Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 07, 2025 (played at 00:30 on May 8)
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, PRY
Game Overview
This match marks the second encounter between Cerro Porteño and Palmeiras-SP in the Copa Libertadores 2025, following their first meeting on April 10, where Palmeiras won 1-0. The upcoming game will test Cerro Porteño's resilience at home against Palmeiras, who have shown strong performance in recent matches.
Key Factors to Consider
- Palmeiras currently appears stronger, given their recent win against Cerro Porteño. However, Cerro Porteño has the advantage of playing at home, which could boost their performance.
- Palmeiras has a slight edge from their previous victory but still faces a challenging away match.
- No specific injury reports are detailed, but this could impact team strategies.
- Weather conditions in Asunción could influence both teams' performances, but specific weather details are not available.
- Both teams have strong motivation, but Palmeiras may be more driven after their recent win.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cerro Porteño: 320, Palmeiras-SP: -110, Draw: 225 | Palmeiras-SP for a slight advantage | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Spread | Cerro Porteño: 50 -118, Palmeiras-SP: -0.5 -112 | Palmeiras-SP to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Palmeiras-SP -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Palmeiras' recent form and Cerro Porteño's home advantage, a tight match is expected, but Palmeiras may have a slight edge.
Predicted Score: 0-1 in favor of Palmeiras-SP