Factors to Consider

  • New Zealand Warriors hold a strong season record of 10-5, with recent form showing some inconsistency (LWWLL), while Parramatta Eels have had a challenging season at 5-10 and uneven recent results (WLLWL). Warriors have a 67% win rate overall compared to the Eels' 33%.
  • Historically, Parramatta leads the H2H with 7 wins to Warriors' 3 in their last 10 encounters, but the current season momentum strongly favors the Warriors, and recent simulations give Warriors a 62% chance to win this match.
  • No significant injury updates reported for either team impacting key players for this fixture.
  • Playing at home in Go Media Stadium provides a home-ground advantage to the Warriors, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions.
  • The Warriors are motivated to solidify a top-four finish while the Eels look to avoid missing the playoffs, increasing pressure on Parramatta. Warriors have more confidence from recent positive results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -164, away: 142, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Home -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -120 Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 66%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline New Zealand Warriors 1264%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: New Zealand Warriors at 1264% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The New Zealand Warriors to win straight up, cover the -4.5 spread, with the total points going Over 44.5.

Predicted Score: Warriors 26 – Eels 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Bankwest Stadium

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters enter as strong favorites against the Parramatta Eels, with recent form, head-to-head dominance, and injury status favoring the Roosters in this Round 25 NRL clash.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have a superior recent form, holding a 54% win rate this season and better consistency in their last 5 games (WWLWL) compared to the Eels' poor run (LLLWL).
  • Historically, Roosters lead convincingly with 8 wins to the Eels' 3 in their last 11 encounters; this includes recent clashes at Bankwest Stadium favoring the Roosters.
  • No major injuries reported for the Roosters; Parramatta Eels have some key players doubtful, weakening their attacking and defensive capabilities.
  • Playing at Bankwest Stadium usually benefits the home Eels; however, this factor is mitigated somewhat by the Roosters' strong away performances and Parramatta's inconsistent home record.
  • Roosters are motivated to secure a top finals spot, while Eels are fighting to avoid bottom standings, adding to the Roosters' edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta +255, Sydney Roosters -315, Draw +2300 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Parramatta +8.5 (-110), Sydney Roosters -8.5 (-120) Sydney Roosters -8.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 46.5 (-145), Under 46.5 (110) Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sydney Roosters at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters to win straight up, cover the spread (-8.5), and the total points to go over 46.5

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 28 – Parramatta Eels 16


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested and low-scoring NRL Round 24 match between two closely matched teams fighting for crucial ladder positions. Expect strong defensive performances and a close scoreline, with Parramatta Eels as slight favorites.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have inconsistent attacks but strong defensive structures. Recent form shows both sides are desperate for momentum late in the season.
  • Recent clashes have been decided by narrow margins, showing parity. Historical matchups favor a defensive, grind-style game.
  • No significant injury reports available that drastically affect either starting lineup or key defensive players.
  • Home advantage for South Sydney Rabbitohs at Allianz Stadium, but Parramatta Eels are motivated to secure their finals push.
  • High stakes for both teams with finals implications, leading to intense physical contests and minimal scoring separation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline South Sydney Rabbitohs 1.37, Parramatta Eels -1.57, Draw 20.00 Parramatta Eels ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels -3.5 (-120), South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 (-110) South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels moneyline win; South Sydney Rabbitohs +3.5 points on spread; Under 47.5 points total

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 20


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Parramatta Eels vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels host the North Queensland Cowboys in a crucial Round 23 NRL matchup. Parramatta enter as favorites based on recent form and home advantage, but Cowboys show improving momentum and possess the potential to upset, especially given Parramatta's recent vulnerability against physical sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta have shown a resurgence late season with renewed grit and key playmaker form, whereas North Queensland have defensive struggles conceding 32+ points in many recent games but are regaining key players and building confidence on the road.
  • Historically balanced with Parramatta winning five of the last seven clashes, but no recent decisive dominance. Both teams have similar metrics across attack and defense in recent clashes.
  • North Queensland welcoming back key figures like Jason Taumalolo and Jake Clifford, improving their cohesion. Parramatta appear relatively stable with Mitch Moses influential.
  • CommBank Stadium is a traditionally strong home ground for Parramatta, but recent cracks have appeared making home advantage less secure. The match has high stakes in avoiding the wooden spoon, motivating both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated by ladder pressure and late-season survival stakes, with Parramatta aiming to maintain momentum and Cowboys to capitalize on psychological edge as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -164, North Queensland Cowboys +142, Draw +2100 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels -4.5 (-110), North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 (-120) Parramatta Eels -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 points ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 14


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Parramatta Eels vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm enter as heavy favorites against Parramatta Eels in this Round 22 NRL clash, with superior form, defense, and road performance giving them the edge. Parramatta's inconsistency at home and Melbourne's championship momentum are key elements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm rank #1 in power rankings with dominant recent form and are averaging a 12.9 point advantage per game over Parramatta, who rank 14th and have struggled for consistent home form.
  • Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Melbourne Storm, who typically control the match tempo and defensive battles against the Eels.
  • No critically impactful injuries reported for either side affecting primary starters, maintaining Melbourne's strong lineup.
  • Match played at Parramatta's home ground, which has been a weak fortress this season, limiting effective home advantage; weather and other external conditions are neutral.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to maintain top premiership momentum going into September finals push; Parramatta seek upset but motivation is offset by form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -345, Parramatta Eels: +245 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, Parramatta Eels +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win comfortably, covering the -10.5 spread, with total points likely under the 48.5 line due to Storm's defensive control and moderate scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Parramatta Eels 12


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

Round 21 NRL clash between Brisbane Broncos and Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Broncos are strong favorites with significant home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos demonstrated dominant form recently and hold an 81% win probability over Eels per simulation models, while Eels have struggled against top teams.
  • Broncos have historically had a strong record against the Eels, frequently winning by comfortable margins especially at home.
  • No major injury news impacting key players from either side was reported; squads expected near full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Broncos at Suncorp Stadium combined with supportive crowd enhances their chances.
  • Broncos motivated to solidify playoff positioning; Eels need a upset to stay competitive, but recent form discounts their chances as strong underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -480, Parramatta Eels +350, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -13.5 (-115), Parramatta Eels +13.5 (-115) Brisbane Broncos -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115), Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win straight up and cover the spread; match total to go over 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – Parramatta Eels 16


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium (NOTE: Venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL matchup. The Raiders are favored significantly across all markets, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well in recent games, showcasing strong defensive and attacking capabilities. Parramatta Eels have struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of victories, but recent head-to-head matchups have seen the Raiders dominate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team, but any unexpected absentees could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but overall, the Raiders' home advantage is significant.
  • Both teams are motivated for different reasons—Raiders for maintaining their winning streak and Eels for seeking a turnaround in their season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -460, Parramatta Eels: 345, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -13.5 -120, Parramatta Eels: 13.5 -110 Canberra Raiders -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are expected to win convincingly against the Parramatta Eels, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28, Parramatta Eels 14


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Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
  • Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
  • No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
  • Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
  • Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 2.4, Penrith Panthers: 1.33, Draw: 23 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels +9.5: -110, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Parramatta Eels +9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 17 match features St George Illawarra Dragons hosting Parramatta Eels at WIN Stadium. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Dragons favored to win at home. The game is expected to be closely contested with impactful plays from both sides, making it an exciting fixture for fans and bettors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown solid home form and consistent performances in recent rounds, while the Eels have been resilient on the road but marginally less consistent overall. St George Illawarra's defense and structured attack have been key strengths, whereas Parramatta's ability to capitalize on turnovers has improved lately.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with some wins shared between both teams. The last five matches show a near even split, including a close 23-22 win for Parramatta earlier in the season. This historical parity suggests the match could be decided by small margins.
  • No major injuries have been publicly disclosed affecting key starters for either team at this time, suggesting both sides can field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match being played at WIN Stadium gives the Dragons a home ground advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Wollongong in late June, without adverse impacts.
  • St George Illawarra is motivated to consolidate their position in the mid-table standings and maintain winning momentum at home. Parramatta Eels aim to climb higher on the ladder and will be motivated by the chance to upset an in-form home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 131, St George Illawarra Dragons: -150, Draw: 2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 3.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -3.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and slightly better recent consistency, the prediction favors St George Illawarra Dragons to win a close match. Expect a tight contest with defense playing a major role.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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