Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Group Stage match features Palmeiras-SP hosting Club Bolívar at Allianz Parque. Palmeiras have demonstrated strong form in recent Libertadores fixtures with narrow away wins against Bolívar and Cerro Porteño. Bolívar, traditionally strong at home, face a challenging task away in São Paulo where Palmeiras have home advantage and a superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras have won their last three Libertadores matches, including a 3-2 away victory at Bolívar and a 2-0 win away at Cerro Porteño. Their offensive and defensive performance is solid, scoring multiple goals per match while maintaining clean sheets away. Bolívar have struggled away but remain dangerous at home due to altitude factors. Overall, Palmeiras are in better form and consistency.
• The recent meeting on April 24, 2025, saw Palmeiras edge Bolívar 3-2 in La Paz, indicating a competitive matchup with Palmeiras holding a slight upper hand. Historically, Palmeiras dominate the head-to-head results with better squad and tactical discipline.
• No significant injury reports for Palmeiras or Bolívar prior to the match, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength lineups.
• Playing at Allianz Parque provides Palmeiras with home support and favorable conditions. Altitude advantage that Bolívar enjoys at home is neutralized here. Travel and climate conditions favor Palmeiras.
• Palmeiras aim to consolidate top spot in the group and build confidence in front of home fans. Bolívar seek to recover points lost away and keep qualification hopes alive, adding competitive motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -420, Club Bolívar: 1000, Draw: 500	Palmeiras-SP win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.75 (-120), Club Bolívar: +1.75 (-110)	Palmeiras -1.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.25: -105, Under 3.25: -125	Over 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are favored to win comfortably due to stronger form, home advantage, and recent head-to-head success. A Palmeiras victory is most probable with a moderate chance of a draw and low chance for Bolívar win.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras-SP 3 – 1 Club Bolívar

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 07, 2025 (played at 00:30 on May 8)
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, PRY

Game Overview

This match marks the second encounter between Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras-SP in the Copa Libertadores 2025, following their first meeting on April 10, where Palmeiras won 1-0. The upcoming game will test Cerro Porteño's resilience at home against Palmeiras, who have shown strong performance in recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras currently appears stronger, given their recent win against Cerro Porteño. However, Cerro Porteño has the advantage of playing at home, which could boost their performance.
• Palmeiras has a slight edge from their previous victory but still faces a challenging away match.
• No specific injury reports are detailed, but this could impact team strategies.
• Weather conditions in Asunción could influence both teams' performances, but specific weather details are not available.
• Both teams have strong motivation, but Palmeiras may be more driven after their recent win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cerro Porteño: 320, Palmeiras-SP: -110, Draw: 225	Palmeiras-SP for a slight advantage	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Cerro Porteño: 50 -118, Palmeiras-SP: -0.5 -112	Palmeiras-SP to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -125	Under 2.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras' recent form and Cerro Porteño's home advantage, a tight match is expected, but Palmeiras may have a slight edge.

Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Palmeiras-SP

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-24
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match is part of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores between Club Bolívar and Palmeiras-SP. Bolívar has a strong home record, having won 9 consecutive home matches and remaining unbeaten in their last 10 home games. Palmeiras-SP is on a five-match winning streak and has not lost in their last seven games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Club Bolívar is strong at home, while Palmeiras-SP has been performing well overall.
• Palmeiras-SP leads the head-to-head with three wins out of four matches, scoring 12 goals to Bolívar's 4.
• No specific information available about injuries for this match.
• High-altitude conditions at Estadio Hernando Siles might favor Club Bolívar.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for advancing in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Club Bolívar: 100, Palmeiras-SP: 265, Draw: 230	Draw or Palmeiras-SP win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Club Bolívar: -0.5 102, Palmeiras-SP: 50 -132	Palmeiras-SP to cover +0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP 64%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras-SP's strong recent form and head-to-head advantage, they are likely to win or at least draw. However, Bolívar's home record presents a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw or a close win by Palmeiras-SP

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 24, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Real Betis vs. Valladolid Prediction	Real Betis	-550	784%
AZ Alkmaar vs. NAC Breda Prediction	AZ Alkmaar	-240	355%
Club Bolívar vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction	Club Bolívar	100	28%

Combined Odds: +235 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $66.97

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-10
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

Palmeiras-SP hosts Cerro Porteño in the Conmebol Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras has historically outperformed Cerro Porteño in head-to-head matches, with significant gaps in odds reflecting their favorites status.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has shown consistent performance at home, while Cerro Porteño's away form has been variable.
• Palmeiras has won 5 out of 10 matches against Cerro Porteño, with Cerro Porteño winning 2 and 3 draws.
• No significant injury reports available for this match.
• The match is at Allianz Parque, which generally favors Palmeiras due to home advantage.
• Both teams are motivated to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick
Moneyline	-375 (Palmeiras), 1000 (Cerro Porteño), 440 (Draw)	Palmeiras	★★★★☆ 80%	Palmeiras -68%
Spread	-1.5 (Palmeiras) -122, 1.5 (Cerro Porteño) -108	Palmeiras -1.5	★★★★☆ 75%	Palmeiras -1.5 -100%
Over_under	Over 2.5 -128, Under 2.5 -102	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%	Over 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on historical performance and current odds.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras 3, Cerro Porteño 1

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-03
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores, a match where Palmeiras is favored due to their overall strength and recent form, despite some mixed results in away games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras has shown mixed form away from home, while Sporting Cristal has been motivated by recent wins. However, Palmeiras generally holds an edge in talent and depth.
• The head-to-head record shows both teams have won once each in their past two meetings, indicating a competitive match.
• Palmeiras has several key injuries, including Bruno Rafael, Gustavo Gómez, and others, which could impact their performance.
• The Estadio Nacional de Lima crowd could give Sporting Cristal an advantage, but Palmeiras's experience in big games might offset this.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-185 for Palmeiras, 475 for Sporting Cristal, 300 for Draw	Palmeiras	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-1 for Palmeiras at -112	Palmeiras -1	★★★☆☆ 50%
Over_under	Over 2.5 at -120, Under 2.5 at -110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras is likely to win based on their overall strength and experience despite recent away form issues.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Palmeiras