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Parramatta Eels vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels host the North Queensland Cowboys in a crucial Round 23 NRL matchup. Parramatta enter as favorites based on recent form and home advantage, but Cowboys show improving momentum and possess the potential to upset, especially given Parramatta's recent vulnerability against physical sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta have shown a resurgence late season with renewed grit and key playmaker form, whereas North Queensland have defensive struggles conceding 32+ points in many recent games but are regaining key players and building confidence on the road.
  • Historically balanced with Parramatta winning five of the last seven clashes, but no recent decisive dominance. Both teams have similar metrics across attack and defense in recent clashes.
  • North Queensland welcoming back key figures like Jason Taumalolo and Jake Clifford, improving their cohesion. Parramatta appear relatively stable with Mitch Moses influential.
  • CommBank Stadium is a traditionally strong home ground for Parramatta, but recent cracks have appeared making home advantage less secure. The match has high stakes in avoiding the wooden spoon, motivating both teams.
  • Both teams are motivated by ladder pressure and late-season survival stakes, with Parramatta aiming to maintain momentum and Cowboys to capitalize on psychological edge as underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels -164, North Queensland Cowboys +142, Draw +2100 Parramatta Eels ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels -4.5 (-110), North Queensland Cowboys +4.5 (-120) Parramatta Eels -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Under 47.5 points ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Parramatta Eels 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Parramatta Eels to win on the moneyline, cover the -4.5 point spread, and the total score to go under 47.5 points.

Predicted Score: Parramatta Eels 22 – North Queensland Cowboys 14


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Parramatta Eels vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-31
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm enter as heavy favorites against Parramatta Eels in this Round 22 NRL clash, with superior form, defense, and road performance giving them the edge. Parramatta's inconsistency at home and Melbourne's championship momentum are key elements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm rank #1 in power rankings with dominant recent form and are averaging a 12.9 point advantage per game over Parramatta, who rank 14th and have struggled for consistent home form.
  • Recent head-to-head results strongly favor Melbourne Storm, who typically control the match tempo and defensive battles against the Eels.
  • No critically impactful injuries reported for either side affecting primary starters, maintaining Melbourne's strong lineup.
  • Match played at Parramatta's home ground, which has been a weak fortress this season, limiting effective home advantage; weather and other external conditions are neutral.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to maintain top premiership momentum going into September finals push; Parramatta seek upset but motivation is offset by form gap.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -345, Parramatta Eels: +245 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, Parramatta Eels +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win comfortably, covering the -10.5 spread, with total points likely under the 48.5 line due to Storm's defensive control and moderate scoring pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Parramatta Eels 12


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

Round 21 NRL clash between Brisbane Broncos and Parramatta Eels at Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane Broncos are strong favorites with significant home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Broncos demonstrated dominant form recently and hold an 81% win probability over Eels per simulation models, while Eels have struggled against top teams.
  • Broncos have historically had a strong record against the Eels, frequently winning by comfortable margins especially at home.
  • No major injury news impacting key players from either side was reported; squads expected near full strength.
  • Home field advantage for Broncos at Suncorp Stadium combined with supportive crowd enhances their chances.
  • Broncos motivated to solidify playoff positioning; Eels need a upset to stay competitive, but recent form discounts their chances as strong underdogs.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -480, Parramatta Eels +350, Draw +2800 Brisbane Broncos ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Brisbane Broncos -13.5 (-115), Parramatta Eels +13.5 (-115) Brisbane Broncos -13.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 48.5 (-115), Under 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brisbane Broncos to win straight up and cover the spread; match total to go over 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 28 – Parramatta Eels 16


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Canberra Raiders vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium (NOTE: Venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL matchup. The Raiders are favored significantly across all markets, reflecting their strong recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have been performing well in recent games, showcasing strong defensive and attacking capabilities. Parramatta Eels have struggled with consistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had their share of victories, but recent head-to-head matchups have seen the Raiders dominate.
  • No critical injuries reported for either team, but any unexpected absentees could impact team dynamics.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but overall, the Raiders' home advantage is significant.
  • Both teams are motivated for different reasons—Raiders for maintaining their winning streak and Eels for seeking a turnaround in their season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -460, Parramatta Eels: 345, Draw: 2500 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Canberra Raiders: -13.5 -120, Parramatta Eels: 13.5 -110 Canberra Raiders -13.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Canberra Raiders at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders are expected to win convincingly against the Parramatta Eels, given their recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28, Parramatta Eels 14


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Parramatta Eels vs. Penrith Panthers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-13
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A high-stakes Western Sydney derby between Parramatta Eels and Penrith Panthers, featuring contrasting bookmaker and statistical model views. Panthers enter as strong favorites, but recent form, home advantage, and derby dynamics suggest a tighter contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith Panthers have been dominant recently, winning their last three matches against Parramatta by narrow margins (1-12 points). Parramatta have a solid home record with 4 wins in 8 games at CommBank Stadium this season, often keeping games close and low scoring.
  • Penrith has a clear edge with recent winning streaks over Parramatta, but margins have been slim. Derby games historically tend to defy form, with both sides capable of grinding out results.
  • No major injuries reported that drastically affect key players from either team, suggesting both sides can field near full-strength lineups.
  • Derby intensity and local rivalry increase unpredictability. Home crowd support for Parramatta is a significant factor, likely boosting their motivation and performance.
  • Parramatta eager to prove themselves against the top-ranked Panthers and capitalize on home advantage. Penrith motivated to maintain dominance and secure premiership points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 2.4, Penrith Panthers: 1.33, Draw: 23 Penrith Panthers ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Parramatta Eels +9.5: -110, Penrith Panthers -9.5: -120 Parramatta Eels +9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers to narrowly win with a defensive, low-scoring game outcome, but Parramatta Eels represent strong value against the spread due to bookmaker overestimation of Panthers' margin.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 22 – Parramatta Eels 16


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-28
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: WIN Stadium, Wollongong, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 17 match features St George Illawarra Dragons hosting Parramatta Eels at WIN Stadium. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Dragons favored to win at home. The game is expected to be closely contested with impactful plays from both sides, making it an exciting fixture for fans and bettors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have shown solid home form and consistent performances in recent rounds, while the Eels have been resilient on the road but marginally less consistent overall. St George Illawarra's defense and structured attack have been key strengths, whereas Parramatta's ability to capitalize on turnovers has improved lately.
  • Recent head-to-head meetings have been tight, with some wins shared between both teams. The last five matches show a near even split, including a close 23-22 win for Parramatta earlier in the season. This historical parity suggests the match could be decided by small margins.
  • No major injuries have been publicly disclosed affecting key starters for either team at this time, suggesting both sides can field near-full strength lineups.
  • The match being played at WIN Stadium gives the Dragons a home ground advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Wollongong in late June, without adverse impacts.
  • St George Illawarra is motivated to consolidate their position in the mid-table standings and maintain winning momentum at home. Parramatta Eels aim to climb higher on the ladder and will be motivated by the chance to upset an in-form home team.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 131, St George Illawarra Dragons: -150, Draw: 2000 St George Illawarra Dragons ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 3.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: -3.5 -115 St George Illawarra Dragons -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline St George Illawarra Dragons -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home advantage and slightly better recent consistency, the prediction favors St George Illawarra Dragons to win a close match. Expect a tight contest with defense playing a major role.

Predicted Score: St George Illawarra Dragons 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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Parramatta Eels vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-22
  • Time: 8:15 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Parramatta (Burramattagal)

Game Overview

The Round 16 NRL match features the Parramatta Eels hosting the Gold Coast Titans. Both teams are battling to improve their standings, with the Eels at home aiming to leverage their local advantage against the Titans, who have demonstrated competitive form recently. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with both sides showing resilience in their previous rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Parramatta Eels have been struggling to find consistent form, coming off a Round 14 match against Canterbury and looking to build momentum. The Gold Coast Titans, after facing Manly in Round 15, have shown slightly better momentum and cohesion under coach Des Hasler. Both teams have had mixed results, but the Titans' recent performances give them a slight edge in form.
  • Historically, encounters between the Eels and Titans have been competitive, with Parramatta often favored at home but Gold Coast managing to upset at times. The head-to-head record suggests a balanced rivalry, but Parramatta generally performs better on home ground at CommBank Stadium.
  • Current detailed injury lists were not explicitly available, but both teams typically carry some injuries mid-season. Any key player absences could swing the game sharply; however, no major injury concerns have been reported for this match indicating near-full-strength squads.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be typical for Sydney in June, with no adverse weather impacting play. Playing at home gives Parramatta a familiar environment and fan support, while travel might slightly affect Gold Coast but not significantly given the proximity.
  • Both teams are motivated to climb the NRL ladder; Parramatta seeks to capitalize on home advantage to arrest a mid-season slump, while Gold Coast looks to continue their positive momentum and prove their competitiveness away from home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: -141, Parramatta Eels: 123, Draw: 1900 Gold Coast Titans ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: -2.5 -115, Parramatta Eels: +2.5 -115 Gold Coast Titans to cover -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5: -105, Under 48.5: -125 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Gold Coast Titans are favored to win narrowly due to better recent form and betting market confidence, despite Parramatta's home advantage. Expect a close match with defensive solidity from both sides, potentially low scoring near the total line.

Predicted Score: Gold Coast Titans 24 – Parramatta Eels 20


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-09
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs are set to face the Parramatta Eels in a highly anticipated match at Accor Stadium. The Bulldogs, currently in 1st position, look to maintain their form after a recent bye, while the Eels aim to bounce back from a close loss to the Panthers. The return of key players like Stephen Crichton and Max King boosts the Bulldogs, while the Eels welcome back Will Penisini.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have been strong this season, with key players returning from Origin. The Eels are motivated to prove themselves after a recent loss.
  • The Bulldogs won the previous meeting in Round 3, but historical head-to-head data is mixed.
  • The Bulldogs have significant players returning, including Stephen Crichton and Max King, while the Eels welcome back Will Penisini.
  • External factors such as crowd support and weather conditions may influence team performance.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Bulldogs seeking to keep their top spot and the Eels looking to climb the ladder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -250 (Bulldogs) vs 200 (Eels) vs 2200 (Draw) Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -7.5 -120 (Bulldogs) vs 7.5 -110 (Eels) Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 42.5 -130 vs Under 42.5 100 Over ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 42.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 42.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Bulldogs are favored to win due to their recent form and returning players.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 25 – Eels 18


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Penrith Panthers vs. Parramatta Eels Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Penrith Panthers vs Parramatta Eels – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-01
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium

Game Overview

Penrith Panthers face Parramatta Eels in a crucial NRL Round 13 clash at CommBank Stadium. Despite their recent struggles, the Panthers have a strong recent record against the Eels, having won 4 of the last 6 matchups. The Eels are struggling defensively, sitting 16th for points conceded, while the Panthers are 12th. Recent matches between these sides have trended high-scoring, with the over hitting in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Penrith, despite being off their premiership form, have shown glimpses of quality against lesser teams and historically perform well against Parramatta. Parramatta are struggling with their defense, ranking last in the competition for points against. Penrith's defense is also below par (12th), indicating both teams might leak points[5].
  • Penrith have won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Parramatta, suggesting a psychological edge in this fixture[5].
  • No major injury updates that would significantly sway the game result available at this time.
  • State of Origin may impact player availability and motivation, but both teams currently have representative players potentially returning to boost their sides[1].
  • Penrith are under pressure to turn their season around as four-time reigning premiers. Parramatta are desperate to move off the bottom of the ladder, but their recent form is concerning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Parramatta Eels: 148, Penrith Panthers: -176, Draw: 2100 Penrith Panthers win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Parramatta Eels: 4.5 -115, Penrith Panthers: -4.5 -115 Penrith Panthers cover (-4.5) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over: 44.5 -115, Under: 44.5 -115 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Penrith Panthers 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Penrith Panthers are favored to win, but not without a fight. The value is in backing Penrith, especially given their strong recent record against Parramatta and potential for high scoring. The Eels have some attacking threat, but their poor defense is a major liability.

Predicted Score: Penrith Panthers 28 – Parramatta Eels 18


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Parramatta Eels vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Parramatta Eels vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-23
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: CommBank Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Parramatta Eels face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 12 of the 2025 NRL season. This clash features two intense rivals with Manly favored by bookmakers but Parramatta presenting some slight value in odds. The match occurs during State of Origin period, causing key player absences that impact team dynamics and depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold a strong form leading into this match, reflected in the moneyline odds and their current season performance. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but impacted by Origin commitments which has forced changes in their lineup, such as Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax missing. Parramatta also has Kelma Tuilagi returning from suspension, which may bolster their forward pack.
  • Historically, matches between these clubs are closely contested with neither side dominating significantly. Earlier season encounter data shows balanced contests, and current betting markets suggest a competitive game with a slight edge to Manly.
  • Parramatta Eels have Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax unavailable due to Origin duty. Dean Hawkins steps in at halfback. Kelma Tuilagi returns from suspension. No critical injuries reported that significantly weaken either team's core strength at this time.
  • State of Origin period affects player availability, impacting squad depth and experience. Venue is home for Parramatta at CommBank Stadium, which offers some home-ground advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not specified but could influence play style and scoring.
  • Parramatta is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and prove their resilience despite player absences. Manly aims to maintain their favored status and extend their winning momentum, also motivated by the rivalry and season standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -225, Parramatta Eels: 180, Draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -6.5: -110, Parramatta Eels +6.5: -120 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -6.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 45.5: -120, Under 45.5: -110 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans towards a Manly Sea Eagles win given their current form and betting market odds. However, Parramatta Eels present good value and have a meaningful chance to upset, especially due to home advantage and the return of key players like Kelma Tuilagi.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 26 – 18 Parramatta Eels


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